Roundup of Governor, Senate Polls: Tom Tancredo Making a Race of It in Colorado

Our roundup of polls from over the weekend and Monday on the races for governor and Senate updates or adds Colorado, Connecticut, Georgia, Hawaii, Illinois, Indiana, Maryland, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Texas and West Virginia.

The biggest news so far today in these polls is the Colorado governor's race. If you thought the Senate race was tight (a new poll has Democrat Michael Bennet and Republican Ken Buck tied), former Republican Rep. Tom Tancredo has battled his way to within three points of Democrat John Hickenlooper, the mayor of Denver.

For Republicans, this contest has been a roller-coaster ride all along. Former Rep. Scott McInnis, considered the frontrunner for the GOP nomination, was undone by damaging disclosures that he had engaged in plagiarism when he produced a series of public policy papers on water issues for which he had been paid $300,000. Businessman Dan Maes then upset him in the GOP primary. Tancredo, best known for his vocal campaign against illegal immigration, had warned both of them to drop out because he believed neither could beat Hickenlooper -- or he would jump in.

Tancredo issued the ultimatum again to Maes and, when Maes, plagued by controversies of his own, refused to drop out, even under pressure from GOP leaders, Tancredo entered the race as the candidate of the American Constitution Party.

While it looked from early polling like Tancredo would divide the Republican vote and hand the race to Hickenlooper, support for Maes from Republicans has collapsed and about three-quarters of GOP voters now are backing Tancredo, in effect, turning the contest back into a two-way race.

Also, in West Virginia, Democratic Gov. Joe Manchin has widened his lead a bit in the race to fill the Senate seat left vacant by the death of Robert Byrd.

You can find all the details and links to the polls under the state headings below.

Check back here for more updates throughout the day.

Alaska

POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:

Incumbent Lisa Murkowski is tied with Joe Miller, who beat her for the GOP senate nomination, at 37 percent each with Democrat Scott McAdams at 23 percent, with 2 percent undecided. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research, Oct. 15-19).

Arkansas

POLLS RELEASED LAST WEEK:

Republican John Boozman leads Democratic incumbent Blanche Lincoln in the Senate race by 55 percent to 34 percent with 5 percent undecided and the remainder preferring other candidates. (Mason-Dixon Research, Oct. 15-19)

Republican John Boozman leads Democratic incumbent Blanche Lincoln in the Senate race by 55 percent to 41 percent with 2 percent liking neither and 2 percent undecided. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research, Oct. 15-19).

California

POLLS FROM SUNDAY:

Democrat Jerry Brown has jumped to a 52 percent to 39 percent lead over Republican Meg Whitman in California's governor. The poll showed Whitman suffering from defections on the part of women, Latinos and nonpartisan voters. A big turning point in the campaign was the revelation in late September by Whitman's former housekeeper for nine years, Nicandra Diaz Santillan, that she had been in the country illegally. Whitman found herself whipsawed between those voters for whom Diaz Santillan's employment ran counter to anti-illegal immigration sentiment and those who felt Whitman had treated her callously in firing her. Brown's support among likely Latino voters has grown from 20 points to 34 points. (Los Angeles Times/USC poll, Oct. 13-20).

Three-term Democratic Sen. Barbara Boxer is leading Republican Carly Fiorina by 50 percent to 42 percent. In the September poll, her lead had been 51 percent to 43 percent. The margin of error is 3.2 points. (Los Angeles Times/USC poll, Oct. 13-20).

POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:

Brown leads Whitman by 46 percent to 41 percent in the governor's race with 6 percent supporting some other candidate and 7 percent undecided. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 21)

Brown leads Whitman in the governor's race by 44 percent to 36 percent, with 16 percent undecided. Whitman had led by 38 percent to 37 percent in September. The margin of error is 3.5 points. (Public Policy Institute of California, Oct. 10-17).

Boxer leads Fiorina in the Senate race by 43 percent to 38 percent, with 13 percent undecided. The margin of error was 3.5 points. Boxer had led in September by 42 percent to 35 percent. (Public Policy Institute of California, Oct. 10-17).

Colorado

POLLS FROM MONDAY:

Democrat John Hickenlooper is hanging on to a 47 percent to 44 percent lead over American Constitution Party candidate Tom Tancredo, with Republican Dan Maes at 5 percent and 4 percent undecided. The collapse of party support for the GOP nominee has meant that Tancredo, a former Republican congressman, has been able to garner 73 percent of the Republican vote, effectively turning what started as a three-way race into a two-way match-up that is more competitive. (Public Policy Polling, Oct. 21-23).

Democrat Michael Bennet and Republican Ken Buck are tied at 47 percent each in the Senate race, with 6 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3.4 points. (Public Policy Polling, Oct. 21-23).

POLLS FROM SUNDAY:

Bennet and Buck are tied at 47 percent each in the Senate race. Five percent support another candidate and 1 percent is undecided. In the last poll, Buck had led 48 percent to 43 percent. (SurveyUSA poll conducted Oct. 19-21).

In the governor's race, Hickenlooper leads Tancredo by 49 percent to 39 percent with Republican Dan Maes at 9 percent. He is taking 65 percent of the Republican vote in this poll. (SurveyUSA poll conducted Oct. 19-21).

POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:

Buck leads Bennet by a statistically insignificant 46 percent to 45 percent in the Senate race with 5 percent undecided. In last week's poll, Buck led 47 percent to 43 percent. Six percent of Buck voters and 5 percent of Bennet backers say they could change their minds. Fifty percent say Bennet agrees with President Obama on the issues too often compared to 33 percent who consider it "about the right amount." Forty-nine percent of voters consider Buck's views too extreme, compared to 39 percent who do not and 13 percent who are undecided. (Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research, Oct. 16).

In a Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted Oct. 15-17, Buck leads Bennet by 48 percent to 45 percent with 2 percent preferring someone else and 5 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4.9 points.

Hickenlooper leads Tancredo by 45 percent to 40 percent with 10 percent for Maes, 1 percent preferring some other candidate and 5 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3 points. Last week, Hickenlooper led by 10 points. (Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research, Oct. 16).

In a Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted Oct. 15-17, Hickenlooper leads Tancredo by 46 percent to 35 percent with 14 percent for Maes and 5 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4.9 points.

Connecticut

POLLS FROM MONDAY:

Democrat Richard Blumenthal leads Republican Linda McMahon by 56 percent to 43 percent in the Senate race with 2 percent undecided or preferring some other candidate. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 24)

POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:

Democrat Richard Blumenthal is leading Republican Linda McMahon by 57 percent to 39 percent with 3 percent for some other candidate and 2 percent undecided. (Suffolk University, Oct. 19-20). See related story.

Florida

POLLS FROM SUNDAY:

Republican Marco Rubio appears to be steaming towards victory in the Florida Senate race, leading independent Charlie Crist by 41 percent to 26 percent with 20 percent for Democrat Kendrick Meek. Julia Clark, a pollster for Ipsos which conducted the survey, said "There doesn't seem to be much doubt in our minds that Rubio will take the election." ( St. Petersburg Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9 poll,Oct. 15-19).

POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:

Republican Rick Scott is leading Democrat Alex Sink by 44 percent to 41 percent in the race for governor. The stories on this poll did not give the percentage of undecided. The margin of error is 4.1 points. (St. Petersburg Times, Miami Herald, Bay News 9, Oct. 15-19).

Scott and Sink are tied at 45 percent each in their race for governor, with 8 percent preferring some other candidate and 2 percent undecided. (Sunshine State News Poll, Oct. 21)

Scott leads Sink in the race for governor by 48 percent to 42 percent with 8 percent preferring some other candidate and 2 percent undecided. This is the widest gap between the two in six months of match-ups by this pollster. Last week Scott led 50 percent to 47 percent. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 18).

CNN/Time/Opinion Research in a poll conducted Oct. 15-19 has Scott leading Sink 49 percent to 46 percent with 4 percent liking neither or preferring some other candidate and 1 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3.5 points.

Republican Marco Rubio leads independent Charlie Crist in the Senate race by 46 percent to 32 percent with 20 percent for Democrat Kendrick Meek, 1 percent liking none of them and 1 percent undecided. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research, Oct. 15-19).

Rubio is leading Crist by 39 percent to 31 percent followed by Meek at 22 percent, with 2 percent for Libertarian Alexander Snitker and 6 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4.4 points. (Suffolk University, Oct. 14-17).

A Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 18 has Rubio ahead of Crist 43 percent to 32 percent with 20 percent for Meek, 2 percent for some other candidate and 3 percent undecided.

Sink is leading Scott by 45 percent to 38 percent in the governor's race with 4 percent favoring some other candidate and 13 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4.4 points. (Suffolk University, Oct. 14-17).

Georgia

POLLS FROM MONDAY:

Republican Nathan Deal is leading Democrat Roy Barnes in the governor's race by 49 percent to 39 percent with 8 percent for Libertarian John Monds, with 3 percent undecided. Both Deal, until recently a congressman, and Barnes, a former one-term governor, get the same high level of support from their respective parties (Republicans are weighted at 42 percent of the sample and Democrats at 34 percent), but Deal leads among independents (20 percent of the sample) by 44 percent to 27 percent with Monds getting 25 percent with 4 percent undecided. Deal needs to hit 50 percent to avoid a runoff. The margin of error is 4.1 points. (SurveyUSA, Oct. 21-24).

POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:

Deal leads Barnes by 45 percent to 40 percent in the race for governor with 5 percent for Libertarian John Monds and 10 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. (InsiderAdvantage/WSB-TV, Oct. 18).

Hawaii

Democrat Neil Abercrombie is leading Republican James Aiona in the governor's race by 51 percent to 43 percent. The margin of error is 4 points. The outgoing governor is Republican Linda Lingle. (Honolulu Star Advertiser, Oct. 12-19).

Illinois

POLLS FROM SUNDAY:

Republican Mark Kirk is leading Democrat Alexi Giannoulias by 44 percent to 41 percent with 7 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3.7 points. The poll said that while the race is still within the margin of error, the trend seems favorable to Kirk as independents, suburban voters and Republicans are all moving toward him. Four weeks ago, Giannoulias led in this poll by 38 percent to 36 percent with 17 percent undecided. One in five voters say they trust neither candidate, both of whom have had to contend with damaging disclosures about them during the campaign. (Chicago Tribune/WGN, Oct. 18-22).

POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:

Republican Bill Brady is leading Democratic incumbent Pat Quinn 44 percent to 40 percent in the race for governor, with 4 percent for independent Scott Lee Cohen, 3 percent for Green Party candidate Rich Whitney, 1 percent for Libertarian Lex Green and 8 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. (St. Louis Post-Dispatch, KMOV, Oct. 18-20).

Republican Mark Kirk is leading Democrat Alexi Giannoulias in the Senate race by 43 percent to 41 percent with 16 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. (St. Louis Post-Dispatch, KMOV, Oct. 18-20).

Brady leads Democratic Quinn by 42 percent to 41 percent in the governor's race with 10 percent split by three other candidates and 6 percent undecided. If the other candidates -- Whitney, Green and Cohen -- were subtracted, Brady would lead a head-to-head match-up by 49 percent to 44 percent, with 7 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4.2 points. (Public Policy Polling, Oct. 14-16).

Brady is leading Quinn 45 percent to 37 percent in the governor's race, with 2 percent for Whitney and 6 percent for Cohen, with 1 percent favoring some other candidate and 8 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. Brady has consistently led Quinn in this poll. His margin last week was 46 percent to 40 percent. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 20).

Indiana

POLLS FROM MONDAY:

Former Republican Sen. Dan Coats looks like a cinch to return to the Senate from Indiana, with a new poll showing him ahead of Democrat Brad Ellsworth by 53 percent to 35 percent, with Libertarian Rebecca Sink Burris at 5 percent and the remainder undecided. This is the seat being given up by Democrat Evan Bayh. (EPIC-MRA, Oct. 19-21).

A Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 20 had Coats ahead by 52 percent to 34 percent with 5 percent for some other candidate and 9 percent undecided.

Kentucky

POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:

Republican Rand Paul is leading Democrat Jack Conway in the Senate race by 48 percent to 43 percent with 9 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. (Mason-Dixon Research, Oct. 18-19).

Maine

POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:

Republican Paul LePage leads the three-way race for governor with 32 percent with Democrat Libby Mitchell at 20 percent, falling into a statistical tie with independent Eliot Cutler. The margin of error is 4 points. (Critical Insights, Oct. 13-17).

LePage is leading Mitchell by 33 percent to 28 percent with 14 percent for Cutler and 3 percent for some other candidate. The margin of error is 4.4 points. (Pan Atlantic SMS Group, Oct. 11-15).

Maryland

POLLS FROM MONDAY

Democrat Martin O'Malley leads Republican Bob Ehrlich by 54 percent to 40 percent with 3 percent preferring another choice and 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 2.5 points. In a Sept. 26 poll, O'Malley had led by 49 percent to 35 percent. Seven percent of Ehrlich supports and 6 percent of O'Malley backers say there is a good chance they might change their minds. O'Malley beats Ehrlich on the question of who "understands the problems of people like you" by 51 percent to 36 percent with the remainder undecided or in the "both/neither" column. (Washington Post, Oct. 19-22).

Rasmussen Reports, in a poll conducted Oct. 24, has O'Malley ahead 52 percent to 42 percent with 2 percent for some other candidate and 5 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points.

POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:

Democratic incumbent Martin O'Malley leads Republican Bob Ehrlich by 52 percent to 38 percent. While more than 4 in 10 voters said they want to elect new candidates to office, the survey said that sentiment doesn't appear to be helping Ehrlich, who lost the governorship to O'Malley in the last election. Pollster Steve Raabe, whose Opinionworks company conducted the poll, told the Sun that Ehrlich is viewed as a "quasi-incumbent" who "doesn't get the change mantle." (Baltimore Sun, Oct. 15-20).

Massachusetts

POLLS FROM SUNDAY:

Democratic incumbent Deval Patrick leads Republican Charlie Baker by a slim 43 percent to 39 percent with independent Tim Cahill at 8 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 2 percent. The margin of error is 4.3 points. Although that lead is within the margin of error, the poll called it "an encouraging sign for the incumbent heading into the final full week of campaigning" given that its survey last month showed Patrick ahead of Baker by only 35 percent to 34 percent. (Boston Globe poll conducted Oct. 17-22).

POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:

Patrick is leading Baker in the governor's race 44 percent to 36 percent with 8 percent for Cahill 5 percent for Stein and 5 percent undecided. This includes "leaners." Sixty-nine percent of Cahill voters say they may yet change their minds -- typical for third-party candidates as election day approaches -- while 26 percent of Patrick backers and 18 percent of Baker backers are in that category. The margin of error is 5 points. Baker is leading among independents with 32 percent to 26 percent for Patrick, 22 percent for Cahill and 6 percent for Stein. (Western New England College Polling Institute, Oct. 16-21).

Michigan

POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:

Republican Rick Snyder leads Democrat Virg Bernero in the governor's race by 54 percent to 34 percent with 4 percent favoring some other candidate and 8 percent undecided. In the previous poll, Snyder led by 51 percent to 38 percent. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 17)

Minnesota

POLLS FROM SUNDAY:

Democrat Mark Dayton leads Republican Tom Emmer by 41 percent to 34 percent followed by independent Tom Horner, with 13 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3.9 points. (Star Tribune Minnesota Poll, Oct. 18-21).

POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:

Dayton leads Emmer in the race for governor by 44 percent to 41 percent with 10 percent for Horner and 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. In an Oct. 6 poll, Dayton had led 40 percent to 38 percent. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 20)

Missouri

POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:

Republican Roy Blunt is leading Democrat Robin Carnahan in the Senate race by 49 percent to 40 percent with 3 percent for other candidates and 8 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. (St. Louis Post-Dispatch, KMOV, Oct. 18-20).

Republican Roy Blunt is leading Democrat Robin Carnahan by 52 percent to 43 percent, with 2 percent for some other candidate and 3 percent undecided. Last week, Blunt led by about the same margin. The margin of error is 4 points. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 19).

Blunt leads Carnahan 49 percent to 43 percent with 3 percent preferring some other candidate and 5 percent undecided. Seven percent of those supporting each candidate say they could change their minds. The margin of error is 3 points. (Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research, Oct. 16).

New Hampshire

POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:

Democratic incumbent John Lynch leads Republican John Stephen in the governor's race 51 percent to 38 percent with 3 percent for other candidates and 9 percent undecided. Last month, Lynch had led 51 percent to 34 percent with 14 percent undecided. (WMUR/University of New Hampshire, Oct. 7-12).

Nevada

POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:

Republican Brian Sandoval is leading Democrat Roy Reid in the race for governor by 56 percent to 37 percent with 2 percent favoring some other candidate and 4 percent undecided. Last week, Sandoval led 55 percent to 40 percent. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 17)

New York

POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:

Democrat Andrew Cuomo is leading Republican Carl Paladino in the race for governor by 60 percent to 37 percent, with 2 percent undecided. (Marist Institute, released Oct. 22).

A Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 19 has Cuomo ahead 51 percent to 37 percent with 5 percent preferring some other candidate and 6 percent undecided.

Ohio

POLLS FROM SUNDAY:

The governor's race in Ohio is a dead heat coming down the stretch with Republican John Kasich leading Democratic incumbent Ted Strickland by 49 percent to 47 percent with 5 percent undecided or backing another candidate. The margin of error is 3.3 points. Kasich had led by 4 points the last time this poll was conducted in late September. The outcome is likely to be all about which party does a better job turning out its voters. Eric Rademacher of the University of Cincinnati's Institute for Policy research, which conducted the poll, told Ohio news organizations, "It's a close race, but the dynamics, especially the advantage the Republicans have in turnout, still favor Kasich." (Ohio Newspaper poll, Oct. 14-18).

Republican Rob Portman leads Democrat Lee Fisher by 58 percent to 39 percent. (Ohio Newspaper poll,Oct. 14-18).

POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:

Portman leads Fisher in the Senate Race by 55 percent to 40 percent with 2 percent answering "other" or "neither" and 3 percent undecided. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research, Oct. 15-19).

Quinnipiac University, in a poll conducted Oct. 12-17 has Portman ahead of Fisher by 55 percent to 34 percent with 10 percent undecided.

CNN/Time/Opinion Research, in a poll conducted Oct. 15-19) has Strickland leading Kasich in the governor's race by 48 percent to 47 percent with 2 percent in the "other/neither" category and 2 percent undecided. This is at sharp variance with a Quinnipiac University poll conducted Oct. 12-17 that had Kasich ahead by 10 points.

Kasich leads Democratic incumbent Ted Strickland in the governor's race by 49 percent to 43 percent with 3 percent for some other candidate and 5 percent undecided. Last week, Kasich led 47 percent to 42 percent. The margin of error is 3 points. (Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research, Oct. 16).

Oregon

POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:

Democrat John Kitzhaber holds a statistically-insignificant 45 percent to 44 percent lead over Republican Chris Dudley in his bid to return to the governor's office in Oregon. It is the fourth time this poll has shown the two neck-and-neck. The margin of error is 4.4 points. Kitzhaber had served as governor for two terms ending in 1993. Dudley is a financial adviser and former NBA player.(Elway Poll, Oct. 18-19).

Kitzhaber leads Dudley in the race for governor by 48 percent to 47 percent with 5 percent undecided. The margin of error is 2.8 points. (Daily Kos/Public Policy Polling, Oct. 16-17).

Pennsylvania

POLLS FROM MONDAY:

Republican Pat Toomey leads Democrat Joe Sestak by 47 percent to 32 percent in the Senate race, with 11 percent undecided. The margin of error is 5 points.(Muhlenberg College/Allentown Daily Call daily tracking poll, Oct. 21-24).

Republican Tom Corbett leads Democrat Dan Onorato in the race for governor by 49 percent to 41 percent with 9 percent undecided. The margin of error is 5 points. (Muhlenberg College/Allentown Daily Call daily tracking poll, Oct. 21-24).

POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:

Corbett leads Onorato in the race for governor by 49 percent to 44 percent with 6 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3 points. In the previous poll, Corbett had led by 54 percent to 39 percent, with 7 percent undecided. (Quinnipiac University, Oct. 13-17). See related story.

Toomey leads Sestak in the Senate race by 48 percent to 44 percent with 7 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. Toomey had led 49 percent to 39 percent in an Oct. 12 poll. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 21).

Toomey is leading Sestak by 48 percent to 46 percent with 5 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3 points. Toomey had led 50 percent to 43 percent in the previous poll. (Quinnipiac University, Oct. 13-17). See related story.

Corbett now leads Onorato by 48 percent to 46 percent in the race for governor, with 6 percent undecided. This is a significant closing of the gap by Onorato compared to months of polling showing Corbett ahead. The margin of error is 3.7 points. (Public Policy Polling, Oct. 17-18). See related story.

Rhode Island

POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:

Republican-turned-independent Lincoln Chafee leads Democrat Frank Caprio 35 percent to 28 percent in the race for governor with 25 percent for Republican John Robitaille. Six percent back Moderate Party candidate Ken Block and 6 percent are undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. In an Oct. 4 poll, Chafee had led Caprio by only 33 percent to 30 percent, with 22 percent for Robitaille. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 21).

South Carolina

POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:

Republican Nikki Haley leads Democrat Vincent Sheheen by 51 percent to 37 percent with 3 percent for some other candidate and 9 percent undecided. (InsiderAdvantage, Oct. 19)

Republican Nikki Haley is leading Democrat Vincent Sheheen by 47 percent to 38 percent in the race to succeed GOP Gov. Mark Sanford, with 4 percent preferring some other candidate and 11 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4.5 points. In a Sept. 22 poll, Haley had held a 50 percent to 33 percent margin. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 19). See related story.

Texas

POLLS FROM MONDAY:

Republican incumbent Rick Perry leads Democrat Bill White in the governor's race by 50 percent to 40 percent with 8 percent for Libertarian Kathie Glass and 2 percent for Green Party candidate Deb Shafto. Perry is in the lead even though he does not have great job approval numbers, with 45 percent approving of his performance, 37 percent disapproving, 13 percent neither approving or disapproving and 5 percent undecided. That's reflected in the fact that a modest 53 percent of Perry backers describe their support as "strong." Seventy-two percent of White backers say they are strong supporters. (University of Texas/Texas Tribune, Oct. 11-18).

POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:

Republican incumbent Rick Perry leads Democrat Bill White in the governor's race by 51 percent to 43 percent with 2 percent preferring some other candidate and 5 percent undecided. Perry had led 53 percent to 42 percent in an Oct. 6 poll. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 21).

Washington

POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:

Democratic incumbent Patty Murray is leading Republican Dino Rossi by 49 percent to 47 percent with 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 2.3 points. (Public Policy Polling, Oct. 14-16).

West Virginia

POLLS FROM MONDAY

Democratic Gov. Joe Manchin has notched up his lead over Republican John Raese in the Senate race, running ahead of him by 50 percent to 44 percent, with 6 percent undecided. The margin of error is 2.8 points. Two weeks ago, this poll had him ahead by only 3 points. Manchin's personal popularity remains high, but he has been struggling against a tide of anti-Democratic feeling reflected by the 65 percent of voters who disapprove of the job that President Obama is doing. (Public Policy Polling, Oct. 23-24)

POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:

Republican John Raese leads Democratic Gov. Joe Manchin in the race to fill the Senate seat of the late Robert Byrd by 50 percent to 43 percent with 2 percent preferring some other candidate and 5 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 19)

Raese is leading Manchin in the Senate race by 48 percent to 45 percent, with 2 percent preferring some other candidate and 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3 points. Thirteen percent of Raese supporters and 12 percent of Manchin backers say they could change their minds. (Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research, Oct. 16).

Wisconsin

POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:

Republican Ron Johnson is leading Democratic incumbent Russ Feingold in the race for the Senate by 49 percent to 47 percent with 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 5 points. (St. Norbert College/Wisconsin Public Radio, Oct. 12-15).

Republican Scott Walker leads Democrat Tom Barrett in the governor's race by 50 percent to 41 percent with 2 percent preferring some other choice and 6 percent undecided. The margin of error is 5 points. (St. Norbert College/Wisconsin Public Radio, Oct. 12-15)

Follow Poll Watch on Twitter

Visit the Poll Watch Home Page and see all the latest polls in one place

Read Politics Daily's 2010 Elections Round-Up