Inside Politics Daily

The Numbers After Last Night

Posted:
05/7/08


Good morning, bean counters! Yesterday, we examined the numbers heading in to last night's primaries. Today, here's where we stand.

Barack Obama increased his Pledged Delegate lead by 12, and now has a healthy 166 delegate cushion.

Superdelegates remain unchanged for the moment, but look for that number to rise in Obama's favor throughout the coming days.

Overall, Obama's edge over Hillary Clinton is roughly 150 delegates. Yesterday that number was 138.

There are now just 217 pledged delegates up for grabs for the 6 remaining contests. In fact, for the first time in the race, there are now more undecided superdelegates than there are unallocated pledged delegates.

In terms of the popular vote, a metric used to try and woo superdelegates, Obama nearly erased Clinton's gains in Pennsylvania. With 99% of precincts reporting, he won North Carolina by 232,775 votes while Clinton won Indiana by 22,412. That's a 210,363 net vote gain for Obama. He now leads Clinton by 2.2 million votes. Even if you factor in Florida, Obama still leads by 1.2 million votes.

Today's dispassionate math problem is pretty simple:

Given the numbers, is the Democratic race effectively over?

David Knowles

A journalist, musician and novelist, David Knowles has covered politics at AOL for the past two and a half years...more

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