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Reid Trails Republican Challengers in Nevada
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid would lose to either of the two Republicans who lead the GOP field of possible contenders if the 2010 Nevada Senate race were held today, according to a Mason-Dixon poll for the Las Vegas Review-Journal that was published today.
PD toolbar!
Realtor and former Las Vegas college basketball star Danny Tarkanian leads Reid by 48 percent to 43 percent with 11 percent undecided, although that's way down from the 11 point margin he enjoyed in September.
However, former Nevada state senator state Republican Party chair Sue Lowden has increased her lead over Reid to 49 percent to 39 percent with 12 percent undecided. She led by 5 points last month.
The margin of error for both contests is 4.5 points.
In a Republican primary, Lowden is statistically tied with Tarkanian, leading him 23 percent to 21 percent. The only other candidate who draws measurable support is former Assemblyman Sharron Angle who polls 9 percent. Forty-four percent are undecided. The margin of error is 6 points.
Fifty percent of voters view Reid unfavorably compared to 38 percent who have a positive perception, about the same numbers he had in August.
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71 comments
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Bruce Drake
Drake began his career with the New York Daily News, spending most of that time in Washington covering Congress, national politics and the Reagan White House... more
Comments (71)
garry402
1:30PM Oct 11th 2009
Tom Daschele got booted after he became Senate majority because he lost touch with his constituents and Harry Reid is falling in his foot steps.
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(52)
(52) 
Uncle Eddy
8:54PM Oct 11th 2009
Harry Reid is a Moderate Democrat for what it's worth but has been painted a radical by vindictive Conservatives. who's only agenda is to see Obama fail. Since Bush was a failure they are going to make sure Obama is to, no matter how much it harms the country.
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(-37)
(-37) bob
9:47PM Oct 11th 2009
Regardless of how Reid has been portrayed (and I'd say he's done a pretty good job of portraying himself as a blatantly partisan opportunist), his national image is irrelevant. As the saying goes, "All politics is local".
You folks on the left really have to stop whining about how those on your side are "painted". You're holding all the cards, you have a supportive media behind you. The opposition is in the minority with no real hope being anything other than that anytime in the near future. If you can't make a go of it given those odds, you need to look at the folks you've put in positions of power and consider whether or not they have what it takes to get the job done. It's not going to get easier as time goes by and your side goes from being flavor of the day to yesterday's news.
You folks on the left really have to stop whining about how those on your side are "painted". You're holding all the cards, you have a supportive media behind you. The opposition is in the minority with no real hope being anything other than that anytime in the near future. If you can't make a go of it given those odds, you need to look at the folks you've put in positions of power and consider whether or not they have what it takes to get the job done. It's not going to get easier as time goes by and your side goes from being flavor of the day to yesterday's news.
RATE THIS COMMENT: (19)
(19) louisgeditz
11:09PM Oct 11th 2009
Speaking as a former South Dakotan, that voted for Daschle several times (regrettably), I see the same thing happening with Reid. Daschle came from a very conservative state, much the same as Reid. To his constituents at home, Daschle said all the right things to keep getting elected, and voted the right way for the main special interest of the state (agriculture). And the media covered for him, and never gave the stories about how he voted against South Dakota interests in other areas. In defense of those that continued to vote for Daschle, for most of his time in office, there was no internet or cable news to keep him honest, and to inform the people back home. But once he became the Senate majority leader, and he demonstrated repeatedly, he had more in common with the left wing liberals from the east and west coast cities, rather than those that sent him to Washington, his time was over.
Nevada may not be quite as conservative as South Dakota, but enough so, that the people there, see that Reid's Democrat buddies that he votes with, are damaging to the interests of the working people of his home state.
Nevada may not be quite as conservative as South Dakota, but enough so, that the people there, see that Reid's Democrat buddies that he votes with, are damaging to the interests of the working people of his home state.
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(17) Leslie
1:41PM Oct 11th 2009
Be still my heart!!!
RATE THIS COMMENT: (23)
(23) Somber
1:49PM Oct 11th 2009
There's one catch. Republicans in the state have yet to go through a primary. Nevadans like primaries. We like raking candidates through coals. We'll ask them questions like "How are you going to keep Yucca Mtn nuclear waste dump dead?" and "What are you going to bring to Nevada from Washington that Reid hasn't all ready?" oh and the soon to be famous, "What's YOUR opinion on the Ensign affair?" One that I'd like to ask, "If you don't win the nomination, would you consider running against Ensign in 2012?"
Also, I wouldn't trust a poll in Nevada. Here's why. About 70% of the state's population and voters are in Clark County, which has Las Vegas. Las Vegas is very democratic. Go out into the rest of the state and you find counties with 1% of the state population... which are strongly republican. If you poll 10 people from every county, most of which are conservative, you'd get poll results that would suggest Reid is going to lose. But that poll wouldn't accurately reflect the fact that most of the people in the state live in Vegas.
Personally I'm not going to speculate on Reid's chances till 2010 and till Republicans line up behind one pony. Till then...
Also, I wouldn't trust a poll in Nevada. Here's why. About 70% of the state's population and voters are in Clark County, which has Las Vegas. Las Vegas is very democratic. Go out into the rest of the state and you find counties with 1% of the state population... which are strongly republican. If you poll 10 people from every county, most of which are conservative, you'd get poll results that would suggest Reid is going to lose. But that poll wouldn't accurately reflect the fact that most of the people in the state live in Vegas.
Personally I'm not going to speculate on Reid's chances till 2010 and till Republicans line up behind one pony. Till then...
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(3)
(3) Luette
4:11PM Oct 11th 2009
to Liberal Democrats....by the time the election comes around there wont be a Democrat without a paper sack over his head to keep his identity unknown-Pelosi, Reed and the rest of you are going to be OUT
RATE THIS COMMENT: (42)
(42) kikkikat3
4:50PM Oct 11th 2009
I sure hope somebody will beat Reid. Oh my I sure don't care for him. I hope new ones running will beat out both parties and we get all new. They can be no worse
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(29) Somber
6:43PM Oct 11th 2009
They most certainly CAN be worse. The also can certainly be better. Just because they're new, however, doesn't mean that they'll be an improvement.
Reid is very much a creature of Washington. That's going to play against him. He's done a lot for Nevada, but our state REALLY doesn't like Washington. He's also worked closely with Pelosi, which will also count against him. Nevadans REALLY don't like much about California. So Reid will probably have to rest on his record. His challengers will probably attack his current attitudes.
Either way, the media's going to have a field day with all the ad money that's going to be thrown around.
Reid is very much a creature of Washington. That's going to play against him. He's done a lot for Nevada, but our state REALLY doesn't like Washington. He's also worked closely with Pelosi, which will also count against him. Nevadans REALLY don't like much about California. So Reid will probably have to rest on his record. His challengers will probably attack his current attitudes.
Either way, the media's going to have a field day with all the ad money that's going to be thrown around.
RATE THIS COMMENT: (15)
(15) cowboybill117
5:12PM Oct 11th 2009
I will never understand how someone like him and many others were ever elected. Their arogant,elitest,and look down their noses at the voters. They steal our money and spin it that they know best. Time to find honest people who not only say they uphold the Comstitution but do it.
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(37) Somber
6:48PM Oct 11th 2009
That's because you don't know much about him. He's not arrogant and elitist. He comes from impoverished roots in Searchlite Nevada. Blink as you drive through and you'll miss it. He's a life long politician, even if occasionally he bumbles it on the national stage. For instance he sometimes makes promises he can't deliver on... like telling Alen Spencer he won't face a primary... something Reid has no power over.
And Reid has also faced his own little scandals, last of which was a real estate deal that came back to bite him. He's played to the demands of the state by large, which is great for places like Vegas and Reno and lousy for the rural areas. He's kept military bases running when they could have been closed; fought to kill the Yucca Mtn dump, and he's brought hundreds of millions of dollars to the state at a time when the state was financially broke.
And Reid has also faced his own little scandals, last of which was a real estate deal that came back to bite him. He's played to the demands of the state by large, which is great for places like Vegas and Reno and lousy for the rural areas. He's kept military bases running when they could have been closed; fought to kill the Yucca Mtn dump, and he's brought hundreds of millions of dollars to the state at a time when the state was financially broke.
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(-15) davidl7082
5:44PM Oct 11th 2009
Harry Reid won't be hard to beat. Probably the dumbest member of the senate next to the current vice president Biden.
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(31) JJRUGRO
5:47PM Oct 11th 2009
REID WILL WIN..HE WILL BURY HIS OPPONENT IN 27 MILLION DOLLARS OF CAMPAIGN MONEY.OBAMA WILL FIGHT HARD AND CAMPAIGN HERE AND NEVADA HAS AN EDGE OF DEMOCRATIC REGISTRATION OVER 100000 VOTERS.THE BIG GUNS OBAMA AND BILL CLINTON WILL CAMPAIGN HARD FOR REID..HARRY WILL GIVE EM HELL!!
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(-31) Somber
6:39PM Oct 11th 2009
He's got an uphill battle. Nevadans who don't like Reid REALLY don't like him. The question is "can he keep Vegas" which has the majority of voters and more registered democrats and "Can he snag votes from the northwest portions of the state? The rest of the state will vote against him by and large, but if he can hold those two population centers he doesn't need the rest of the state.
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(-1) BULLMAN
5:49PM Oct 11th 2009
Reid is slowly killing the people of Nevada, and USA. Rid the state of him now.
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(28) Somber
6:37PM Oct 11th 2009
How? Are you even a Nevadan? Do you have a clue what he's done for his state?
RATE THIS COMMENT: (-12)
(-12) outandabout333
6:10PM Oct 11th 2009
Reid should be in jail instead of congress.
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(26) Somber
6:36PM Oct 11th 2009
For?
RATE THIS COMMENT: (-4)
(-4) JBGabriel
6:19PM Oct 11th 2009
I am a life-long Democrat, but I would love for one of the Republicans to take down Harry Reid. I am trying to get our Democratic party to toughen up and once again become the party of the New Deal, the Fair Deal and the Great Society. Harry Reid is just too much of a wuss on illegal immigration and defense matters. I think making the Senate minus Harry Reid would send a message to some of the other spineless Democrats like John Kerry that they need to clean up their act, support middle class Americans and revert back to the party of Roosevelt, Truman and Johnson. To Harry Reid and John Kerry:
You were not sent to Washington to protect the interests of illegal aliens! Why did you oppose Sen. Vitter's amendment to H.R. 2847? Do you truly support the notion of "sanctuary cities?"
We are a nation of laws. We must have the will, courage, and fortitude to enforce, with compassion but without apology, those laws that protect the integrity of our borders and our rights as lawful citizens. Your vote against Sen. Vitter's amendment was a vote against the laws and ideals our nation was built on.
Not only did you abandon our nation's ideals, you also turned your back on our state's unemployed. Democrats should be helping America's less fortunate, not harming them!
You need to determine where your priorities lie. Do you wish to defend the rights and livelihoods of Americans and legal immigrants (the majority of whom oppose sanctuary policies) or do you wish to protect illegal aliens (those who have broken America's laws) and the greedy businesses and entities that exploit them? The choice is yours but your vote to table Sen. Vitter's amendment displays a lack of sound judgment.
"Behind the ostensible government sits enthroned an invisible government owing no allegiance and acknowledging no responsibility to the people."
Teddy Roosevelt
You were not sent to Washington to protect the interests of illegal aliens! Why did you oppose Sen. Vitter's amendment to H.R. 2847? Do you truly support the notion of "sanctuary cities?"
We are a nation of laws. We must have the will, courage, and fortitude to enforce, with compassion but without apology, those laws that protect the integrity of our borders and our rights as lawful citizens. Your vote against Sen. Vitter's amendment was a vote against the laws and ideals our nation was built on.
Not only did you abandon our nation's ideals, you also turned your back on our state's unemployed. Democrats should be helping America's less fortunate, not harming them!
You need to determine where your priorities lie. Do you wish to defend the rights and livelihoods of Americans and legal immigrants (the majority of whom oppose sanctuary policies) or do you wish to protect illegal aliens (those who have broken America's laws) and the greedy businesses and entities that exploit them? The choice is yours but your vote to table Sen. Vitter's amendment displays a lack of sound judgment.
"Behind the ostensible government sits enthroned an invisible government owing no allegiance and acknowledging no responsibility to the people."
Teddy Roosevelt
RATE THIS COMMENT: (17)
(17) Ryan
6:21PM Oct 11th 2009
Reid has got to go. People of Nevada, rise up and take back your state from the clutches of weak-azz Liberalism.
RATE THIS COMMENT: (16)
(16) 
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