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Democrat Robin Carnahan Whittles Away at Roy Blunt's Lead in Missouri Senate Race

4 years ago
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As the campaign enters the final stretch, Democrat Robin Carnahan appears to be closing the gap between her and Republican Roy Blunt in the race to fill the seat of GOP Sen. Kit Bond, according to a Public Policy Polling survey conducted Oct. 17-18.

Since mid-August, various polls had shown Blunt, a seven-term congressman, with leads between 7 and 13 points. PPP's early August poll had Blunt ahead by 45 percent to 38 percent.

Now, PPP's latest survey has Blunt leading Carnahan, Ohio's Secretary of State, by 46 percent to 41 percent with 10 percent for other candidates and 7 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3.9 points.

Roy Blunt and Robin CarnahanBoth candidates command about the same level of support from members of their own parties, but Blunt leads among independents (29 percent of the sample) by 46 percent to 31 percent with the remainder undecided or opting for other candidates.

Part of the reason for Carnahan picking up some ground is that Blunt had been attracting 11 percent of the Democratic vote in August, which is now down to 8 percent. Carnahan has nudged up the number of her Republican supporters from 4 percent in August to 6 percent.

Both candidates are in negative territory on the favorability scale, but Carnahan more so than Blunt. Blunt is viewed unfavorably by 45 percent and favorably by 42 percent, with 13 percent undecided. Fifty-three percent see Carnahan unfavorably while 39 percent regard her favorably, with 8 percent undecided.

"These numbers show that some folks have been too quick to write off Missouri Senate as a competitive race," said PPP's Tom Jensen."Roy Blunt's lead is within the margin of error and the numbers are trending in Robin Carnahan's direction. If Democratic interest continues to tick up as election day moves closer there could be a surprising result on November 2nd."

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6 Comments

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tool3line2

How can anyone who knows anything about Blunt give him a favorable rating or vote for him. He is exactly what the tea party/GOP supports abhor, a lifelong politician. He has held one elected office or another for 35 YEARS! Not to mention he is as corrupt as you can get in D.C. Blunt has been on the Most Corrupt Members of Congress list by Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington, he is on the list along with Rangel!!! So vote for the uber Washington insider who is bought and owned by lobbyists or vote for a Democrat who has done an amazing job as SOS. Need to think about???

October 19 2010 at 2:28 PM Report abuse -1 rate up rate down Reply
janinstl

Carnahan is NOT Ohio Secretary of State. She is from Missouri.

October 19 2010 at 2:23 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
cheryljim430

Everyone needs to get out and vote to send the dems. home before we all lose ouo homes,

October 19 2010 at 12:30 PM Report abuse +1 rate up rate down Reply
Doug

I think Robin Carnahan is definitely the better choice between the two candidates and I hope she wins.... Is this comment mundane enough to get posted?

October 18 2010 at 7:31 PM Report abuse +4 rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to Doug's comment
Paul

I agree she is the better candidate Blunt has been there too long and talk about rubber stamping when george bush was president he was right there rubber stamping everything the president wanted, but then he talks about the other side, I think he should learn to keep his mouth shut, he seems to think it is alright for his side but not the other, I call that hiprocacy. Paulie

October 19 2010 at 11:09 AM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
David

In Fact, Robin Carnahan is the secretary of state of Missouri, not Ohio

October 18 2010 at 7:06 PM Report abuse +7 rate up rate down Reply

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