Poll Shows Fluid Senate Race Between Paul and Conway in Kentucky

Republican Rand Paul holds a 48 percent to 43 percent lead over Democrat Jack Conway in the bitterly-contested Kentucky Senate race, according to a Mason-Dixon Research poll conducted Oct. 18-19 for state news organizations. Nine percent are still undecided. the margin of error is 4 points.

The result is similar to a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 18, which had Paul's lead at 47 percent to 42 percent, which was the closest Conway had come in any of 13 match-ups that Rasmussen had done between the two since the beginning of the year.

Paul has a more positive image among voters than Conway in the Mason-Dixon poll. He is seen favorably by 42 percent and unfavorably by 37 percent with 21 percent putting themselves in the neutral category. Conway is viewed unfavorably by 35 percent and favorably with 31 percent with 33 percent describing themselves as neutral.

While the number of undecideds shows the race to still be fluid, political analyst Larry Sabato told the Lexington Herald-Leader, "That's not a great majority of a lead for Paul, but I believe it's almost impossible for a conservative Republican to lose in Kentucky this year."

Follow Poll Watch on Twitter

Visit the Poll Watch Home Page and see all the latest polls in one place

Read Politics Daily's 2010 Elections Round-Up