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Tropical Storm to Swirl Into Gulf Next Week

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(June 26) -- Tropical Storm Alex, the first named storm of the 2010 Atlantic basin hurricane season, has formed in the northwestern Caribbean. The storm will bring heavy rain and wind to parts of Central America, the Yucatan Peninsula and western Caribbean islands this weekend and will likely redevelop in the southern Gulf of Mexico next week, possibly becoming the first hurricane of the season.

As of Saturday afternoon, Alex, located 310 miles south-southwest of Zihuatanejo, Mexico, had maximum sustained winds of 65 mph. Tropical Storm warnings are in effect for the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula and the the coast of Belize, as well as some of islands in the western Caribbean.

Heavy rain is often the greatest threat to life and property with a tropical storm, and that's the case with Tropical Storm Alex. As it slowly moves northwestward toward a landfall in northern Belize or the Yucatan Peninsula, more than six inches of rain is possible over a broad area in the Yucatan, Central America and Caribbean Islands. Local amounts of greater than 10 inches are possible.

This amount of rain falling during a relatively short time can result in serious flash flooding and mudslides.

Questions for U.S. interests include where the storm will re-emerge after landfall, whether the system will be able to then intensify into the first hurricane of the season and whether it will affect the region of the Gulf dealing with the massive oil spill.

Meteorologists do not have the answers to those questions yet.

The official forecast from the National Hurricane Center is for the remnants of Alex, most likely having weakened back to a tropical depression, to move into the southern Gulf of Mexico on Sunday night or early Monday.



The much warmer-than-normal water in the Gulf of Mexico and upper-level conditions generally conducive for tropical development make it likely that Alex would regain at least tropical storm strength, if not hurricane strength if it remains over the water long enough. The storm would most likely need at least 24 hours to return to tropical storm strength.

The track of Alex if it intensifies in the Gulf is not clear-cut.

The most likely course is for the storm to track northwestward rather than a more northeastward track toward the spill area. However, the more eastward track remains possible if the storm is strongly influenced by a slight dip in the jet stream over the eastern part of the United States than currently appears likely.

Details of the track cannot be pinpointed with confidence until forecasters have more information about where and when the storm moves into Gulf of Mexico, so all of residents and business owners along the Gulf Coast will need to remain advised of the latest forecast information.

In addition to Tropical Storm Alex, forecasters are monitoring a second area of disturbed weather -- just east of the Leeward Islands -- for possible development.

June is considered early in the season for tropical storms and hurricanes, but active seasons often start early. The first named storm of the relatively quiet 2009 season, Tropical Storm Ana, did not form until August 11.
Filed Under: Surge Desk

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glers

It's funny how all our concerned about the damage this oil leak is doing to our environment but most turn around And scoff when someone suggests that the earth is warming due to pollution

June 30 2010 at 2:00 PM Report abuse +1 rate up rate down Reply
ajl3324

Meteorologists do not yet know if Alex will re-intensify in the Gulf of Mexico.
I do know what will happen. Alex will churn the BP surface oil slick and subsurface cloud into a nightmarish broth that will rapidly spread from Key West to Cancun. Wake up, folks. There are 7 billion of us, increasing by 10 to 15 % per decade. The Gulf is effectively dead, written off by human incompetence, government bungling (thanks for the leadership, Barak. I voted for you. I thought you were brilliant. Guess I overestimated you.) BUT, in the meantime, PLEASE, Americans. visit the Gulf NOW, especially Florida. They need your tourist dollars desperately to sock away a little captial beofre economic doom strikes. Support the people of the Gulf. For the wildlife - weep.

June 26 2010 at 8:28 PM Report abuse +1 rate up rate down Reply
Drewboy60

Obama ignored this oil well blowout, while he played cheerleader for his Cap and Trade Bill, which will drain your pocketbook if passed.He also ignored the Governor of Louisiana until the sittuation really got out of hand. He paid more attention to golf and not the gulf.

June 26 2010 at 7:41 PM Report abuse -2 rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to Drewboy60's comment
glers

the Louisiana Governor is out their calling for new drilling in the Gulf so I wonder who's side he is on! if another leak occurs what then?

June 30 2010 at 2:07 PM Report abuse +1 rate up rate down Reply
rcbrockton

This is bad on so many levels! Does anyone know where all the oil residue and washed up dispersants are being put once collected? It can be contained but it must be going somewhere does any one know where????

June 26 2010 at 7:22 PM Report abuse +2 rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to rcbrockton's comment
Talo

I read one article on this. I would quote my source however I honestly don't remember if it was the paper, one of the ISP home pages or where. According to that, the dispersing agents break the oil down to tiny droplets and bind with the oil. The resulting droplets and the agent then sink to the bottom. All well and good except the dispersant being used is a known carcinogenic. The bacteria and so forth that are at the very bottom of the food chain will feed on this and progressively larger predators will feed on those all the way back to the top of the food chain... US. Think mercury in tuna was a problem?.. We ain't seen NOTHING yet. Look up Corexit. The FDA is flipping out and from what I can find, we are talking millions of gallons of the stuff.

June 26 2010 at 7:58 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
Annika

I was just wondering what would happen if a hurricane picked up all that oil and soaked a large city like Miami with it, or Disneyland. Would those dingbats in the White House care to clean it up THEN?

June 26 2010 at 5:45 PM Report abuse -1 rate up rate down Reply
2 replies to Annika's comment
Tangofifty3

Annika, I don't, seriously, believe... anyone is just waiting for Miami and Disneyland to feel the effects of what is presently taking place along the shores of Florida's west and east coast anymore than I would consider the "White House" making a decision to "clean it up THEN." While I don't know where your location is, perhaps you may want to call one of your local chapters for volunteers and inquire about what you can do to assist in the Gulf efforts towards a reasonable resolution.

June 26 2010 at 7:01 PM Report abuse -1 rate up rate down Reply
Talo

Never fear.. the oil has to trash the Everglades and the Keys in order to reach Miami. Gee... there is a bright side for us Huh? NOT! The last I heard BP and our Government are asking people not to come down here looking to help. An influx of people will only put additional strain on available resources.

June 26 2010 at 8:14 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
sgdbaty13

There is a good chance these relief wells are not going to work. Even if they do it won't be till August or later. We should NUKE it now and save what we can.

June 26 2010 at 5:13 PM Report abuse -4 rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to sgdbaty13's comment
glers

yeah so we can have a radioactive oil leak !

June 30 2010 at 2:01 PM Report abuse +1 rate up rate down Reply
cyndi

I live in Noth Alabama now but did live on the beach in Panama City Beach Florida. It has broke my heart to see friends of mine who depended on the beach and its lifestyle for a living, doing without because of this oilspill. It was commented that we should all volunteer to clean up to save the money being spent to union employees to do the clean up.
My cousin lives in Mobile and applied to work cleaning and was told that out of state people would be brought in to do that. She and some friends tried to go and volunteer to do the cleaning and were told that they were not allowed on the beaches unless they were the ones contracted to clean up.
Now I have a problem with this in a couple of ways...one...they should hire the local people to help with the clean up to offset just a little of the money they are all losing due to the loss of tourism in the area and second who do they think they are to tell anyone they should not help with the cleanup if they want to volunteer. My cousin was told that they needed the proper training to handle the problem...how much training could it require or is that also something they will be coming out with a government funded training for BP employees to take and be paid to be a part of. I mean WOW how much more insane is this going to get before everyone stands up and tell the president that enough is enough!

June 26 2010 at 4:28 PM Report abuse +3 rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to cyndi's comment
Tangofifty3

Legitimate claims will be paid, according to BP. Perhaps the other end of that spectrum would be the additional legal ramifications with unsolicited help in reference to 'training'...in the handling of biohazzard conditions. Releases to be signed, acknowledgments and perhaps ongoing care should workers become affected by the conditions. Our President is not the problem, nor was this issue created by our President. The following sites may be of interest to those who have questions about volunteering to make a difference: Volunteer Louisiana: http://www.volunteerlouisiana.gov/

Mississippi Commission for Volunteer Service: http://www.mcvs.org

Volunteer Florida: http://www.volunteerflorida.org/

Coalition to Restore Coastal Louisiana: http://crcl.org/home.html

Mobile Bay Keeper: http://www.mobilebaykeeper.org/

BP website: http://www.bp.com/

June 26 2010 at 5:12 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
cstoianoff

The handling of this incident from the beginning has been one huge bad joke. The government as well as the press, politicians, even environmentalists, have gone about intentionally deceiving Americans and the world. First of all everyone who insists on referring to Deepwater Horizon as an oil spill should be prosecuted for deceptive practices. It was not, and is not, an oil spill. It is a blowout, a familiar preventable occurrence in oil drilling. Contrary to months of deceptive statements made knowingly and designedly, there is a quick remedy. A counter blowout using either conventional explosives or nuclear. The problem for BP was the risk that this solution might damage the deepwater well. Rather than damage its well, it was, and is prepared, to damage the entire Gulf of Mexico and costal portions of the United States. This debate is nonsense. And we Americans are fools for going for it.

June 26 2010 at 4:07 PM Report abuse -1 rate up rate down Reply
3 replies to cstoianoff's comment
JOHNTYKIE

IF WE ALL PRAY, WE CAN TURN THAT STOM WESTWARD. IF YOU DON'T BELIEVE ME, PRAY THIS EVENING AT 5:00PM AND WATCH THE 6:30 NEWS.

June 26 2010 at 4:05 PM Report abuse -4 rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to JOHNTYKIE's comment
gimen4

you were right...about the storm

June 27 2010 at 7:22 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
hi bev

I have lived in Florida for many years and see how many people make a living off of what the ocean has to offer, whether it be fishing, restaurants or the hotels and businesses around those area. The panhandle beaches are already closed down. I don't hear any solution being given that can take care of this oil that is ruining lives in and out of the water. This is 2010 and we are suppose to have the most modern of technology and you are going to tell me that they don't have a plan yet??????? As for the judge that said drilling can continue = He should be removed from the bench immediately and forced to clean up the tar washing on the beaches til he can't see anymore tar. He is a disgrace to himself, his family and to every decent judge out there. Why aren't we calling for his resignation

June 26 2010 at 3:46 PM Report abuse +6 rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to hi bev's comment
mcgowann

That is absolutely untrue. The panhandle beaches are not closed down. I live in Destin and our beaches are open. They have only been closed for half a day. It's people like you and the mainstream media sensationalizing the news that has been killing us since 2004. The news said we were destroyed after Hurricane Ivan in 2004, that was untrue!. They said we were destroyed by Dennis in 2005. That was untrue. We were just beginning to see improvements by 2007 when the economy began to fail. Pensacola Beach has been hit hard, but east of Pensacola, OUR BEACHES ARE OPEN.

June 28 2010 at 5:45 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply

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