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    Brokered Convention Could Hurt Dems

    Posted:
    02/6/08
    Much has been made recently about a civil war raging within the Republican Party while, conversely, the Democratic candidates have spent much of the last week touting unity after a feel-good debate seemed to end the political knife fight that had broken out between the Clinton and Obama camps.

    After a virtual tie last in last night's super Tuesday primaries--Obama's projected net gain in delegates (as of this report from Politico) was less than, say, the amount of delegates that John Edwards controls--it could be the Democrats looking at a divided party heading into a post-primary period without a clear nominee. Beyond that, the titanic Clinton/Obama struggle would move into the murky realm of the superdelegates at the Democratic National Convention in August.

    After the Jump--Why a brokered convention is a bad thing for Democrats.
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    First of all, most people just don't know what a superdelegate is.

    From Politico:
    Superdelegates are designed to protect front-runners and make sure dark horses don't run away with things.

    Superdelegates grow in number as the party gets more successful: They include all Democratic members of Congress, members of the Democratic National Committee, Democratic governors.

    They also are the party warhorses and include "all former Democratic presidents, all former Democratic vice presidents, all former Democratic leaders of the U.S. Senate, all former Democratic speakers of the U.S. House of Representatives and Democratic minority leaders, as applicable, and all former chairs of the Democratic National Committee."

    This means that not only Bill Clinton, but Terry McAuliffe, Hillary Clinton's campaign chairman, are superdelegates.

    And their votes count just as much as the delegates chosen by actual primary voters.
    Also, what do you do about Michigan and Florida, two states that were stripped of their delegates because they moved their primaries up?

    From the same Politico article.
    The Clinton campaign has announced it wants them to count.

    "There is a role for superdelegates as per the rules of our party, and they are not rules that we set," Wolfson of the Clinton campaign said.

    "We will play under rules we are given. [But] we believe the delegates from Michigan and Florida ought to be seated.

    But how do you really do that? In Michigan, Hillary Clinton was the only name on the Democratic ballot.

    In Florida, Democratic candidates were banned from campaigning.

    Are the Democrats really going to seat them if they could make the difference in who wins and who loses?
    Further complicating matters are logistical concerns. What rules will govern the convention? Who will speak and when? Usually the candidates campaigns take control of all convention programming.

    Whatever semblance of the Republican party rallies behind Senator McCain will certainly have a field day sniping at the confusing, seemingly undemocratic nature of a messy brokered convention determined by the other party's beltway insiders.

    Of course, this could all be irrelevant. One week from today we'll know who controls 475 more delegates.


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    Jay Allbritton

    Jay Allbritton is a blogger living in Baltimore. He writes the political blog, Ice Station Tango... more

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