Gallup: No Big Biden Bump

This is early of course, but Gallup is reporting that 14% of voters are more likely to vote for Obama with Biden on board. 7% are less likely (among those are likely Hillary die hards) and the rest are the usual no change. So that's a net gain of 7% according to their numbers.


That isn't the interesting part. The interesting part is the comparison to previous VP picks:

• A net 17% of nationwide registered voters said they were more likely to vote for John Kerry in 2004 on the basis of his selection of John Edwards as his running mate (24% more likely and 7% less likely).
• A net 12% of voters reported being more likely to vote for Al Gore in 2000 on account of his choosing Joe Lieberman (16% more likely and 4% less likely).
• A net 18% of voters indicated they were more likely to vote for Bob Dole in 1996 on the basis of his choice of Jack Kemp to complete the ticket (26% more likely and 8% less likely).
• A net 25% of voters were more likely to vote for Bill Clinton in 1992 on account of Al Gore (33% more likely and 8% less likely).
• The only recent vice presidential choices to spark less voter reaction than Biden were Dick Cheney in 2000 (net 4%, with 14% more likely and 10% less likely) and Dan Quayle in 1988 (net score of 0, with 10% more likely and 10% less likely).

Wow, a better pick than Cheney and Quayle, that's really quite the masterful decision. I maintain my opinion that this is a big, big miss by the Obama campaign.