For months, the polls have been a ski slope for New York Gov. David Paterson – all downhill. The 2010 gubernatorial match-up that most New Yorkers want to see is Attorney General Andrew Cuomo on the Democratic side and former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani for the Republicans. And, in that contest, Cuomo leads 53 percent to 43 percent, with 4 percent undecided, according to a Marist Poll
conducted Sept. 8-10. The margin of error for that result is 3.5 points.
Sixty-seven percent of New York voters want to see Cuomo make the run, and that includes 53 percent of Republicans and 66 percent of unaffiliated voters. Although Paterson is nominally their leader, 77 percent of Democrats feel the same. Seventy percent of the state's voters don't want Paterson to run in 2010.
Fifty-eight percent want Giuliani to jump in, but he cuts a more partisan figure than Cuomo with 81 percent of Republicans supporting his run, compared to 43 percent of Democrats.
Former New York Rep. Rick Lazio
, who lost to Hillary Clinton 55 percent to 43 percent in 2000 in the race to fill the seat of the late Sen. Daniel Patrick Moynihan, plans to announce
his candidacy next week. But by a 55-percent- to-30-percent margin, New Yorkers are not interested in seeing him run. If a primary were held today between Lazio and Giuliani, Lazio would lose 83 percent to 13 percent.
Should Paterson follow through on seeking another term -- something that has struck fear
in some other Democrats who are up for re-election in 2010 -- he'd lose to Cuomo, 70 percent to 23 percent.
As an illustration of Paterson's vulnerability, if he is matched up with Lazio, they tie at 43 percent each, with 14 percent undecided. Paterson trails Giuliani in the poll by 60 percent to 34 percent.