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    Hoffman Has Big Lead Over Owens in New York House Race

    Posted:
    11/1/09
    Filed Under:House, Polls, Poll Watch
    Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman, who was embraced by the Republican Party after state Assemblywoman Dede Scozzafava dropped out, leads Democrat Bill Owens in a two-way match-up 54 percent to 38 percent with 8 percent undecided, according to a Public Policy Polling survey conducted Oct. 31-Nov. 1.
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    PPP predicts Hoffman will win a "resounding victory."

    The pollster had been in the midst of taking the pulse of the upstate New York House district where a three-way race was in progress with Republican Dede Scozzafava, Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman and Democrat Bill Owens when Scozzafava dropped out.

    In the three-way race, Hoffman led Owens 51 percent to 34 percent with 13 percent for Scozzafava (who is still on the ballot) with 3 percent undecided. Siena College will weigh in with a new poll tomorrow.

    Had Scozzafava faced off just against Owens, Owens led 37 percent to 34 percent with 30 percent undecided. The margin of error is 2.3 points.

    Hoffman is seen favorably by a 50 percent to 37 percent margin with 13 percent undecided. Owens is seen unfavorably by a 45 percent to 35 percent ratio with 20 percent undecided. Scozzafava was seen unfavorably by a 52 percent to 31 percent margin with 17 percent undecided.

    There has been much debate about whether Scozzafava is a moderate or liberal. Forty-five percent believe she is a liberal, 43 percent see her as a moderate and 12 percent as a conservative.






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    Bruce Drake

    Drake began his career with the New York Daily News, spending most of that time in Washington covering Congress, national politics and the Reagan White House... more

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