Report Card on the Pollsters in the Off-Year Races

So, how did the pollsters do in their final surveys before the key off-year races in predicting the results?

Here's our tally, along with the date each poll was released:

New Jersey

Actual result: Christie 48.9 percent, Corzine 44.5 percent, Daggett 5.7 percent

Fairleigh Dickinson University: Corzine 43 percent, Christie 41 percent, Daggett 8 percent (11/2)
SurveyUSA: Christie 45 percent, Corzine 42 percent, Daggett 10 percent (11/2)
Quinnipiac University: Christie 42 percent, Corzine 40 percent, Daggett 12 percent (11/2)
Public Policy Polling: Christie 47 percent, Corzine 41 percent, Daggett 11 percent (11/1)
Monmouth University: Christie 43 percent, Corzine 42 percent, Daggett 8 percent (11/1)
Rasmussen Reports: Christie 46 percent, Corzine 43 percent, Daggett 8 percent (10/27)
Suffolk University: Corzine 42 percent, Christie 33 percent, Daggett 7 percent (10/26)
Rutgers-Eagleton: Corzine 39 percent, Christie 36 percent, Daggett 20 percent (10/22)

Virginia

Actual result: McDonnell 58.7 percent, Deeds 41.3 percent

SurveyUSA: McDonnell 58 percent, Deeds 40 percent (11/2)
Public Policy Polling: McDonnell 56 percent, Deeds 42 percent (11/2)
Richmond Times/Mason-Dixon: McDonnell 53 percent, Deeds 41 percent (11/1)
Roanoke College: McDonnell 55 percent, Deeds 39 percent (10/29)
Suffolk University: McDonnell 52 percent, Deeds 40 percent (10/29)
Daily Kos/Research 2000: McDonnell 54 percent, Deeds 44 percent (10/29)
Rasmussen Reports: McDonnell 54 percent, Deeds 41 percent (10/28)
Virginia Commonwealth University: McDonnell 54 percent, Deeds 36 percent (10/28)

New York 23

Actual result: Owens 49.4 percent, Hoffman 45 percent, Scozzafava 5.6 percent

Siena College: Hoffman 41 percent, Owens 36 percent, Scozzafava 6 percent (11/2)
Public Policy Polling: Hoffman 54 percent, Owens 38 percent, didn't poll Scozzafava. (11/1)

Maine Gay Marriage Vote

Actual result: Overturn the gay marriage law, 52.8 percent, Keep the law, 47.2 percent

Public Policy Polling: Overturn the law, 51 percent, Keep the law 47 percent (11/2)

A couple of caveats.

To be fair to Public Policy Polling on the New York 23 race, PPP's Tom Jensen admitted to Political Wire's Taegan Goddard that he made "a poor judgment call" in not just killing his poll, which was begun before Assemblywoman Dede Scozzafava's abrupt withdrawal from the race. I did not use a Daily Kos/Research 2000 poll conducted before her withdrawal.