Poll: Obama Up in Montana

Back in 2004, George Bush defeated John Kerry by 20 points in the state of Montana, making it one of the reddest of red states. But a new Rasmussen poll, released today, shows a chameleon-like color change: Barack Obama leading John McCain by 5 points, 48-43.

As we've seen in other parts of the country, the age of the poll's respondents has a lot to do with which candidate is preferred:

Against McCain, Obama leads among voters under 50, including a twenty-seven point lead among voters under 30. McCain leads among those over 50.

Yes, lots can change between now and November, but if Obama can continue to bring out younger voters, and take a few formerly red states, he'll be looking at a substantial victory.