Some Numbers for the Rest of the Silly Season

What kind of Tuesday are we calling May 6? Little Super Tuesday? The Tuesday to end all Tuesdays? Maybe not Super, but Really Important Tuesday?

Now that the residents of North Carolina and Indiana have been pandered to, bamboozled and otherwise rubbed up against, I must say that living in an earlier primary state, this card-carrying elitist (who actually should profile as a Clinton supporter) is a little miffed that nobody kissed my tushie this hard.

But getting down to brass tacks, its still just a numbers game. Did Hillary convince enough lunch pail Reagan Dems or Obama get enough arugula-chomping multiracial elitists?

Here's what MSNBC's number-cruncher Chuck Todd has to say:

Despite the fact that another month of contests is still on the docket, nearly half of all remaining delegates will get handed out tomorrow. And the math will be a lot more crystal clear after tomorrow, both in delegates and the popular vote. Following Guam, there are now 404 pledged delegates up grabs, and 187 of them will be decided on Tuesday. Plus, per our count, there are 268 undeclared superdelegates. Here are the basics of what each candidate needs: Assuming he wins half of the delegates tomorrow (93), Obama needs just 38% of ALL remaining delegates to get to the magic number of 2,025. If Clinton wins 94 delegates on Tuesday, she will need 66% of all remaining delegates. In addition, assuming that delegate split tomorrow, then Clinton will need 85% of all remaining PLEDGED delegates to catch Obama for the lead in that category. Moreover, if Clinton simply wanted to cut Obama's pledged delegate lead to 100, she'd need to win 62% of all remaining delegates after tomorrow. As we've noted before, the math is certainly difficult for Clinton.

Now, I know that many of you now consider MSNBC the "enemy" like Fox News was not that long ago. But no matter what channel you have on the math remains the same. Some cable news stations just think Clinton is better candidate. Whether they think that because they fear loss of access come January or that Clinton will be easier to beat in the fall, the reality is that they ALL have a stake in keeping this primary race going as long as possible - good old fashioned ratings, ad sales and profits.

So in case you missed what Todd said above, here's a video spelling it out in more detail. WARNING: This video contains images of Keith Olbermann.

Of course, Senator Clinton can try the "Nuclear Option" and wreck what's left of this party. So turn on your caps lock and join the party in the comments section.

One more video for you Obama fans:

I see my right-leaning colleagues are gearing up for the general election. I have to dust-off my McCain material. I'll check in with you all tonight! I think Tommy is live-blogging while I'm at my Drinking Liberally, so it should be fun.