Republican strategist Matthew Dowd said on Sunday
that people are so angry at the Democrats, they're willing to vote for candidates that may seem beyond the political pale, like Delaware's Christine O'Donnell. But if Carl Paladino, the outspoken and controversial Buffalo millionaire running for New York governor, was counting on that formula working for him against Democrat Andrew Cuomo, he looks to be out of luck.
A New York Times poll
conducted Oct. 10-15 shows Cuomo with one of his biggest leads yet, running ahead of Paladino by 59 percent to 24 percent among likely voters, with 6 percent liking neither man or not planning to vote, and 12 percent undecided.
The revolt in other states against "insiders" isn't affecting Cuomo. He holds his lead even though 70 percent consider him an Albany insider while 53 percent see Paladino as an outsider.
Sixty-one percent are dissatisfied with New York's problem-plagued state government and 21 percent describe themselves as angry about it, but that isn't helping Paladino much.
When voters are asked the first thing that comes to mind about Cuomo, the most-frequently mention (by 31 percent) is his father Mario, the former governor. The top thing that comes to mind about Paladino, putting aside "other" or "don't know," is that he is angry and has a temper (as a New York Post reporter discovered
when Paladino threatened to "take you out, buddy!"). Nine percent picked that characteristic.
Fifty-nine percent do not believe Paladino has the right temperament to be a good governor, compared to 23 percent who do, with 18 percent undecided. By comparison nearly three-quarters believe Cuomo has the right temperament.
While 72 percent think Cuomo, the state's attorney general, has the right experience to be governor, voters say Paladino does not by a margin of 55 percent to 22 percent with 23 percent undecided.
Nearly 9 out of 10 voters believe Cuomo understands the complicated problems with which a governor has to deal while, by a 47 percent to 42 percent margin, they do not believe that of Paladino.
Only 11 percent of voters see Paladino favorably while 43 percent see him unfavorably with the rest undecided or saying they don't know enough about him. Forty-one percent regard Cuomo favorably with 17 percent seeing him unfavorably. The rest are undecided or don't know enough about him to express an opinion.
Dissatisfaction with the economy isn't helping Paladino. Seventy-nine percent describe it as fairly or very bad. Fifty-three percent think that won't change with Cuomo as governor, and 41 percent say it will stay the same under Paladino, but 29 worse believe it would get worse under Paladino compared to 10 percent who say that about Cuomo.
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