Another Poll Shows Scott Brown Edging Martha Coakley in Massachusetts

2 years ago

0 Comments Say Something »

Text Size

Contributing Editor

Massachusetts Republican state Sen. Scott Brown is leading Democrat Martha Coakley, the state's Attorney General, by 48 percent to 45 percent among likely voters in Tuesday's special election with 2 percent backing Libertarian Joseph Kennedy and 5 percent undecided, according to an American Research Group poll conducted Jan. 12-14. The margin of error is 4 points.

While Brown has the support of 94 percent of his fellow Republicans (20 percent of the sample), Coakley gets a lesser 71 percent of Democrats (44 percent of the sample), which underlines the importance of turnout and voter enthusiasm. Voters not affiliated with either party (36 percent of the sample) favor Brown by 58 percent to 37 percent.

Likely voters who say they have cast absentee ballots favor Brown by 58 percent to 42 percent.

For more on the race and to see other polls:

Suffolk University/7 News: Brown 50 percent, Coakley 46 percent

Rasmussen Reports: Coakley 49 percent, Brown 47 percent

Boston Globe: Coakley 50 percent, Brown 35 percent

Public Policy Polling: Brown 48 percent, Coakley 47 percent

Research 2000: Coakley 49 percent, Brown 41 percent

Politico: Enthusiasm Gap in Massachusetts Senate Race

FiveThirtyEight.com: Scott Brown is a Liberal Republican

New York Times: Narrow Senate Race Unnerves Democrats on Health Care

New York Times: Democrats Fight to Hold Crucial Seat - Kennedy's

Boston Globe: In short race, Coakley picks targets carefully

Boston Globe: Brown pushes far beyond his GOP base

Washington Post: In Massachusetts, Republican Brown steps up campaign for Kennedy's Senate seat

FiveThirtyEight.com: Massachusetts - It's Not Just About Turnout

Politics Daily: The Winner Will Be No Adams, Webster, or Kennedy

Follow Poll Watch on Twitter

Filed Under: Senate, Polls, Poll Watch, 2010 Elections

Tagged: dailyguidance, martha coakley, MarthaCoakley, massachusetts senate race, MassachusettsSenateRace, scott brown, ScottBrown

Our New Approach to Comments

In an effort to encourage the same level of civil dialogue among Politics Daily’s readers that we expect of our writers – a “civilogue,” to use the term coined by PD’s Jeffrey Weiss – we are requiring commenters to use their AOL or AIM screen names to submit a comment, and we are reading all comments before publishing them. Personal attacks (on writers, other readers, Nancy Pelosi, George W. Bush, or anyone at all) and comments that are not productive additions to the conversation will not be published, period, to make room for a discussion among those with ideas to kick around. Please read our Help and Feedback section for more info.