State Assemblywoman Sharron Angle
, the come-from-nowhere Tea Party
favorite shooting for the GOP nomination to oppose Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid
, has a significant lead heading into Tuesday's primary, although the number of voters still undecided has edged upwards, according to a Mason-Dixon poll
conducted June 1-3 for the Las Vegas Review Journal.
Angle leads businessman and former college basketball star Danny Tarkanian
32 percent to 24 percent with onetime frontrunner, former state GOP chair Sue Lowden
, at 23 percent. Three other candidates share 7 percent, 2 percent of voters prefer none of the choices and 13 percent are undecided (compared to 8 percent last week). The margin of error is 4.5 points.
Back in early April, Lowden was leading with 45 percent to Tarkanian's 27 percent, with Angle at 5 percent.
Mason-Dixon's Brad Coker told the Journal-Review that, given the number of undecided, he wouldn't say the race was a "done deal" for Angle.
But he said that Angle was benefiting from Lowden's own slip in the polls
during a campaign marked by what many considered to be gaffes
, such as her remarks on health care where she recalled in the "olden days," patients sometimes bartered for doctors' service by paying them with chickens and other goods. That became ridiculed as "chickens for check-ups."
"Can Lowden win?" Coker said. "I have my doubts. At this point my money is on Angle. But if Tark pulls a rabbit out of his hat, I won't be shocked."
In general election match-ups, Angle leads Reid 44 percent to 41 percent with 3 percent preferring someone else, 4 percent favoring none of the choices and 8 percent undecided. Tarkanian does best against Reid, leading him 46 percent to 39 percent with 2 percent preferring someone else, 3 percent liking none, and 10 percent undecided. Lowden has slipped in her standing against Reid, with the incumbent ahead 42 percent to 41 percent with 2 percent preferring someone else, six percent preferring neither and 9 percent undecided. The margin of error for the general election is 4 points.
In the race for the GOP gubernatorial nomination, former federal judge Brian Sandoval
leads incumbent Gov. Jim Gibbons
by 47 percent to 33 percent with 6 percent for former North Legas Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon
. In the general election match-ups, Sandoval leads Rory Reid
, son of Harry Reid, 51 percent to 37 percent with 10 percent undecided, while Reid leads Gibbons 44 percent to 38 percent with 11 percent undecided.
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