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Latest Roundup of Polls for Governor and Senate Races

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Here's a roundup of polls from across the country on the Senate and gubernatorial races. Updated so far today are California, Florida, Illinois, Massachusetts, Missouri, Rhode Island, South Carolina and Texas.

In the Maine governor race, a Critical Insights poll has an independent candidate catching up to the Democratic nominee in a contest where the Republican is comfortably on top.

Check back here for more updates throughout the day.

Alaska

POLLS RELEASED WEDNESDAY:

Incumbent Lisa Murkowski is tied with Joe Miller, who beat her her for the GOP senate nomination, at 37 percent each with Democrat Scott McAdams at 23 percent, with 2 percent undecided. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research, Oct. 15-19).

Arkansas

POLLS RELEASED THURSDAY:

Republican John Boozman leads Democratic incumbent Blanche Lincoln in the Senate race by 55 percent to 34 percent with 5 percent undecided and the remainder preferring other candidates. (Mason-Dixon Research, Oct. 15-19)

POLLS RELEASED WEDNESDAY:

Republican John Boozman leads Democratic incumbent Blanche Lincoln in the Senate race by 55 percent to 41 percent with 2 percent liking neither and 2 percent undecided. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research, Oct. 15-19).

California

POLLS RELEASED SATURDAY:

Democrat Jerry Brown leads Republican Meg Whitman by 46 percent to 41 percent in the governor's race with 6 percent supporting some other candidate and 7 percent undecided. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 21)

POLLS RELEASED WEDNESDAY:

Democrat Jerry Brown leads Republican Meg Whitman in the governor's race by 44 percent to 36 percent, with 16 percent undecided. Whitman had led by 38 percent to 37 percent in September. The margin of error is 3.5 points. (Public Policy Institute of California, Oct. 10-17).

Democratic incumbent Barbara Boxer is leading Republican Carly Fiorina in the Senate race by 43 percent to 38 percent, with 13 percent undecided. The margin of error was 3.5 points. Boxer had led in September by 42 percent to 35 percent.(Public Policy Institute of California, Oct. 10-17).

POLLS RELEASED WEDNESDAY:

Brown is leading Whitman by 47 percent to 40 percent in the governor's race with 8 percent preferring other candidates and 5 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. Brown has a 14 point lead over Whitman among women voters. Whitman's level of support is the lowest in this pollster's tracking surveys dating back to July. (SurveyUSA, Oct. 15-18).

Boxer leads Fiorina by a statistically insignificant 46 percent to 44 percent with 6 percent preferring some other candidate and 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. (SurveyUSA, Oct. 15-18).

POLLS RELEASED TUESDAY:

Boxer is leading Fiorina by 48 percent to 44 percent in the Senate race with 3 percent preferring some other candidate and 5 percent undecided. Last week, Boxer had led by one point. Ten percent of Boxer supporters say they could change their minds as do 8 percent of Fiorina backers. (Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research, Oct. 16).

Brown leads Whitman in the governor's race by 48 percent to 43 percent with 4 percent preferring another candidate and 4 percent undecided. Last week, the two were tied. The margin of error is 3 points. (Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research, Oct. 16).

Colorado

POLLS RELEASED TUESDAY:

Republican Ken Buck is leading Democratic incumbent Michael Bennet by a statistically insignificant 46 percent to 45 percent in the Senate race with 5 percent undecided. In last week's poll, Buck led 47 percent to 43 percent. Six percent of Buck voters and 5 percent of Bennet backers say they could change their minds. Fifty percent say Bennet agrees with President Obama on the issues too often compared to 33 percent who consider it "about the right amount." Forty-nine percent of voters consider Buck's views too extreme, compared to 39 percent who do not and 13 percent who are undecided. (Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research, Oct. 16).

In a Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted Oct. 15-17, Buck leads Bennet by 48 percent to 45 percent with 2 percent preferring someone else and 5 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4.9 points.

Democrat John Hickenlooper is leading Tom Tancredo, the candidate of the American Constitution Party, by 45 percent to 40 percent with 10 percent for Republican Dan Maes, 1 percent preferring some other candidate and 5 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3 points. Last week, Hickenlooper led by 10 points. (Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research, Oct. 16).

In a Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted Oct. 15-17, Hickenlooper leads Tancredo by 46 percent to 35 percent with 14 percent for Maes and 5 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4.9 points.

Connecticut

POLLS RELEASED THURSDAY:

Democrat Richard Blumenthal is leading Republican Linda McMahon by 57 percent to 39 percent with 3 percent for some other candidate and 2 percent undecided. (Suffolk University, Oct. 19-20). See related story.


Florida

POLLS RELEASED FRIDAY:

Republican Rick Scott is leading Democrat Alex Sink by 44 percent to 41 percent in the race for governor. The stories on this poll did not give the percentage of undecided. The margin of error is 4.1 points. (St. Petersburg Times, Miami Herald, Bay News 9, Oct. 15-19).

Scott and Sink are tied at 45 percent each in their race for governor, with 8 percent preferring some other candidate and 2 percent undecided. (Sunshine State News Poll, Oct. 21)

POLLS RELEASED WEDNESDAY:

Scott leads Sink in the race for governor by 48 percent to 42 percent with 8 percent preferring some other candidate and 2 percent undecided. This is the widest gap between the two in six months of match-ups by this pollster. Last week Scott led 50 percent to 47 percent. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 18).

CNN/Time/Opinion Research
in a poll conducted Oct. 15-19 has Scott leading Sink 49 percent to 46 percent with 4 percent liking neither or preferring some other candidate and 1 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3.5 points.

Republican Marco Rubio leads independent Charlie Crist in the Senate race by 46 percent to 32 percent with 20 percent for Democrat Kendrick Meek, 1 percent liking none of them and 1 percent undecided. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research, Oct. 15-19).

POLLS RELEASED TUESDAY:

Rubio is leading Crist by 39 percent to 31 percent followed by Meek at 22 percent, with 2 percent for Libertarian Alexander Snitker and 6 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4.4 points. (Suffolk University, Oct. 14-17).

A Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 18 has Rubio ahead of Crist 43 percent to 32 percent with 20 percent for Meek, 2 percent for some other candidate and 3 percent undecided.

Sink is leading Scott by 45 percent to 38 percent in the governor's race with 4 percent favoring some other candidate and 13 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4.4 points. (Suffolk University, Oct. 14-17).

Georgia

POLLS RELEASED TUESDAY:

Republican Nathan Deal is leading Democrat Roy Barnes by 45 percent to 40 percent in the race for governor with 5 percent for Libertarian John Monds and 10 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. (InsiderAdvantage/WSB-TV, Oct. 18).

Illinois

POLLS RELEASED SATURDAY:

Republican Bill Brady is leading Democratic incumbent Pat Quinn 44 percent to 40 percent in the race for governor, with 4 percent for independent Scott Lee Cohen, 3 percent for Green Party candidate Rich Whitney, 1 percent for Libertarian Lex Green and 8 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. (St. Louis Post-Dispatch, KMOV, Oct. 18-20).

Republican Mark Kirk is leading Democrat Alexi Giannoulias in the Senate race by 43 percent to 41 percent with 16 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. (St. Louis Post-Dispatch, KMOV, Oct. 18-20).

POLLS RELEASED THURSDAY:

Brady leads Democratic Quinn by 42 percent to 41 percent in the governor's race with 10 percent split by three other candidates and 6 percent undecided. If the other candidates -- Whitney, Green and Cohen -- were subtracted, Brady would lead a head-to-head match-up by 49 percent to 44 percent, with 7 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4.2 points. (Public Policy Polling, Oct. 14-16).

Brady is leading Quinn 45 percent to 37 percent in the governor's race, with 2 percent for Whitney and 6 percent for Cohen, with 1 percent favoring some other candidate and 8 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. Brady has consistently led Quinn in this poll. His margin last week was 46 percent to 40 percent. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 20).

POLLS RELEASED WEDNESDAY:

Republican Mark Kirk is leading Democrat Alexi Giannoulias 44 percent to 40 percent, with 4 percent for Green Party candidate LeAlan Jones, 8 percent preferring some other candidate and 5 percent undecided. Last week, Giannoulias led by 44 percent to 43 percent. The margin of error is 4 points. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 18).

Kirk leads Giannoulias 46 percent to 45 percent with 4 percent for Jones, 3 percent for Libertarian Mike Labno and 9 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4.2 points. Kirk led by 40 percent to 36 percent in a Sept. 23-26 survey. (Public Policy Polling, Oct. 14-16).

Kentucky

POLLS RELEASED THURSDAY:

Republican Rand Paul is leading Democrat Jack Conway in the Senate race by 48 percent to 43 percent with 9 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. (Mason-Dixon Research, Oct. 18-19).


Maine


POLLS RELEASED FRIDAY:

Republican Paul LePage leads the three-way race for governor with 32 percent with Democrat Libby Mitchell at 20 percent, falling into a statistical tie with independent Eliot Cutler. The margin of error is 4 points. (Critical Insights, Oct. 13-17).

POLLS RELEASED TUESDAY:

LePage is leading Mitchell by 33 percent to 28 percent with 14 percent for Cutler and 3 percent for some other candidate. The margin of error is 4.4 points. (Pan Atlantic SMS Group, Oct. 11-15).

Michigan

POLLS RELEASED TUESDAY:

Republican Rick Snyder leads Democrat Virg Bernero in the governor's race by 54 percent to 34 percent with 4 percent favoring some other candidate and 8 percent undecided. In the previous poll, Snyder led by 51 percent to 38 percent. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 17)

Massachusetts

POLLS RELEASED FRIDAY:

Democratic incumbent Deval Patrick is leading Republican Charlie Baker in the governor's race 44 percent to 36 percent with 8 percent for independent Tim Cahill 5 percent for Green Party candidate Jill Stein and 5 percent undecided. This includes "leaners." Sixty-nine percent of Cahill voters say they may yet change their minds -- typical for third-party candidates as election day approaches -- while 26 percent of Patrick backers and 18 percent of Baker backers are in that category. The margin of error is 5 points. Baker is leading among independents with 32 percent to 26 percent for Patrick, 22 percent for Cahill and 6 percent for Stein. (Western New England College Polling Institute, Oct. 16-21).

Minnesota

POLLS RELEASED FRIDAY:

Democrat Mark Daytom leads Republican Tom Emmer in the race for governor by 44 percent to 41 percent with 10 percent for independent Tom Horner and 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. In an Oct. 6 poll, Dayton had led 40 percent to 38 percent. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 20)

Missouri

POLLS RELEASED SATURDAY:

Republican Roy Blunt is leading Democrat Robin Carnahan in the Senate race by 49 percent to 40 percent with 3 percent for other candidates and 8 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. (St. Louis Post-Dispatch, KMOV, Oct. 18-20).

POLLS RELEASED WEDNESDAY:

Republican Roy Blunt is leading Democrat Robin Carnahan by 52 percent to 43 percent, with 2 percent for some other candidate and 3 percent undecided. Last week, Blunt led by about the same margin. The margin of error is 4 points. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 19).

POLLS RELEASED TUESDAY:

Blunt leads Carnahan 49 percent to 43 percent with 3 percent preferring some other candidate and 5 percent undecided. Seven percent of those supporting each candidate say they could change their minds. The margin of error is 3 points. (Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research, Oct. 16).

New Hampshire

POLLS RELEASED TUESDAY:

Democratic incumbent John Lynch leads Republican John Stephen in the governor's race 51 percent to 38 percent with 3 percent for other candidates and 9 percent undecided. Last month, Lynch had led 51 percent to 34 percent with 14 percent undecided. (WMUR/University of New Hampshire, Oct. 7-12).

Nevada

POLLS RELEASED TUESDAY:

Republican Brian Sandoval is leading Democrat Roy Reid in the race for governor by 56 percent to 37 percent with 2 percent favoring some other candidate and 4 percent undecided. Last week, Sandoval led 55 percent to 40 percent. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 17)

New York

Democrat Andrew Cuomo is leading Republican Carl Paladino in the race for governor by 60 percent to 37 percent, with 2 percent undecided. (Marist Institute, released Oct. 22).

A Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 19 has Cuomo ahead 51 percent to 37 percent with 5 percent preferring some other candidate and 6 percent undecided.

Ohio

POLLS RELEASED WEDNESDAY:

Republican Rob Portman leads Democrat Lee Fisher in the Senate Race by 55 percent to 40 percent with 2 percent answering "other" or "neither" and 3 percent undecided. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research, Oct. 15-19).

Quinnipiac University
, in a poll conducted Oct. 12-17 has Portman ahead of Fisher by 55 percent to 34 percent with 10 percent undecided.

CNN/Time/Opinion Research, in a poll conducted Oct. 15-19) has Democratic incumbent Ted Strickland leading Republican John Kasich in the governor's race by 48 percent to 47 percent with 2 percent in the "other/neither" category and 2 percent undecided. This is at sharp variance with a Quinnipiac University poll conducted Oct. 12-17 that had Kasich ahead by 10 points.

POLLS RELEASED TUESDAY:

Republican John Kasich leads Democratic incumbent Ted Strickland in the governor's race by 49 percent to 43 percent with 3 percent for some other candidate and 5 percent undecided. Last week, Kasich led 47 percent to 42 percent. The margin of error is 3 points. (Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research, Oct. 16).

Oregon

POLLS RELEASED TUESDAY:

Democrat John Kitzhaber leads Republican Chris Dudley in the race for governor by 48 percent to 47 percent with 5 percent undecided. The margin of error is 2.8 points. (Daily Kos/Public Policy Polling, Oct. 16-17).

Pennsylvania

POLLS RELEASED FRIDAY

Republican Tom Corbett leads Democrat Dan Onorato in the race for governor by 49 percent to 44 percent with 6 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3 points. In the previous poll, Corbett had led by 54 percent to 39 percent, with 7 percent undecided. (Quinnipiac University, Oct. 13-17). See related story.

A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll conducted Oct. 16-19 has Corbett leading Onorato by 49 percent to 40 percent, with 11 percent undecided. The margin of error is 5 points.

Democrat Joe Sestak and Republican Pat Toomey are tied in the Senate race at 43 percent each, with 14 percent undecided. (Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call, Oct. 16-19).

Rasmussen Reports, in a poll conducted Oct. 21, has Toomey ahead 48 percent to 44 percent with 7 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. Toomey had led 49 percent to 39 percent in an Oct. 12 poll.

POLLS RELEASED THURSDAY:

Toomey is leading Sestak by 48 percent to 46 percent with 5 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3 points. Toomey had led 50 percent to 43 percent in the previous poll. (Quinnipiac University, Oct. 13-17). See related story.

Corbett now leads Onorato by 48 percent to 46 percent in the race for governor, with 6 percent undecided. This is a significant closing of the gap by Onorato compared to months of polling showing Corbett ahead. The margin of error is 3.7 points. (Public Policy Polling, Oct. 17-18). See related story.

POLLS RELEASED WEDNESDAY:

Sestak is leading Toomey in the race to fill Sen. Arlen Specter's seat by 44 percent to 41 percent with 15 percent undecided. The margin of error is 5 points. In a Sept. 28-Oct. 4 poll, Toomey had led 46 percent to 39 percent. (Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call, Oct. 16-19).

Corbett is leading Onorato 47 percent to 40 percent with 14 percent undecided in the race for governor. The margin of error is 5 points. In a Sept. 28-Oct. 4 poll, Corbett had led 47 percent to 37 percent. (Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call, Oct. 16-19).

Rhode Island


POLLS RELEASED FRIDAY:

Republican-turned-independent Lincoln Chafee leads Democrat Frank Caprio 35 percent to 28 percent in the race for governor with 25 percent for Republican John Robitaille. Six percent back Moderate Party candidate Ken Block and 6 percent are undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. In an Oct. 4 poll, Chafee had led Caprio by only 33 percent to 30 percent, with 22 percent for Robitaille. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 21).

South Carolina

POLLS RELEASED FRIDAY:

Republican Nikki Haley leads Democrat Vincent Sheheen by 51 percent to 37 percent with 3 percent for some other candidate and 9 percent undecided. (InsiderAdvantage, Oct. 19)

POLLS RELEASED THURSDAY:

Related Stories Republican Nikki Haley is leading Democrat Vincent Sheheen by 47 percent to 38 percent in the race to succeed GOP Gov. Mark Sanford, with 4 percent preferring some other candidate and 11 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4.5 points. In a Sept. 22 poll, Haley had held a 50 percent to 33 percent margin. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 19). See related story.

Texas

POLLS RELEASED SATURDAY:

Republican incumbent Rick Perry leads Democrat Bill White in the governor's race by 51 percent to 43 percent with 2 percent preferring some other candidate and 5 percent undecided. Perry had led 53 percent to 42 percent in an Oct. 6 poll. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 21).


Washington

POLLS RELEASED TUESDAY:

Democratic incumbent Patty Murray is leading Republican Dino Rossi by 49 percent to 47 percent with 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 2.3 points. (Public Policy Polling, Oct. 14-16).

West Virginia


POLLS RELEASED WEDNESDAY:

Republican John Raese leads Democratic Gov. Joe Manchin in the race to fill the Senate seat of the late Robert Byrd by 50 percent to 43 percent with 2 percent preferring some other candidate and 5 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 19)

POLLS RELEASED TUESDAY:

Raese is leading Manchin in the Senate race by 48 percent to 45 percent, with 2 percent preferring some other candidate and 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3 points. Thirteen percent of Raese supporters and 12 percent of Manchin backers say they could change their minds. (Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research, Oct. 16).

Wisconsin


POLLS RELEASED TUESDAY:

Republican Ron Johnson is leading Democratic incumbent Russ Feingold in the race for the Senate by 49 percent to 47 percent with 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 5 points. (St. Norbert College/Wisconsin Public Radio, Oct. 12-15).

Republican Scott Walker leads Democrat Tom Barrett in the governor's race by 50 percent to 41 percent with 2 percent preferring some other choice and 6 percent undecided. The margin of error is 5 points. (St. Norbert College/Wisconsin Public Radio, Oct. 12-15)

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12 Comments

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lil

I would like to know one thing. Where was all of this madness about, "taking our country back" during the entire 8 years while the country was being driven toward the "brnks of another great depression"? I am puzzled to see the same party suddenly have all of the answers. This seems strange to me. Are we all supposed to be "crazy" or what?

October 25 2010 at 8:49 AM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
sirbones2

Its about time someone has the right poll. The one in Wv has Joe Manchin ahead

October 24 2010 at 4:42 AM Report abuse -1 rate up rate down Reply
Hen and Goddy

You can say what ever you like, or poll what ever numbers, the Voters no who will favor them. You will live to see the Democrats win again. Just say Amen. Because it is happening right now.

October 24 2010 at 2:16 AM Report abuse -6 rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to Hen and Goddy's comment
prinsovdarqnezz

Keep repeating the lie so you can remain calm.

October 24 2010 at 8:41 PM Report abuse +1 rate up rate down Reply
betty

in california, vote whitman and fiorina---what we have now sure isn't working!

October 24 2010 at 2:04 AM Report abuse +6 rate up rate down Reply
nototherepubs

THE AMERICAN PEOPLE SHOULD REALIZE THAT YOU DON'T GIVE THE CAR KEYS, TO THE PEOPLE THAT DROVE IT INTO THE DITCH. PEOPLE MUST REALIZE THAT UNDER REPUBLICAN CONTROL, THE MESS WAS CREATED. LETS MOVE FORWARD, RATHER THAN BACKWARDS. IT WILL BE A SAD DAY FOR AMERICA, IF THE REPUBLICANS GET IN.

October 24 2010 at 1:41 AM Report abuse -9 rate up rate down Reply
manhattanmaulers

Can voters really forget the mess these same Republicans gave us 2 years ago? The Democrats are making progress but it needs to be faster and yes, stronger. Had the Pres. not acted things would have been worse with more major banks and businesses in ruins (more lost jobs). Let's not be short of memory and lets give the Dems another 2 years to dig us out of 8 years of failed, deregulated Republican policies. Think before you turn back the clock.

October 24 2010 at 1:05 AM Report abuse -9 rate up rate down Reply
D.Peterson

i guess if you don't like fox you can listen to NPR we all no how un-biased they are

October 24 2010 at 12:16 AM Report abuse +7 rate up rate down Reply
Bigcock

To whom it may concern: Nothing will change folks if Jerry Brown is elected governor. You have heard it all before but let me tell you from someone who has lived through good Jer as governor in his previous term(s). It took years for California to recover after Jerry Brown was out of Sacramento. He was a truly lousy governor. All this talk of his accomplishments is all hog wash. He was so unpopular that when he ran for senator of California he lost miserably. He also ran for president twice and was never a contender both times. The ONLY people supporter Brown are hard core democrats who ONLY support the candidate the party selects. I'm an "Independent" voter and support the candidate best suited and qualified to handle the job which is a big task considering the mess California is in. Meg Whitman has common sense idea to turn California around. She is all about jobs and keeping large companies here in California. More and more companies like "Intel" are moving there operations to neighboring states. With Jerry Brown in charge nothing will change and employment will grow. If he's elected all that voted for him will be regretting it as they sit in the unemployment line. I urge everyone to get out and vote for Meg for a new California!

October 23 2010 at 10:18 PM Report abuse +14 rate up rate down Reply
CHABSENTIA

If these polls are even party accurate then the Electorate is mis-informed clueless and gullible as usual. It is ten days tot he Election and people are undecided or may change their mind?This wasa the same in 2008 when many bought the last eight years of Republican control even though the Democrats took control of Both Houses of Congress in January 2007.The turning point for this Economic mess was in 1999 when that administation made it possible for low income people and institutions to buy homes with no money down, This President is now out campaigning and now we find out that he lost the Nuclear codes for at least a month and people cant get enough of him.. Seventeen percent unemployment for the last fourteen months and Fannie and Freddie who guaranteed these bad mortgages because of this same party and already got a tax payer bailout of two hundred billion now need another three hundred billion and there will be more to come and people are undecided and may change their minds ten days beofore the election?Elect them for another four years. Apparently the pain so far and yet to come is not enough.Meanwhile the present occupant of the WH now states there is no such thing as a shovel ready job and the Speaker who is third in line for President of the United States says that you have to pass the Legislation to be able to read it.Oh yeah. Give them more time.

October 23 2010 at 9:57 PM Report abuse +15 rate up rate down Reply
Dennis

DENNIS WE NEED TO SEND BOXER PACKING BEEN HERE WAY TO LONG AS FOR JERRY IF CALIFORNIA LETS HIM BACK IN THEY ARE GOING TO GET WHAT IS COMMING TO THEM CALIFORNIA NEEDS TO SEND THEM BOTH PACKING !!!!! DENNIS

October 23 2010 at 9:22 PM Report abuse +18 rate up rate down Reply

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