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Poll: Democrats Are Losing Keys to Victory They Held in 2008

4 years ago
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Many of the major building blocks in the big 2008 victory by President Obama and fellow Democrats have crumbled this year, with voters in them showing big swings to the Republican side in the midterm elections, according to a New York Times/CBS News poll conducted Oct. 16-21. (Story; Poll Data).
The most dramatic shift has been among independents, who most national and state polls show to have grown far more negative about Obama, in particular, and the Democrats in general since two years ago. Independents now are more Republican by 20 points.
Women, who 2008 exit polls showed supporting Obama by 56 percent to 43 percent, have moved into the Republican column by almost 5 points.
VotersCatholics have shifted in favor of the Republicans by almost 25 points (in 2008, they backed Obama by 54 percent to 45 percent); families earning under $50,000 a year have moved to the GOP side, although by less dramatic numbers; and voters in the 30-to-44 age group, who went for Obama by 52 percent to 46 percent, now are more Republican by almost five points. (Poll chart of where groups stand now; 2008 Exit Poll data).
The Democrats have also suffered setbacks in the West, where they won Colorado and New Mexico in 2008, with that region becoming more Republican this year by 10 points.
That's not to say that voters are delighted with either party. Even though 46 percent of likely voters say they will back the Republican candidate in their congressional district compared to 40 percent for Democrats (with the remainder undecided, favoring other candidates or answering that their choice "depends"), the Republican Party is seen unfavorably by 52 percent compared to 41 percent who regard it favorably, while the Democratic Party does better, with 48 percent seeing them unfavorably compared to 46 percent who see it favorably.
But the acid test this year is which voters are more likely to go to the polls, and just about every survey has said the Republicans have the advantage on that score.
Despite all the attention that the tea party has garnered, 55 percent say a candidate's claim to represent the movement will make no difference to their vote, 28 percent said they would be less likely to vote for that person and 12 percent said they would be more likely to do so.
More than three-quarters of those polled want to see congressional Democrats and Republicans compromise more.
Seventy-two percent believe that President Obama will try to work with congressional Republicans if they take over Capitol Hill, but they have a mixed view as to whether the Republicans, in victory, will work with Obama: 46 percent say they will, 45 percent predict they won't and 9 percent are undecided.
Obama's job approval rating right now stands at 47 percent who disapprove and 45 percent who approve, with 8 percent undecided. But asked if voters felt generally optimistic or pessimistic about the next two years under Obama, 56 percent said they were optimistic compared to 37 percent who said they were with pessimistic, with 7 percent undecided.
But so far his presidency has disappointed 54 percent of Americans while 45 are somewhat or very satisfied with it. At the two ends of the spectrum, when it comes to intensity of feeling on that question, 13 percent say they are "very" satisfied while 29 percent are "very" disappointed.
Fifty-one percent say the economy is about where they expected it to be today when Obama took office, 36 percent consider it worse and 11 percent believe it is better.
Former President Bush still tops the list of those who get the blame for the current state of the economy, with 30 percent singling him out. Twenty-two percent blame Wall Street and financial institutions, 13 percent blame Congress, 8 percent say it is Obama's responsibility and the remainder name another culprit, or say it is a combination of the players or are undecided.


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27 Comments

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sw3254@aol.com

I am an older black female, reared in the deep south .I witnessed some of the most painful and mind boggling situation one could ever imagine, regarding racial issue.My deepest dream was to someday be able to forget the immense pain and the anger and hatred that was geared toward black people .I would like to know how is it possible to exhibit so much rage toward someone and be able to sleep at nght . Please help me to understand. How is it in the year of 2010 the situation remains the status quo..whhhy.

October 30 2010 at 7:18 AM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
ETazelaar

The elected democrats in Washington, D.C. have brought this on themselves by not truly representing the people who had placed their trust in them to represent the people back home. The decision to go after the health insurance companies to bring about health care reform was totally off target. Instead, they should have gone after the drug companies, hospitals and the lawyers who go after the big million dollar malpractice suits. They should have worked on fixing the economy and finding ways to finance the already in place state health insurance plans that are there for those with pre-exisiting medical conditions, etc. Make sure you get out to vote on November 2, 2010 and encourage others to get out and vote as well. Help America to be free from Big Government!

October 29 2010 at 1:10 PM Report abuse +5 rate up rate down Reply
sitokhan1

Dems rode into power in 2008 on a wave of populist anger over Bush/Cheney and the Wall St Gang. Then they refused to prosecute Bush/Cheney, and took the bullet for Wall St. Repubs appropriated the rage over that and combined it with their nutcase fringe and White Supremacists and sold it to their conservative-controlled media as a mandate. Obama should reinstate the Fairness Doctrine, and start with AOL, a Mini-Me of FoxNews.

October 29 2010 at 3:52 AM Report abuse -11 rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to sitokhan1's comment
Tommie E

Why is everyone forgetting that the Dems controlled Congress the last 2 years of Bush's administration? What was put in place, they helped to do. So get over the "blame game". I am not for Republicans or Democrats. I just want some honest, moral, non-corruptible, people in our Governing Bodies, that can make a decision that does not require 2000 pages of laws to make it effective. Come on, Guys, let's get away from party line rhetoric and start thinking with our brains and not our emotions. Get in touch with your polticiians and let them know YOUR VOTE is the one that counts and if they do not do what is right, YOUR VOTE will take them out the next election.

October 29 2010 at 12:14 PM Report abuse +6 rate up rate down Reply
cathey

Stop sending our jobs to China and etc. Stop taxing exports. Start taxing more for imports. Lower wages for Gov employes. Make everyone pay there share for tax's. Instead for giving money to the Banks, give a million to every person in the US this would have saved us lots of money. People would have spent it on homes and ect and the banks would have been paid. Last of all make the GOP work with the Dems on health care and everything else.

October 28 2010 at 3:41 PM Report abuse -13 rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to cathey's comment
tistolaugh

Do you work at Disneyland's Fantasyland?

October 28 2010 at 5:32 PM Report abuse +15 rate up rate down Reply
EKARAN

Maybe if we can replace the dems we can have some of that hope.

October 28 2010 at 1:15 PM Report abuse +24 rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to EKARAN's comment
rfus98

you had 8 years with Bush very bad results

October 28 2010 at 8:43 PM Report abuse -12 rate up rate down Reply
oldengineera2

They lied, then failed to deliver the sustainability, jobs, transparency, and postpartisan, postracial administration they promised. Who can fault voters wanting what was promised?

October 28 2010 at 12:40 PM Report abuse +35 rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to oldengineera2's comment
tistolaugh

So in other words, nothing 'changed' at all. Same old politics, same old lying, same old phony promises, same old partisan gaming by the same old politicians living a life of luxury on the taxpayer backs. Voters can and should hold these phonies accountable by voting them out every election until they are all replaced with Independents who put America first for once.

October 28 2010 at 3:13 PM Report abuse +16 rate up rate down Reply
Ed

"No matter which party comes out on top in next week's midterm elections, getting legislation through the next Congress will be an uphill battle at best and virtually impossible at worst." For once Fox News got something right. Don't expect to much from this election GOP'ers. The Democrats expected too much last time and there is no way that the GOP is going to finish this election in as strong of a position as the Democrats were in after the last one.

October 28 2010 at 11:54 AM Report abuse -17 rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to Ed's comment
GOD in all u DO

Very true but the conservatives in congress need to still try to change things and let the LIBs go against what the american people want. the midterm victory needs to be used as a staging ground for the 2012 elections....when really change can happen. the worst thing Conservatives can do it cave into the LIBs and play there games. Tuesday will be Historic but the next 2 years will be crazy!!!

October 29 2010 at 12:44 PM Report abuse +4 rate up rate down Reply
Kenneth

This all because people are beginning to understand that our government operates against the people and the way our government was designed if one party has total control. We the people are responsible for those we elect. The only way we can have control is by keeping balance in Washington and even your state government. Think about it we all are complaining about the Bush years (six of which were totally republican) and now we have a totally democratic situation. We all register one way or the other for the right to vote but we should always vote for a balanced government. It forces both sides to work together for a better balance in legislation. If balanced we can make our government more accountable to the people. We all what transparency with balance we can demand it. We also have better control of the individual we place in office on how he votes on legislation by threatening him with his job. Just like you would do if you owned a business and had employees that were not doing the job you hired them to do. Government is nothing more then a large corporation and we are the stock holders.

October 28 2010 at 11:39 AM Report abuse +14 rate up rate down Reply

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