Inside Politics Daily

Did Obama Win Texas?

Posted:
03/5/08
Barack Obama and wife Michelle ObamaThat's what the Austin American-Statesman has concluded, anyway:

With all the back-and-forth over the delegates gained by Obama and Clinton in yesterday's Texas primary, this word is just in from state Democratic officials.

Obama could pick up a net gain of three delegates, after all the dust settles.

So Clinton won the popular vote by a margin that gives her 4 delegates. But Obama leads in the caucus portion of the primary, and, as a result, is on pace to earn 7 delegates. Maybe that big comeback wasn't so big after all.

Overall, as Marc Ambinder points out, the math still favors Obama. Likewise, Newsweek's Jonathan Alter argues that the March 4 results didn't help Clinton at all. In fact, if, as my colleague Faye Anderson reported today, we are headed for a do-over in Michigan and Florida, Alter sees it as nearly impossible for Hillary to end up ahead in both the popular vote as well as pledged delegates.

The Texas outcome now may give Obama's supporters the symbolic lift they hoped for, despite the momentum shift in Clinton's favor. After all, James Carville and Bill Clinton both declared that Hillary had to win the Lone Star State if she hoped to win the nomination. Of course, they probably just meant the popular vote, not overall delegate totals.

David Knowles

A journalist, musician and novelist, David Knowles has covered politics at AOL for the past two and a half years...more

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