The government bailouts of Chrysler and General Motors are complete (we hope). Despite the tantrums thrown by free-market capitalists, the government has intervened in the automobile industry. But what if it hadn't? Would America be in the economic shambles so many warned us about? Maybe not.
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PD toolbar! Despite the government sinking billions of dollars into GM and Chrysler, the two companies ended up in "structured bankruptcies" that are to some degree
overseen by the government. This sounds like a bad dream come true to you, a free-market capitalist. So let's imagine we allowed you a do-over.
To set up this hypothetical situation, let's assume you have a time machine, and enough charisma to convince both President Obama and President Bush before him to make any policy decision you choose. Armed with those two things, you go into the past to change history and see how events might have unfolded.
Stepping out of your time machine, it's November 2008. You go to the White House and convince President Bush to let Chrysler and GM go into bankruptcy, making it clear that the government will not lend them any money. When that doesn't solve their problems, they'll have to go into liquidation. You then jump back into your time machine, reemerging days after the inauguration of President Obama, and convince
him not to bail out the auto companies or get involved in their bankruptcy proceedings.
America doesn't crumble as a result, as many predicted. Instead, the country undergoes a rebirth of imagination and innovation, courtesy of the free market.
News of the bankruptcies reaches Wall Street, prompting an immediate sell-off in the stock market. Auto parts makers are hit especially hard by this, as they may lose two of their main buyers. The market continues in this mode for a good while, as fears of an unemployment spike stoke more selling.
Despite this bad news, President Obama has the support of free-market Republicans. Economists on almost every network hail the president for allowing the business cycle to run its course. These economists are fought by angry union bosses, who try to convince the country that it is doomed if the car companies are not rescued.
Even after bankruptcy has allowed the companies to forgive most of their debts, the two companies are still unable to stay in business and go into liquidation. The Chrysler and GM brands have officially died.
But they have lined up buyers for many of their factories: little-known, up-and-coming electric car companies funded mainly by venture capitalists.
Five Years After
While many saw 2008-13 as a very rough patch for the American economy, the same electric car companies that bought the GM and Chrysler factories have found themselves in favor with the American government and the American public. With GM and Chrysler out of business, Ford now has a large share of the truck, SUV, and minivan market, buoying its prospects.
The biggest change during this period has been the explosion of electric cars onto the market. Tesla has used the old GM factories to produce its
Model S in much higher numbers than could have happened without the factories. The
Tesla Roadster is now as commonplace and recognizable as the Dodge Viper was prior to Chrysler's demise.
The Toyota Prius has fallen out of favor as the car that makes the "I'm green!" statement. The odd-looking, fuel-efficient, three-wheeled
Aptera 2e has taken its place. Utilizing the factories acquired in the GM liquidation, Aptera is also coming out with a new four-wheeled vehicle to compete with the Tesla Model S in the electric sedan market.
Economists say that allowing GM and Chrysler to go bankrupt was the best thing that could have happened to the green movement -- these new, smaller auto companies were able to more quickly adapt to the changing demands of the consumer.
11 Years After and Beyond . . .
For the 10th straight quarter, Aptera and Tesla have posted better-than-expected earnings. The analysts on TV's business channels have recommended these companies for years now, and those who got in on the ground level have become millionaires.
America is now a model of energy efficiency. Only 50 percent of the new cars sold in the U.S. use gasoline as a primary fuel source. With the electric car phase have come related gains. Solar and wind power companies have enjoyed success as the government continues to push for cleaner energy.
Ford, Aptera, and Tesla. It took some getting used to, but these are now the new "big three" American automakers. A decade ago, no one thought that the demise of GM and Chrysler would lead to a better, greener, more cutting-edge American auto industry, but that's what happened.
In the 2020 presidential race, the candidates are asked: "How would you have handled the auto crisis of almost 12 years ago?" Both candidates grin and say: "Crisis? That was simply our free market system working itself out."
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