Senate and Governor Race Roundup: Marco Rubio, Jerry Brown Open Big Leads

As the campaigns head into their last laps, Democrat Jerry Brown appears to be breaking away from Republican challenger Meg Whitman in the California governor's race and Republican Marco Rubio looks like he is close to sewing up the Senate race in Florida.

In other new polls Sunday, the Democratic incumbent Martin O'Malley is putting distance between himself and his predecessor, Republican Bob Ehrlich, in the Maryland governor's race.

The Massachusetts governor's race is still competitive, with Democratic incumbent Deval Patrick holding a modest lead over Republican Charlie Baker, but some state political analysts believe Patrick has the edge. In the Ohio governor race, Democratic incumbent Ted Strickland is running neck-and-neck with Republican John Kasich in the latest poll, after a number of polls that had given the advantage to Kasich.

In Colorado, the latest poll shows a close contest in the Senate race between Democratic incumbent Michael Bennet and Republican Ken Buck, who captured the GOP nomination on a surge of Tea Party movement support. Democrat John Hickenlooper still leads in the three-way race for governor, which has been scrambled by former Republican Rep. Tom Tancredo jumping in as a third-party candidate.

Democrat Mark Dayton is leading Republican Tom Emmer in the Minnesota race for governor.

You can find all the details under the state headings below.

Check back here for more updates throughout the day.

Alaska

POLLS RELEASED WEDNESDAY:

Incumbent Lisa Murkowski is tied with Joe Miller, who beat her for the GOP senate nomination, at 37 percent each with Democrat Scott McAdams at 23 percent, with 2 percent undecided. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research, Oct. 15-19).

Arkansas

POLLS RELEASED THURSDAY:

Republican John Boozman leads Democratic incumbent Blanche Lincoln in the Senate race by 55 percent to 34 percent with 5 percent undecided and the remainder preferring other candidates. (Mason-Dixon Research, Oct. 15-19)

POLLS RELEASED WEDNESDAY:

Republican John Boozman leads Democratic incumbent Blanche Lincoln in the Senate race by 55 percent to 41 percent with 2 percent liking neither and 2 percent undecided. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research, Oct. 15-19).

California

Democrat Jerry Brown has jumped to a 52 percent to 39 percent lead over Republican Meg Whitman in California's governor, according to a Los Angeles Times/USC poll conducted Oct. 13-20.

The Times said, "Defections from Meg Whitman's ranks on the part of women, Latinos and nonpartisan voters have fueled" Brown's "abrupt" surge.

A big turning point in the campaign was the revelation in late September by Whitman's former housekeeper for nine years, Nicandra Diaz Santillan, that she had been in the country illegally. Whitman found herself whipsawed between those voters for whom Diaz Santillan's employment ran counter to anti-illegal immigration sentiment and those who felt Whitman had treated her callously in firing her.

In the new poll, Brown's support among likely Latino voters has grown from 20 points to 34 points.

The Senate race remains competitive and little-changed. Three-term Democratic Sen. Barbara Boxer is leading Republican Carly Fiorina by 50 percent to 42 percent. In the September poll, her lead had been 51 percent to 43 percent. The margin of error is 3.2 points.

OTHER RECENT POLLS:

Brown leads Whitman by 46 percent to 41 percent in the governor's race with 6 percent supporting some other candidate and 7 percent undecided. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 21)

Brown leads Whitman in the governor's race by 44 percent to 36 percent, with 16 percent undecided. Whitman had led by 38 percent to 37 percent in September. The margin of error is 3.5 points. (Public Policy Institute of California, Oct. 10-17).

Boxer leads Fiorina in the Senate race by 43 percent to 38 percent, with 13 percent undecided. The margin of error was 3.5 points. Boxer had led in September by 42 percent to 35 percent. (Public Policy Institute of California, Oct. 10-17).

Brown leads Whitman by 47 percent to 40 percent in the governor's race with 8 percent preferring other candidates and 5 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. Brown has a 14 point lead over Whitman among women voters. Whitman's level of support is the lowest in this pollster's tracking surveys dating back to July. (SurveyUSA, Oct. 15-18).

Boxer leads Fiorina by a statistically insignificant 46 percent to 44 percent with 6 percent preferring some other candidate and 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. (SurveyUSA, Oct. 15-18).

Boxer leads Fiorina by 48 percent to 44 percent in the Senate race with 3 percent preferring some other candidate and 5 percent undecided. Last week, Boxer had led by one point. Ten percent of Boxer supporters say they could change their minds as do 8 percent of Fiorina backers. (Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research, Oct. 16).

Brown leads Whitman in the governor's race by 48 percent to 43 percent with 4 percent preferring another candidate and 4 percent undecided. Last week, the two were tied. The margin of error is 3 points. (Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research, Oct. 16).

Colorado

Democratic incumbent Michael Bennet and Republican Ken Buck are tied at 47 percent each in the Senate race, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted Oct. 19-21. Five percent support another candidate and 1 percent is undecided.

In the last SurveyUSA poll, conducted for 9NEWS/Denver Post three weeks ago, Buck had led 48 percent to 43 percent.

In the governor's race, Democrat John Hickenlooper, the mayor of Denver, leads American Constitution Party candidate Tom Tancredo by 49 percent to 39 percent with Republican Dan Maes at 9 percent. Tancredo had been a longtime Republican congressman who jumped into the race because he believed none of the GOP candidates seeking the nomination could win. He is taking 65 percent of the Republican vote.

Other recent polls have shown this race to be closer.

OTHER RECENT POLLS:

Buck leads Bennet by a statistically insignificant 46 percent to 45 percent in the Senate race with 5 percent undecided. In last week's poll, Buck led 47 percent to 43 percent. Six percent of Buck voters and 5 percent of Bennet backers say they could change their minds. Fifty percent say Bennet agrees with President Obama on the issues too often compared to 33 percent who consider it "about the right amount." Forty-nine percent of voters consider Buck's views too extreme, compared to 39 percent who do not and 13 percent who are undecided. (Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research, Oct. 16).

In a Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted Oct. 15-17, Buck leads Bennet by 48 percent to 45 percent with 2 percent preferring someone else and 5 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4.9 points.

Hickenlooper leads Tancredo by 45 percent to 40 percent with 10 percent for Maes, 1 percent preferring some other candidate and 5 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3 points. Last week, Hickenlooper led by 10 points. (Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research, Oct. 16).

In a Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted Oct. 15-17, Hickenlooper leads Tancredo by 46 percent to 35 percent with 14 percent for Maes and 5 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4.9 points.

Connecticut

POLLS RELEASED THURSDAY:

Democrat Richard Blumenthal is leading Republican Linda McMahon by 57 percent to 39 percent with 3 percent for some other candidate and 2 percent undecided. (Suffolk University, Oct. 19-20). See related story.


Florida

Republican Marco Rubio appears to be steaming towards victory in the Florida Senate race, leading independent Charlie Crist by 41 percent to 26 percent with 20 percent for Democrat Kendrick Meek, according to a new St. Petersburg Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9 poll conducted Oct. 15-19.

Julia Clark, a pollster for Ipsos which conducted the survey for the news outlets, told them: "There doesn't seem to be much doubt in our minds that Rubio will take the election."

The Miami Herald said, "The poll shows why the central argument in Rubio's campaign - that he is the only candidate who will stand up to President Barack Obama's agenda - is a winning message. Only 43 percent of voters approve of Obama's handling of his job, while 51 percent disapprove."

OTHER RECENT POLLS:

Republican Rick Scott is leading Democrat Alex Sink by 44 percent to 41 percent in the race for governor. The stories on this poll did not give the percentage of undecided. The margin of error is 4.1 points. (St. Petersburg Times, Miami Herald, Bay News 9, Oct. 15-19).

Scott and Sink are tied at 45 percent each in their race for governor, with 8 percent preferring some other candidate and 2 percent undecided. (Sunshine State News Poll, Oct. 21)

Scott leads Sink in the race for governor by 48 percent to 42 percent with 8 percent preferring some other candidate and 2 percent undecided. This is the widest gap between the two in six months of match-ups by this pollster. Last week Scott led 50 percent to 47 percent. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 18).

CNN/Time/Opinion Research in a poll conducted Oct. 15-19 has Scott leading Sink 49 percent to 46 percent with 4 percent liking neither or preferring some other candidate and 1 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3.5 points.

Republican Marco Rubio leads independent Charlie Crist in the Senate race by 46 percent to 32 percent with 20 percent for Democrat Kendrick Meek, 1 percent liking none of them and 1 percent undecided. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research, Oct. 15-19).

Rubio is leading Crist by 39 percent to 31 percent followed by Meek at 22 percent, with 2 percent for Libertarian Alexander Snitker and 6 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4.4 points. (Suffolk University, Oct. 14-17).

A Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 18 has Rubio ahead of Crist 43 percent to 32 percent with 20 percent for Meek, 2 percent for some other candidate and 3 percent undecided.

Sink is leading Scott by 45 percent to 38 percent in the governor's race with 4 percent favoring some other candidate and 13 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4.4 points. (Suffolk University, Oct. 14-17).

Georgia

POLLS RELEASED TUESDAY:

Republican Nathan Deal is leading Democrat Roy Barnes by 45 percent to 40 percent in the race for governor with 5 percent for Libertarian John Monds and 10 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. (InsiderAdvantage/WSB-TV, Oct. 18).

Illinois

POLLS RELEASED SATURDAY:

Republican Bill Brady is leading Democratic incumbent Pat Quinn 44 percent to 40 percent in the race for governor, with 4 percent for independent Scott Lee Cohen, 3 percent for Green Party candidate Rich Whitney, 1 percent for Libertarian Lex Green and 8 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. (St. Louis Post-Dispatch, KMOV, Oct. 18-20).

Republican Mark Kirk is leading Democrat Alexi Giannoulias in the Senate race by 43 percent to 41 percent with 16 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. (St. Louis Post-Dispatch, KMOV, Oct. 18-20).

POLLS RELEASED THURSDAY:

Brady leads Democratic Quinn by 42 percent to 41 percent in the governor's race with 10 percent split by three other candidates and 6 percent undecided. If the other candidates -- Whitney, Green and Cohen -- were subtracted, Brady would lead a head-to-head match-up by 49 percent to 44 percent, with 7 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4.2 points. (Public Policy Polling, Oct. 14-16).

Brady is leading Quinn 45 percent to 37 percent in the governor's race, with 2 percent for Whitney and 6 percent for Cohen, with 1 percent favoring some other candidate and 8 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. Brady has consistently led Quinn in this poll. His margin last week was 46 percent to 40 percent. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 20).

POLLS RELEASED WEDNESDAY:

Republican Mark Kirk is leading Democrat Alexi Giannoulias 44 percent to 40 percent, with 4 percent for Green Party candidate LeAlan Jones, 8 percent preferring some other candidate and 5 percent undecided. Last week, Giannoulias led by 44 percent to 43 percent. The margin of error is 4 points. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 18).

Kirk leads Giannoulias 46 percent to 45 percent with 4 percent for Jones, 3 percent for Libertarian Mike Labno and 9 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4.2 points. Kirk led by 40 percent to 36 percent in a Sept. 23-26 survey. (Public Policy Polling, Oct. 14-16).

Kentucky

POLLS RELEASED THURSDAY:

Republican Rand Paul is leading Democrat Jack Conway in the Senate race by 48 percent to 43 percent with 9 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. (Mason-Dixon Research, Oct. 18-19).


Maine

POLLS RELEASED FRIDAY:

Republican Paul LePage leads the three-way race for governor with 32 percent with Democrat Libby Mitchell at 20 percent, falling into a statistical tie with independent Eliot Cutler. The margin of error is 4 points. (Critical Insights, Oct. 13-17).

POLLS RELEASED TUESDAY:

LePage is leading Mitchell by 33 percent to 28 percent with 14 percent for Cutler and 3 percent for some other candidate. The margin of error is 4.4 points. (Pan Atlantic SMS Group, Oct. 11-15).

Michigan

POLLS RELEASED TUESDAY:

Republican Rick Snyder leads Democrat Virg Bernero in the governor's race by 54 percent to 34 percent with 4 percent favoring some other candidate and 8 percent undecided. In the previous poll, Snyder led by 51 percent to 38 percent. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 17)

Maryland

Democratic incumbent Martin O'Malley leads Republican Bob Ehrlich by 52 percent to 38 percent, according to a Baltimore Sun poll conducted Oct. 15-20.

While more than 4 in 10 voters said they want to elect new candidates to office, the Sun says that sentiment doesn't appear to be helping Ehrlich, who lost the governorship to O'Malley in the last election. Pollster Steve Rabe, whose Opinionworks company conducted the poll, told the Sun that Ehrlich is viewed as a "quasi-incumbent" who "doesn't get the change mantle."

Raabe also said that O'Malley had "done a good job of securing his base" among Democrats who, unlike the case in some other states, seem as motivated as Republicans in this campaign.

Massachusetts

Democratic incumbent Deval Patrick leads Republican Charlie Baker by a slim 43 percent to 39 percent with independent Tim Cahill at 8 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 2 percent, according to a new Boston Globe poll conducted Oct. 17-22. The margin of error is 4.3 points.

Although that lead is within the margin of error, the Globe called it "an encouraging sign for the incumbent heading into the final full week of campaigning" given that its survey last month showed Patrick ahead of Baker by only 35 percent to 34 percent.

Patrick and Baker both get a strong level of supports from their own parties putting a focus on independents who the Globe says make up more than half of the electorate. Baker leads Patrick among independents by 47 percent to 43 percent.

Pollster Andrew Smith of the University of New Hampshire's Survey Center told the Globe that Patrick may end up weathering low job-approval ratings and voter unhappiness with the direction of the state because the independent candidacy of Cahill is "still drawing enough support to be significant, the state continues to be heavily Democratic, and Baker has turned some voters off.

OTHER RECENT POLLS:

Patrick is leading Baker in the governor's race 44 percent to 36 percent with 8 percent for Cahill 5 percent for Stein and 5 percent undecided. This includes "leaners." Sixty-nine percent of Cahill voters say they may yet change their minds -- typical for third-party candidates as election day approaches -- while 26 percent of Patrick backers and 18 percent of Baker backers are in that category. The margin of error is 5 points. Baker is leading among independents with 32 percent to 26 percent for Patrick, 22 percent for Cahill and 6 percent for Stein. (Western New England College Polling Institute, Oct. 16-21).

Minnesota

POLLS RELEASED SUNDAY:

Democrat Mark Dayton leads Republican Tom Emmer by 41 percent to 34 percent followed by independent Tom Horner, with 13 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3.9 points. (Star Tribune Minnesota Poll, Oct. 18-21).

POLLS RELEASED FRIDAY:

Dayton leads Emmer in the race for governor by 44 percent to 41 percent with 10 percent for Horner and 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. In an Oct. 6 poll, Dayton had led 40 percent to 38 percent. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 20)

Missouri

POLLS RELEASED SATURDAY:

Republican Roy Blunt is leading Democrat Robin Carnahan in the Senate race by 49 percent to 40 percent with 3 percent for other candidates and 8 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. (St. Louis Post-Dispatch, KMOV, Oct. 18-20).

POLLS RELEASED WEDNESDAY:

Republican Roy Blunt is leading Democrat Robin Carnahan by 52 percent to 43 percent, with 2 percent for some other candidate and 3 percent undecided. Last week, Blunt led by about the same margin. The margin of error is 4 points. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 19).

POLLS RELEASED TUESDAY:

Blunt leads Carnahan 49 percent to 43 percent with 3 percent preferring some other candidate and 5 percent undecided. Seven percent of those supporting each candidate say they could change their minds. The margin of error is 3 points. (Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research, Oct. 16).

New Hampshire

POLLS RELEASED TUESDAY:

Democratic incumbent John Lynch leads Republican John Stephen in the governor's race 51 percent to 38 percent with 3 percent for other candidates and 9 percent undecided. Last month, Lynch had led 51 percent to 34 percent with 14 percent undecided. (WMUR/University of New Hampshire, Oct. 7-12).

Nevada

POLLS RELEASED TUESDAY:

Republican Brian Sandoval is leading Democrat Roy Reid in the race for governor by 56 percent to 37 percent with 2 percent favoring some other candidate and 4 percent undecided. Last week, Sandoval led 55 percent to 40 percent. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 17)

New York

Democrat Andrew Cuomo is leading Republican Carl Paladino in the race for governor by 60 percent to 37 percent, with 2 percent undecided. (Marist Institute, released Oct. 22).

A Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 19 has Cuomo ahead 51 percent to 37 percent with 5 percent preferring some other candidate and 6 percent undecided.

Ohio

The governor's race in Ohio is a dead heat coming down the stretch with Republican John Kasich leading Democratic incumbent Ted Strickland by 49 percent to 47 percent with 5 percent undecided or backing another candidate, according to an Ohio Newspaper poll conducted Oct. 14-18. The margin of error is 3.3 points.

Kasich had led by 4 points the last time this poll was conducted in late September.

The outcome is likely to be all about which party does a better job turning out its voters. Eric Rademacher of the University of Cincinnati's Institute for Policy research, which conducted the poll, told the Ohio news organizations, ""It's a close race, but the dynamics, especially the advantage the Republicans have in turnout, still favor Kasich."

The poll found a high percentage of voters in both camps who said they may yet change their minds.

As with other polls, the survey shows the Senate race likely to be a big victory for Republican Rob Portman, who is leading Democrat Lee Fisher by 58 percent to 39 percent.

OTHER RECENT POLLS:

Portman leads Fisher in the Senate Race by 55 percent to 40 percent with 2 percent answering "other" or "neither" and 3 percent undecided. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research, Oct. 15-19).

Quinnipiac University, in a poll conducted Oct. 12-17 has Portman ahead of Fisher by 55 percent to 34 percent with 10 percent undecided.

CNN/Time/Opinion Research, in a poll conducted Oct. 15-19) has Strickland leading Kasich in the governor's race by 48 percent to 47 percent with 2 percent in the "other/neither" category and 2 percent undecided. This is at sharp variance with a Quinnipiac University poll conducted Oct. 12-17 that had Kasich ahead by 10 points.

Kasich leads Democratic incumbent Ted Strickland in the governor's race by 49 percent to 43 percent with 3 percent for some other candidate and 5 percent undecided. Last week, Kasich led 47 percent to 42 percent. The margin of error is 3 points. (Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research, Oct. 16).

Oregon

POLLS RELEASED TUESDAY:

Democrat John Kitzhaber leads Republican Chris Dudley in the race for governor by 48 percent to 47 percent with 5 percent undecided. The margin of error is 2.8 points. (Daily Kos/Public Policy Polling, Oct. 16-17).

Pennsylvania

POLLS RELEASED FRIDAY

Republican Tom Corbett leads Democrat Dan Onorato in the race for governor by 49 percent to 44 percent with 6 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3 points. In the previous poll, Corbett had led by 54 percent to 39 percent, with 7 percent undecided. (Quinnipiac University, Oct. 13-17). See related story.

A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll conducted Oct. 16-19 has Corbett leading Onorato by 49 percent to 40 percent, with 11 percent undecided. The margin of error is 5 points.

Democrat Joe Sestak and Republican Pat Toomey are tied in the Senate race at 43 percent each, with 14 percent undecided. (Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call, Oct. 16-19).

Rasmussen Reports, in a poll conducted Oct. 21, has Toomey ahead 48 percent to 44 percent with 7 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. Toomey had led 49 percent to 39 percent in an Oct. 12 poll.

POLLS RELEASED THURSDAY:

Toomey is leading Sestak by 48 percent to 46 percent with 5 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3 points. Toomey had led 50 percent to 43 percent in the previous poll. (Quinnipiac University, Oct. 13-17). See related story.

Corbett now leads Onorato by 48 percent to 46 percent in the race for governor, with 6 percent undecided. This is a significant closing of the gap by Onorato compared to months of polling showing Corbett ahead. The margin of error is 3.7 points. (Public Policy Polling, Oct. 17-18). See related story.

POLLS RELEASED WEDNESDAY:

Sestak is leading Toomey in the race to fill Sen. Arlen Specter's seat by 44 percent to 41 percent with 15 percent undecided. The margin of error is 5 points. In a Sept. 28-Oct. 4 poll, Toomey had led 46 percent to 39 percent. (Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call, Oct. 16-19).

Corbett is leading Onorato 47 percent to 40 percent with 14 percent undecided in the race for governor. The margin of error is 5 points. In a Sept. 28-Oct. 4 poll, Corbett had led 47 percent to 37 percent. (Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call, Oct. 16-19).

Rhode Island

POLLS RELEASED FRIDAY:

Republican-turned-independent Lincoln Chafee leads Democrat Frank Caprio 35 percent to 28 percent in the race for governor with 25 percent for Republican John Robitaille. Six percent back Moderate Party candidate Ken Block and 6 percent are undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. In an Oct. 4 poll, Chafee had led Caprio by only 33 percent to 30 percent, with 22 percent for Robitaille. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 21).

South Carolina

POLLS RELEASED FRIDAY:

Republican Nikki Haley leads Democrat Vincent Sheheen by 51 percent to 37 percent with 3 percent for some other candidate and 9 percent undecided. (InsiderAdvantage, Oct. 19)

POLLS RELEASED THURSDAY:

Related Stories Republican Nikki Haley is leading Democrat Vincent Sheheen by 47 percent to 38 percent in the race to succeed GOP Gov. Mark Sanford, with 4 percent preferring some other candidate and 11 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4.5 points. In a Sept. 22 poll, Haley had held a 50 percent to 33 percent margin. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 19). See related story.

Texas

POLLS RELEASED SATURDAY:

Republican incumbent Rick Perry leads Democrat Bill White in the governor's race by 51 percent to 43 percent with 2 percent preferring some other candidate and 5 percent undecided. Perry had led 53 percent to 42 percent in an Oct. 6 poll. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 21).


Washington

POLLS RELEASED TUESDAY:

Democratic incumbent Patty Murray is leading Republican Dino Rossi by 49 percent to 47 percent with 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 2.3 points. (Public Policy Polling, Oct. 14-16).

West Virginia

POLLS RELEASED WEDNESDAY:

Republican John Raese leads Democratic Gov. Joe Manchin in the race to fill the Senate seat of the late Robert Byrd by 50 percent to 43 percent with 2 percent preferring some other candidate and 5 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 19)

POLLS RELEASED TUESDAY:

Raese is leading Manchin in the Senate race by 48 percent to 45 percent, with 2 percent preferring some other candidate and 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3 points. Thirteen percent of Raese supporters and 12 percent of Manchin backers say they could change their minds. (Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research, Oct. 16).

Wisconsin

POLLS RELEASED TUESDAY:

Republican Ron Johnson is leading Democratic incumbent Russ Feingold in the race for the Senate by 49 percent to 47 percent with 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 5 points. (St. Norbert College/Wisconsin Public Radio, Oct. 12-15).

Republican Scott Walker leads Democrat Tom Barrett in the governor's race by 50 percent to 41 percent with 2 percent preferring some other choice and 6 percent undecided. The margin of error is 5 points. (St. Norbert College/Wisconsin Public Radio, Oct. 12-15)

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