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Latest Roundup of Polls for Key Senate and Governor Races
2 years ago
Our Friday roundup of polls and key governor and Senate races updates California, Colorado, Florida, Kentucky, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Nevada, Rhode Island, Texas, Washington and Wisconsin.
You can find all the details and links to the polls under the state headings below.
Check back here for more updates throughout the day.
Alaska
POLLS FROM THURSDAY:
A new poll by Hays Research of the Alaska Senate race doesn't plug in incumbent Lisa Murkowski by name, but "write-in candidate" -- which is how she's running after her defeat in the GOP primary -- leads the field with 34 percent. Democrat Scott McAdams runs second at 29 percent, and Republican nominee Joe Miller at 23 percent with 13 percent undecided. The poll was conducted Oct. 25-26 and has a margin of error of 4.4 points.
Murkowski is viewed favorably by 55 percent and unfavorably by 42 percent, with 3 percent having no opinion. Miller is seen unfavorably by 68 percent -- with 60 percent viewing him "very" unfavorably -- while 26 percent have a positive view, with 5 percent undecided or not having heard of him. Fifty-five percent see McAdams favorably while 23 percent see him unfavorably, but 21 percent have no opinion of him or never heard of him.
Arizona
POLLS FROM THURSDAY:
Republican incumbent Jan Brewer is leading Democrat Terry Goddard, the state's attorney general, in the governor's race by 52 percent to 44 percent, according to a Daily Kos/Public Policy Polling survey conducted Oct. 23-24.
The same poll shows Sen. John McCain leading Democrat Rodney Glassman by 56 percent to 38 percent, with 6 percent undecided.
Arkansas
POLLS RELEASED WEDNESDAY:
Republican John Boozman is leading Democratic incumbent Blanche Lincoln in the Senate race by 48 percent to 36 percent with 16 percent undecided, according to a University of Arkansas poll conducted Oct. 8-20.
Poll director Janine Parry said, "This election, as always in Arkansas, lies in the hands of people not closely aligned with either major party. Both parties are losing loyalists in a rough economy, meaning the percentage of unaffiliated respondents has swelled to the largest proportion we've recorded."
Forty-four percent of those identifying themselves as independents felt closer to the Republican party and, when it comes to those who are likely voters, the number rises to 50 percent. Only 21 percent of independents and 16 percent of very likely independent voters favored the Democratic Party, according to the poll.
California
POLLS FROM FRIDAY:
Democratic incumbent Barbara Boxer leads Republican Carly Fiorina 49 percent to 41 percent with 10 percent undecided, according to a Field Poll conducted Oct. 20-26. The margin of error is 3.2 points. Boxer had led by 47 percent to 41 percent in Field's September poll.
Democrat Jerry Brown is leading Republican Meg Whitman by 49 percent to 45 percent with 2 percent for some other candidate and 3 percent undecided, according to a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 27. The margin of error is 4 points. Last week, Brown's margin in this poll was 48 percent to 42 percent.
Rasmussen Reports, in a poll conducted Oct. 27, says Boxer leads Fiorina by 49 percent to 46 percent with 2 percent for some other candidate and 3 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 point.
POLLS FROM THURSDAY:
Brown leads Whitman by 49 percent to 39 percent with 12 percent undecided or preferring other candidates, according to a Field Poll conducted Oct. 14-26. The margin of error is 3.2 points. Field says Brown is shoring up his support among women, nonpartisans and Latinos.
Boxer leadsFiorina by 49 percent to 46 percent with 2 percent favoring some other candidate and 3 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. Last week, Boxer led 48 percent to 46 percent. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 27)
POLLS FROM WEDNESDAY:
Brown leads Whitman in the governor's race by 51 percent to 44 percent with 2 percent liking neither and 2 percent undecided, according to a CNN/Time/Opinion Research poll conducted Oct. 20-26. The margin of error is 3.5 points.
Brown leads Whitman by 46 percent to 38 percent with 8 percent preferring another candidate and 8 percent undecided, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted Oct. 21-25. The margin of error is 4.1 points. Brown is leading Whitman among woman voters by 12 points and among Latino voters by 23 points.
In the Senate race, SurveyUSA has Boxer ahead of Fiorina by 45 percent to 40 percent with 7 percent preferring another candidate and 8 percent undecided. The margin of error for this race is also 4.1 points.
The CNN/Time/Opinion Research poll has Boxer leading Fiorina by 50 percent to 45 percent with 4 percent in the "neither/other" category and 3 percent undecided.
POLLS FROM TUESDAY:
A Public Policy Polling survey conducted Oct. 21-23 has Brown running ahead of Whitman in the governor's race by 53 percent to 42 percent with 5 percent undecided, and Boxer ahead of Fiorina in the Senate race by 52 percent to 43 percent, with 5 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3.9 points. PPP says, "The biggest reason Boxer is maintaining her margin and Brown is expanding his is that both have now unified their party more than the Republicans have theirs...Meg Whitman and Carly Fiorina never showed the kind of appeal to Democrats they would have needed to win in California."
A Suffolk University poll conducted Oct. 21-24 shows Brown holding a 50 percent to 42 percent lead over Whitman, with 5 percent supporting other candidates and 3 percent undecided.
The same poll shows Boxer leading Fiorina by 52 percent to 43 percent with 4 percent for other candidates and 2 percent undecided. The margin of error for both polls is 4 points.
A Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research poll conducted Oct. 23 had Brown leading Whitman by 50 percent to 41 percent in the governor's race with 6 percent preferring some other candidate and 3 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3 points. Last week, Brown's lead was 48 percent to 43 percent. Most voters in the survey see both Brown and Whitman negatively, but Whitman more so. Fifty-four percent have an unfavorably view of her compared to 39 percent who view her favorably with the rest undecided or saying they never heard of her. Fifty-percent see Brown unfavorably while 46 percent see him favorably with 5 percent not sure.
In the Senate race, Fox has Boxer ahead of Fiorina by 48 percent to 44 percent with 5 percent preferring someone else and 3 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3 points. Last week, Boxer led by 48 percent to 44 percent. Seven percent of Boxer supporters say they could change their minds compared to 4 percent for Fiorina. Fifty percent disapprove of the job Boxer is doing as senator compared to 41 percent who approve, with 9 percent undecided.
Colorado
POLLS FROM FRIDAY:
Democrat John Hickenlooper leads American Constitution Party candidate Tom Tancredo by 47 percent to 42 percent in the governor's race, with 5 percent for Republican Dan Maes, 6 percent for some other candidate and 1 percent undecided, according to a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 28. The margin of error is 4 points. On Oct. 14, Hickenlooper led Tancredo by 42 percent to 38 percent.
POLLS FROM THURSDAY:
Republican Ken Buck leads Democratic incumbent Michael Bennet in the Senate race by 48 percent to 44 percent with 3 percent preferring some other candidate and 6 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. In an Oct. 14 poll, Buck had led 47 percent to 45 percent. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 25).
POLLS FROM WEDNESDAY:
Buck and Bennet are in a statistical tie with Buck leading 47 percent to 46 percent with 4 percent in the "other/neither" category and 3 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3.5 points. In a September poll, Buck had led by 49 percent to 44 percent. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research, Oct. 20-26).
Unlike some other recent polls, CNN/Time has\Hickenlooper still with a big lead over Tancredo running ahead of him by 51 percent to 37 percent, with 10 percent for Maes and 3 percent undecided or in the "other/neither" category.
POLLS FROM MONDAY:
Hickenlooper is hanging on to a 47 percent to 44 percent lead over Tancredo, with Maes at 5 percent and 4 percent undecided. The collapse of party support for the GOP nominee has meant that Tancredo, a former Republican congressman, has been able to garner 73 percent of the Republican vote, effectively turning what started as a three-way race into a two-way match-up that is more competitive. (Public Policy Polling, Oct. 21-23).
Democrat Michael Bennet and Republican Ken Buck are tied at 47 percent each in the Senate race, with 6 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3.4 points. (Public Policy Polling, Oct. 21-23).
Connecticut
POLLS FROM TUESDAY:
Democrat Richard Blumenthal is holding on to a comfortable lead over Republican Linda McMahon in their race to fill the Senate seat left open by the retirement of Christopher Dodd, but Democrat Dan Malloy is in a much closer contest in his gubernatorial bid against Republican Tom Foley, according to a Quinnipiac University poll conducted Oct. 18-24.
Blumenthal, the state's attorney general, leads McMahon, the former head of World Wrestling Entertainment, by 54 percent to 42 percent with 3 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3.7 points. That's about the same margin Blumenthal had two weeks ago. Only 6 percent of voters in each camp say they may yet change their minds. As has been the case in most every poll on this race, Blumenthal is seen favorably by a wide margin, while McMahon is viewed unfavorably by a majority of voters -- which some have seen as a backlash against her well-funded campaign of negative TV ads and direct mail.
"Linda McMahon has tried to raise Attorney General Richard Blumenthal's negatives over the last several weeks, but she hasn't been successful," said Quinnipiac's Douglas Schwartz. "He remains popular, but McMahon's own negatives have risen above 50 percent. One has to wonder if over the last few weeks McMahon would have been better off spending more of her millions on positive ads."
In the governor's race, Malloy, the mayor of Stamford, leads Foley, a businessman and former ambassador to Ireland, by 48 percent to 43 percent with 7 percent undecided in the Quinnipiac poll. The margin of error is 3.7 points. In mid-October, Malloy had led by 49 percent to 42 percent, and in late September by 45 percent to 42 percent. There's room for a shift in this race because 12 percent of Malloy voters say they could change their minds and the same is the case for 10 percent of Foley backers.
A Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research poll conducted Oct. 23 has Blumenthal out in front by 53 percent to 42 percent with 2 percent for some other candidate and 3 percent undecided.
A Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 24 has Malloy leading by a smaller margin, 49 percent to 46 percent with 2 percent preferring some other candidate and 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points.
The Oct. 23 Fox News poll put Malloy ahead of Foley by a statistically insignificant 47 percent to 43 percent with 3 percent preferring some other candidate and 6 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3 points.
POLLS FROM MONDAY:
Blumenthal leads McMahon by 56 percent to 43 percent in the Senate race with 2 percent undecided or preferring some other candidate. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 24)
Delaware
Democrat Chris Coons is leading Republican Christine O'Donnell by 57 percent to 36 percent with 5 percent undecided, according to a Fairleigh Dickinson University poll conducted Oct. 20-26. Forty-eight percent see Coons favorably, 36 percent view him unfavorably with 13 percent not sure or having no opinion. O'Donnell is seen unfavorably by 54 percent (with 44 percent seeing her "very" unfavorably) while 34 percent see her favorably, with 12 percent not sure or having no opinion.
Florida
POLLS FROM FRIDAY:
Republican Marco Rubio leads independent Charlie Crist in the Senate race by 45 percent to 28 percent with Democrat Kendrick Meek at 21 percent, according to a Mason-Dixon Research poll conducted Oct. 25-27 for Florida news organizations. Mason-Dixon's Brad Coker said, "There is simply no mathematical formula by which Crist or Meek can approach Rubio's 45 percent support level."
POLLS FROM THURSDAY:
Democrat Alex Sink has a slight lead over Republican Rick Scott in a close contest for governor, while independent Charlie Crist has cut into Republican Marco Rubio's lead in the state's Senate race but not enough challenge Rubio's status as the favorite, according to a Quinnipiac University poll conducted Oct. 18-24. Sink, the state's chief financial officer, leads Scott, the wealthy former health care executive, by 45 percent to 41 percent with 11 percent undecided. Rubio leads Crist by 42 percent to 35 percent with 15 percent for Democrat Kendrick Meek and 7 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3.5 points. (See full article).
Rasmussen Reports, in a poll conducted Oct. 27, has Scott ahead by 48 percent to 45 percent with 3 percent for some other candidate and 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. Scott had led by 50 percent to 44 percent in Rasmussen's Oct. 18 poll.
A Mason-Dixon Research poll conducted Oct. 18-24 has Sink leading Scott 46 percent to 43 percent with 4 percent preferring another candidate and 7 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points.
POLLS FROM WEDNESDAY:
Scott has inched back ahead of Sink in the wake of their Monday night debate, leading her by 47 percent to 45 percent with 7 percent preferring someone else and 2 percent undecided, according to a Sunshine State Poll conducted Oct. 24-25. Prior to the faceoff, the two were tied at 45 percent each and, in an Oct. 12-13 poll, Sink had led 48 percent to 45 percent. Pollster Jim Lee told the Sunshine News, "These two are so evenly matched that for the last three weeks they have traded the lead more than once -- yet the election is now in Scott's favor."
Georgia
POLLS FROM TUESDAY:
Republican Nathan Deal leads Democrat Roy Barnes 49 percent to 39 percent with 5 percent for Libertarian John Monds, 5 percent for some other candidate and 1 percent undecided, according to a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 24. The margin of error is 4 points. Deal slipped backed from the 50 percent mark he had hit in an Oct. 6 poll. If the winner doesn't notch 50 percent, it forces a run-off. Deal is seen unfavorably by 49 percent and favorably by 48 percent, with 6 percent undecided. Barnes is seen unfavorably 53 percent compared to 40 percent who see him favorably, with 6 percent not sure. Deal has a double-digit lead among unaffiliated voters.
A WSB-TV/InsiderAdvantage poll conducted Oct. 24 has Deal leading Barnes by 47 percent to 41 percent with 5 percent for Monds and 7 percent undecided. The margin of error is 2 points.
POLLS FROM MONDAY:
Deal leads Barnes in the governor's race by 49 percent to 39 percent with 8 percent for Monds, with 3 percent undecided. Both Deal, until recently a congressman, and Barnes, a former one-term governor, get the same high level of support from their respective parties (Republicans are weighted at 42 percent of the sample and Democrats at 34 percent), but Deal leads among independents (20 percent of the sample) by 44 percent to 27 percent with Monds getting 25 percent with 4 percent undecided. Deal needs to hit 50 percent to avoid a runoff. The margin of error is 4.1 points. (SurveyUSA, Oct. 21-24).
Hawaii
POLLS FROM MONDAY:
Democrat Neil Abercrombie is leading Republican James "Duke" Aiona in the governor's race by 51 percent to 43 percent. The margin of error is 4 points. The outgoing governor is Republican Linda Lingle. (Honolulu Star Advertiser, Oct. 12-19).
Illinois
POLLS FROM WEDNESDAY:
Republican Mark Kirk leads Democrat Alexi Giannoulias by 46 percent to 42 percent with 5 percent for Green Party candidate LeAlan Jones, 5 percent for some other candidate and 2 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. A week ago, Kirk led by 44 percent to 40 percent. The two haven't been separated by more than 4 points since the Labor Day start of the campaign season. Voters view both candidates unfavorably. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 26).
POLLS FROM TUESDAY:
Republican Bill Brady leads Democratic incumbent Pat Quinn in the race for governor by 43 percent to 39 percent with 5 percent for independent Scott Lee Cohen, 4 percent for Green Party candidate Rich Whitney, 2 percent for Libertarian Lex Green and 6 percent undecided, according to a Chicago Tribune/WGN poll conducted Oct. 18-22. The margin of error is 3.7 points. In the last poll about a month ago, Quinn had 39 percent to Brady's 38 percent.
The Tribune reports, "Much of Brady's advance may be due to a heavy dose of negative TV advertising against Quinn, largely funded through donations by the Republican Governors Association. Quinn has also aired his share of attack ads at Brady, but is outmatched in the money game."
One question is the impact of Cohen's small but noticeable amount of support in the race. Cohen had won the nomination to run as the Democrat's lieutenant governor candidate but dropped out after a series of damaging disclosures. He has spent almost $6 million of his own money on the race, the Tribune reports.
Almost a third of voters don't know enough about Brady to have an opinion of him. But if that's a disadvantage, Quinn suffers from the fact that 41 percent see him unfavorably compared to 34 percent who see him favorably. Quinn, of course, is the man who took over the governorship 21 months ago after the ignominious exist of Rod Blagojevich, who was impeached.
A Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research poll conducted Oct. 23 has Brady ahead by 43 percent to 39 percent with Cohen at 6 percent, Whitney at 4 percent and 6 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3 points. In last week's poll, Brady led by 46 percent to 36 percent. Quinn's unfavorable number is high in this poll as well -- 52 percent view him negatively.
In the equally close Senate race, Republican Mark Kirk leads Democrat Alexi Giannoulias by 43 percent to 41 percent with Green Party candidate LeAlan Jones at 7 percent and 9 percent undecided, according to The Fox poll. The margin of error is 3 points. Kirk led last week by two points. Both Kirk and Giannoulias, each of whom has had to deal with damaging stories about their backgrounds, are regarded negatively by voters.
POLLS FROM SUNDAY:
Kirk leads Giannoulias in the Senate race by 44 percent to 41 percent with 7 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3.7 points. The poll said that while the race is still within the margin of error, the trend seems favorable to Kirk as independents, suburban voters and Republicans are all moving toward him. Four weeks ago, Giannoulias led in this poll by 38 percent to 36 percent with 17 percent undecided. One in five voters say they trust neither candidate, both of whom have had to contend with damaging disclosures about them during the campaign. (Chicago Tribune/WGN, Oct. 18-22).
Indiana
POLLS FROM MONDAY:
Former Republican Sen. Dan Coats looks like a cinch to return to the Senate from Indiana, with a new poll showing him ahead of Democrat Brad Ellsworth by 53 percent to 35 percent, with Libertarian Rebecca Sink Burris at 5 percent and the remainder undecided. This is the seat being given up by Democrat Evan Bayh. (EPIC-MRA, Oct. 19-21).
A Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 20 had Coats ahead by 52 percent to 34 percent with 5 percent for some other candidate and 9 percent undecided.
Kentucky
POLLS FROM FRIDAY:
Republican Rand Paul is leading Democrat Jack Conway in the Senate race by 53 percent to 41 percent with 2 percent preferring some other candidate and 4 percent undecided, according to a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 27.
SurveyUSA, in a poll conducted Oct. 24-27, has Paul leading by 52 percent to 43 percent with 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points.
POLLS FROM WEDNESDAY:
Paul has hit the 50 percent mark in his race against Conway who is attracting 43 percent of the vote, with 3 percent liking neither and 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3.5 points. Paul is leading among independents by 63 percent to 26 percent. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research, Oct. 20-26).
POLLS FROM TUESDAY:
Paul has opened a 53 percent to 40 percent lead over Conway in the Senate race, with 7 percent undecided, according to a Public Policy Polling survey conducted Oct. 21-24. PPP is now calling Paul the "likely victor" in the race and says the reason is the backlash from Conway's campaign ad saying that Paul, during his college days, worshipped a false god named "Aqua Buddha." Politics Daily correspondent Walter Shapiro wrote about same trend during his reporting travels in Kentucky. (See the full story on this poll).
Paul leads Conway 50 percent to 43 percent with 2 percent preferring some other candidate and 5 percent undecided, according to a Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research poll conducted Oct. 23. The margin of error is 3 points. Ten percent of voters in each candidate's camps say they could yet changed their minds. Paul is seen favorably by a 48 percent to 41 percent margin, with 11 percent undecided or saying they haven't heard of him. Fifty-one percent see Conway unfavorably, while 38 percent regard him favorably, with 11 percent undecided or saying they haven't heard of him.
Maine
POLLS FROM FRIDAY:
A Public Policy Polling survey conducted Oct. 26-28 has Republican Paul LePage leading with 40 percent, followed by independent Eliot Cutler at 28 percent, Democrat Libby Mitchell at 24 percent, two other candidates splitting 5 percent and 2 percent undecided. The margin of error is 2.3 points. PPP says the "enthusiasm gap" is weighing heavily in LePage's favor and adds, ""Paul LePage looks like he'll waltz into office because the Democratic vote is being split too evenly between Eliot Cutler and Libby Mitchell."
POLLS FROM THURSDAY:
LePage now is ahead with 40 percent, while Mitchell and Cutler are tied at 26 percent each, with 4 percent preferring some other candidate and 5 percent undecided. In an Oct. 12 poll, LePage had led Mitchell by only 35 percent to 32 percent, with 21 percent for Cutler. While LePage gets 81 percent support from fellow Republicans, Mitchell is down to 48 percent backing from Democrats, with Cutler taking 37 percent of the Democratic votes. In the last poll, Mitchell still had 65 percent of the Democrats compared to 18 percent for Cutler. Cutler's background is as a Democrat, having served in the Carter administration and as an aide to the late Sen. Edmund Muskie. A LePage victory would mean a Republican pickup since the job is currently held by Democrat John Baldacci. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 26).
Maryland
POLLS FROM MONDAY
Democrat Martin O'Malley leads Republican Bob Ehrlich by 54 percent to 40 percent with 3 percent preferring another choice and 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 2.5 points. In a Sept. 26 poll, O'Malley had led by 49 percent to 35 percent. Seven percent of Ehrlich supports and 6 percent of O'Malley backers say there is a good chance they might change their minds. O'Malley beats Ehrlich on the question of who "understands the problems of people like you" by 51 percent to 36 percent with the remainder undecided or in the "both/neither" column. (Washington Post, Oct. 19-22).
Rasmussen Reports, in a poll conducted Oct. 24, has O'Malley ahead 52 percent to 42 percent with 2 percent for some other candidate and 5 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points.
Massachusetts
POLLS FROM THURSDAY AND FRIDAY:
There are two conflicting polls on the Massachusetts governor's race.
A Suffolk University/7News poll conducted Oct. 25-27 shows Democratic incumbent Deval Patrick leading Republican Charlie Baker by 46 percent to 39 percent with 9 percent for independent Tim Cahill, 2 percent for Green Party candidate Jill Stein and 5 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points.
A Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 27 shows Patrick ahead of Baker by just 46 percent to 44 percent, with 6 percent for Cahill, 3 percent for some other candidate and 1 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points.
POLLS FROM SUNDAY:
Patrick leads Baker in the governor's race by a slim 43 percent to 39 percent with Cahill at 8 percent and Stein at 2 percent. The margin of error is 4.3 points. Although that lead is within the margin of error, the poll called it "an encouraging sign for the incumbent heading into the final full week of campaigning" given that its survey last month showed Patrick ahead of Baker by only 35 percent to 34 percent. (Boston Globe poll conducted Oct. 17-22).
Michigan
POLLS FROM THURSDAY:
Republican newcomer Rick Snyder leads Democrat Virg Bernero in the governor's race by 53 percent to 38 percent with 8 percent undecided. Pollster Richard Czuba said, "There is a Republican tide in Michigan" that is also extending to down-ticket races. A Snyder victory would represent a GOP pickup of a governor's seat since the job is now held by Democrat Jennifer Granholm. (Detroit News/WDIV, Oct. 25-26).
Minnesota
POLLS FROM FRIDAY:
In contrast to other polls, a SurveyUSA poll conducted Oct. 24-27 finds a tight race between Democrat Mark Dayton and Republican Tom Emmer, with Dayton leading Emmer by only 39 percent to 38 percent, with 13 percent for independent Tom Horner and 6 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points.
POLLS FROM THURSDAY:
Dayton, a former one-term senator, leads Emmer, a member of the state House, by 41 percent to 29 percent with 11 percent for independent Tom Horner and 20 percent undecided, according to a Minnesota Public Radio/Humphrey Institute poll conducted Oct. 21-25. In its September poll, Dayton had led Emmer by 38 percent to 27 percent, with Horner getting 16 percent.
MPR/Humphrey says one reason for Dayton's success compared to other states where there is a rising GOP tide is that when it comes to the engagement of voters, "the story is quite different in Minnesota." Democrats are matching Republicans as far as enthusiasm in this election. This is a chance for Democrats to make a gubernatorial pickup since the job is currently help by the GOP's Tim Pawlenty. Democrats have been shut out of the job since Rudy Perpich finished his two terms in 1991.
POLLS FROM SUNDAY:
Dayton leads Emmer by 41 percent to 34 percent followed by Horner, with 13 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3.9 points. (Star Tribune Minnesota Poll, Oct. 18-21).
Missouri
POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:
Republican Roy Blunt is leading Democrat Robin Carnahan in the Senate race by 49 percent to 40 percent with 3 percent for other candidates and 8 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. (St. Louis Post-Dispatch, KMOV, Oct. 18-20).
Blunt leads Carnahan by 52 percent to 43 percent, with 2 percent for some other candidate and 3 percent undecided. Last week, Blunt led by about the same margin. The margin of error is 4 points. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 19).
Blunt leads Carnahan 49 percent to 43 percent with 3 percent preferring some other candidate and 5 percent undecided. Seven percent of those supporting each candidate say they could change their minds. The margin of error is 3 points. (Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research, Oct. 16).
Nevada
POLLS FROM FRIDAY:
Republican Sharron Angle leads Democrat Harry Reid in the Senate race by 49 percent to 45 percent with 1 percent for some other candidate and 3 percent undecided, according to a Mason-Dixon Research poll conducted Oct. 25-27 for the Las Vegas Review-Journal poll. The margin of error is 5 points.
POLLS FROM WEDNESDAY:
It's been clear for months now that Republican Brian Sandoval, a former state attorney general and federal judge, had the race for governor well in hand, and the latest poll is just another confirmation of that. Sandoval leads Rory Reid, son of Harry, by 58 percent to 35 percent with 5 percent for some other candidate and 2 percent undecided, according to a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 25. Sandoval has held double-digit leads over Reid in 16 matchups done by Rasmussen dating back to February.
Republican Sharron Angle leads Democrat Harry Reid by 49 percent to 45 percent in the Senate race with 2 percent for Scott Ashjian, who is running as a Tea Party candidate and 3 percent who don't like any of the choices. With Ashjian out of the race, Angle would be leading by 51 percent to 45 percent. The margin of error is 3.5 points. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research, Oct. 20-26).
POLLS FROM TUESDAY:
Angle leads Reid by 49 percent to 45 percent with 4 percent preferring some other candidate and 2 percent undecided, according to a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 25. The margin of error is 4 points. A week ago, Angle had led by 3 points and, the week before that by 1 point. Both have high negatives with the voters. Reid is seen unfavorably by 56 percent (with 51 percent saying they see him "very" unfavorably") while 43 percent see him favorably. Angle is seen unfavorably by 52 percent (with 43 percent seeing her "very" unfavorably) compared to 46 percent who see her favorably.
New Hampshire
POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:
Democratic incumbent John Lynch leads Republican John Stephen in the governor's race 51 percent to 38 percent with 3 percent for other candidates and 9 percent undecided. Last month, Lynch had led 51 percent to 34 percent with 14 percent undecided. (WMUR/University of New Hampshire, Oct. 7-12).
New Mexico
POLLS FROM THURSDAY:
Republican Susan Martinez leads Democrat Diane Denish by 52 percent to 42 percent with 2 percent preferring some other candidate and 4 percent undecided, according to a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 24. The margin of error is 4 points. The gap between Martinez and Denish was about the same in two previous Rasmussen polls, putting the Republicans in a position to retake a governorship that is now held by Democrat Bill Richardson. Martinez is a district attorney and the first Hispanic woman to win a major party nomination for governor. Denish is lieutenant government, and Richardson's current unpopularity in the state -- 57 percent disapprove of the job he is doing as governor -- has been a drag on her.
New York
POLLS FROM WEDNESDAY:
There's never been much doubt that, barring surprises, the Democrats in blue New York were going to withstand the Republican tide, and a Quinnipiac University poll conducted Oct. 18-24 underlines the point, showing Democrat Andrew Cuomo ahead of Republican Carl Paladino by 55 percent to 34 percent with 7 percent undecided in the governor's race, and first-term Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand leading Republican Joe DioGuardi by 57 percent to 34 percent with 7 percent undecided in her bid for re-election.
North Carolina
POLLS FROM THURSDAY:
Democrat Elaine Marshall just hasn't been able to gain any traction in her challenge to first term Republican Sen. Richard Burr, even though several polls have shown him with lackluster job approval and favorability numbers with voters. The latest poll, conducted Oct. 22-25 by SurveyUSA, demonstrates that again, showing Burr ahead of her by 43 percent to 38 percent with 5 percent for Libertarian Michael Beitler and 3 percent undecided.
Ohio
POLLS FROM THURSDAY:
Republican John Kasich leads Democratic incumbent Ted Strickland in the governor's race by 48 percent to 44 percent with 3 percent for some other candidate and 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. In the previous poll, Kasich led by 48 percent to 45 percent. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct.26).
A SurveyUSA poll, conducted Oct. 22-26, has Kasich ahead by 49 percent to 44 percent with 4 percent for other candidates and 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. Kasich is leading among independents (22 percent of the sample) by 17 points.
In the Senate race, SurveyUSA says Republican Rob Portman leads Democrat Lee Fisher by 52 percent to 37 percent with 6 percent for other candidates and 4 percent undecided.
POLLS FROM TUESDAY:
While Fisher appears hopelessly behind Portman in the race to fill the Senate seat of the GOP's George Voinovich, Strickland still has a fighting chance against former Kasich in his bid to win re-election as governor, although time may be running out on him.
Kasich leads Strickland by 49 percent to 43 percent with 7 percent undecided, according to a Quinnipiac University poll conducted Oct. 18-24. The margin of error is 3.7 points. Kasich had led by 10 points in mid-October and by as many as 17 in mid-September. Nine percent of those backing each candidate say they still could change their minds by election day, not leaving a lot of room for Strickland to pick up more ground.
A Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research poll conducted Oct. 23 has Kasich ahead by 47 percent to 43 percent with 4 percent for some other candidate and 6 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3 points. Last week, this poll had Kasich leading by 49 percent to 43 percent. Eight percent of Kasich supporters and 9 percent of Strickland backers say they could changer their minds.
In the Senate race, Fox says Portman leads Fisher by 53 percent to 36 percent with 9 percent undecided.
POLLS FROM SUNDAY:
Kasich leads Strickland by 49 percent to 47 percent in the governor's race with 5 percent undecided or backing another candidate. The margin of error is 3.3 points. Kasich had led by 4 points the last time this poll was conducted in late September. The outcome is likely to be all about which party does a better job turning out its voters. Eric Rademacher of the University of Cincinnati's Institute for Policy research, which conducted the poll, told Ohio news organizations, "It's a close race, but the dynamics, especially the advantage the Republicans have in turnout, still favor Kasich." (Ohio Newspaper poll, Oct. 14-18).
Portman leads Fisher in the Senate race by 58 percent to 39 percent. (Ohio Newspaper poll,Oct. 14-18).
Oregon
POLLS FROM WEDNESDAY:
Two new polls show the governor's race between Republican newcomer Chris Dudley and Democrat John Kitzhaber to be a dead heat.
A poll by Davis, Hibbits & Migdall reported by the Portland Tribune conducted Oct. 24-25 has Dudley ahead of Kitzhaber by 46 percent to 43 percent with 2 percent for other candidates and 10 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4.4 points. The Tribune said, "In effect, Oregon voters haven't budged much since the May primary, despite more than $12 million in campaign spending by both sides."
A Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 25 has Dudley leading Kitzhaber by 49 percent to 46 percent with 3 percent preferring some other candidate and 3 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. In an Oct. 10 poll, Kitzhaber had led by 48 percent to 46 percent. Voters are divided at 42 percent each about whether they favor a candidate with political experience (Kitzhaber is a former two-term governor) or a candidate who has never held office, (Dudley is a former pro basketball player who went into financial consulting). Both candidates are seen favorably by voters. Dudley is doing better than Kitzhaber as far as the level of support from their respective parties, and has a modest lead among unaffiliated voters.
Pennsylvania
POLLS FROM FRIDAY:
Republican Pat Toomey leads Democrat Joe Sestak in the Senate race by 47 percent to 42 percent with 12 percent undecided, according to the Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call Daily Tracking Poll. The margin of error is 5 points.
In the same poll, Republican Tom Corbett leads Democrat Dan Onorato in the governor's race by 52 percent to 38 percent with 10 percent undecided.
A Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 28 has Toomey leading Sestak by 50 percent to 46 percent with 1 percent for some other candidate and 3 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points.
POLLS FROM WEDNESDAY:
Toomey is leading Sestak in the Senate race by 48 percent to 40 percent with 12 percent undecided among likely voters, with "leaners" for each candidate included, according to a Franklin & Marshall College poll conducted Oct. 18-24. In the governor's race, Republican Tom Corbett leads Democrat Dan Onorato by 51 percent to 35 percent with 11 percent undecided. The margin of error for both polls is 4.4 points.
Franklin & Marshall says, "Democrats are at a decided disadvantage when it comes to voter motivation. Only 36 percent of Democrats fall into the most likely to vote category compared to 49 percent of Republicans ... Another example of the gap in partisan enthusiasm is that only one in three (33 percent) of those who voted for Obama in 2008 are in the most likely to vote category versus half (52 percent) of McCain voters."
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research poll conducted Oct. 20-26 has Toomey leading Sestak by 49 percent to 45 percent with 3 percent in the "other/neither" column and 3 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3.5 points. The poll has Corbett leading Onorato in the governor's race by 52 percent to 45 percent with 1 percent described as "other/neither" and 2 percent undecided. Both these sets of results were not much different than this poll showed in mid-September.
The latest Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll has Toomey ahead by a smaller 46 percent to 41 percent margin with 12 percent undecided and Corbett leading in the governor's race by 52 percent to 38 percent with 10 percent undecided. The margin of error is 5 points. Muhlenberg's totals also include leaners.
POLLS FROM TUESDAY:
Toomey is tied with Sestak in the Senate race at 46 percent each with 2 percent preferring someone else and 6 percent undecided, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted Oct. 22-24. The margin of error is 4.9 points.
The same poll says Corbett leads Onorato in the governor's race by 49 percent to 43 percent with 8 percent undecided.
Rhode Island
POLLS FROM FRIDAY:
Republican-turned-independent John Chafee is in the lead in the governor's race with 33 percent, followed by Democrat Frank Caprio at 26 percent, Republican John Robitaille at 26 percent (rounded up from 25.5 percent) and Moderate Party candidate Ken Block at 4 percent, with 11 percent undecided, according to a WPRI-TV poll conducted Oct. 2-15. The margin of error is 4.4 points.
POLLS FROM THURSDAY:
Chafee is out in front in the four-way race for governor with 35 percent, followed by Robitaille at 28 percent, Caprio at 25 percent, Block at 2 percent and 10 percent undecided. Caprio had led Chafee in the last poll released Oct. 12, with Robitaille in third place. (NBC 10/Quest Research, Oct. 23-26).
POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:
Chafee leads Caprio 35 percent to 28 percent in the race for governor with 25 percent for Robitaille. Six percent back Block and 6 percent are undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. In an Oct. 4 poll, Chafee had led Caprio by only 33 percent to 30 percent, with 22 percent for Robitaille. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 21).
South Carolina
POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:
Republican Nikki Haley leads Democrat Vincent Sheheen by 51 percent to 37 percent with 3 percent for some other candidate and 9 percent undecided. (InsiderAdvantage, Oct. 19)
Haley is leading Sheheen by 47 percent to 38 percent in the race to succeed GOP Gov. Mark Sanford, with 4 percent preferring some other candidate and 11 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4.5 points. In a Sept. 22 poll, Haley had held a 50 percent to 33 percent margin. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 19). See related story.
Texas
POLLS FROM FRIDAY:
Republican incumbent Rick Perry leads Democrat Bill White by 53 percent to 44 percent, with 3 percent undecided, according to a Public Policy Polling survey conducted Oct. 26-28. The margin of error is 4.1 points. PPP notes that while White, the former mayor of Houston, has a more positive image than Perry, "it may be a classic case of the right candidate running in the wrong cycle ... To win as a Democrat in Texas you're going to have to win a fair amount of crossover support from Republican voters and in the end White just wasn't able to do it."
POLLS FROM MONDAY:
Perry leads White in the governor's race by 50 percent to 40 percent with 8 percent for Libertarian Kathie Glass and 2 percent for Green Party candidate Deb Shafto. Perry is in the lead even though he does not have great job approval numbers, with 45 percent approving of his performance, 37 percent disapproving, 13 percent neither approving or disapproving and 5 percent undecided. That's reflected in the fact that a modest 53 percent of Perry backers describe their support as "strong." Seventy-two percent of White backers say they are strong supporters. (University of Texas/Texas Tribune, Oct. 11-18).
POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:
Republican incumbent Rick Perry leads Democrat Bill White in the governor's race by 51 percent to 43 percent with 2 percent preferring some other candidate and 5 percent undecided. Perry had led 53 percent to 42 percent in an Oct. 6 poll. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 21).
Washington
POLLS FROM FRIDAY:
Democratic incumbent Patty Murray and Republican Dino Rossi are tied at 47 percent each with 6 percent undecided, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted Oct. 24-27. The margin of error is 3.8 points.
A KCTS9/WPLU poll released Friday has Murray leading Rossi by 49 percent to 45 percent. The margin of error is 4 points.
POLLS FROM THURSDAY:
Rossi and Murray remain locked in a tight race, with Rossi ahead by 48 percent to 47 percent with 3 percent for some other candidate with 2 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points.
You can find all the details and links to the polls under the state headings below.
Check back here for more updates throughout the day.
Alaska
POLLS FROM THURSDAY:
A new poll by Hays Research of the Alaska Senate race doesn't plug in incumbent Lisa Murkowski by name, but "write-in candidate" -- which is how she's running after her defeat in the GOP primary -- leads the field with 34 percent. Democrat Scott McAdams runs second at 29 percent, and Republican nominee Joe Miller at 23 percent with 13 percent undecided. The poll was conducted Oct. 25-26 and has a margin of error of 4.4 points.
Murkowski is viewed favorably by 55 percent and unfavorably by 42 percent, with 3 percent having no opinion. Miller is seen unfavorably by 68 percent -- with 60 percent viewing him "very" unfavorably -- while 26 percent have a positive view, with 5 percent undecided or not having heard of him. Fifty-five percent see McAdams favorably while 23 percent see him unfavorably, but 21 percent have no opinion of him or never heard of him.
Arizona
POLLS FROM THURSDAY:
Republican incumbent Jan Brewer is leading Democrat Terry Goddard, the state's attorney general, in the governor's race by 52 percent to 44 percent, according to a Daily Kos/Public Policy Polling survey conducted Oct. 23-24.
The same poll shows Sen. John McCain leading Democrat Rodney Glassman by 56 percent to 38 percent, with 6 percent undecided.
Arkansas
POLLS RELEASED WEDNESDAY:
Republican John Boozman is leading Democratic incumbent Blanche Lincoln in the Senate race by 48 percent to 36 percent with 16 percent undecided, according to a University of Arkansas poll conducted Oct. 8-20.
Poll director Janine Parry said, "This election, as always in Arkansas, lies in the hands of people not closely aligned with either major party. Both parties are losing loyalists in a rough economy, meaning the percentage of unaffiliated respondents has swelled to the largest proportion we've recorded."
Forty-four percent of those identifying themselves as independents felt closer to the Republican party and, when it comes to those who are likely voters, the number rises to 50 percent. Only 21 percent of independents and 16 percent of very likely independent voters favored the Democratic Party, according to the poll.
California
POLLS FROM FRIDAY:
Democratic incumbent Barbara Boxer leads Republican Carly Fiorina 49 percent to 41 percent with 10 percent undecided, according to a Field Poll conducted Oct. 20-26. The margin of error is 3.2 points. Boxer had led by 47 percent to 41 percent in Field's September poll.
Democrat Jerry Brown is leading Republican Meg Whitman by 49 percent to 45 percent with 2 percent for some other candidate and 3 percent undecided, according to a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 27. The margin of error is 4 points. Last week, Brown's margin in this poll was 48 percent to 42 percent.
Rasmussen Reports, in a poll conducted Oct. 27, says Boxer leads Fiorina by 49 percent to 46 percent with 2 percent for some other candidate and 3 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 point.
POLLS FROM THURSDAY:
Brown leads Whitman by 49 percent to 39 percent with 12 percent undecided or preferring other candidates, according to a Field Poll conducted Oct. 14-26. The margin of error is 3.2 points. Field says Brown is shoring up his support among women, nonpartisans and Latinos.
Boxer leadsFiorina by 49 percent to 46 percent with 2 percent favoring some other candidate and 3 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. Last week, Boxer led 48 percent to 46 percent. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 27)
POLLS FROM WEDNESDAY:
Brown leads Whitman in the governor's race by 51 percent to 44 percent with 2 percent liking neither and 2 percent undecided, according to a CNN/Time/Opinion Research poll conducted Oct. 20-26. The margin of error is 3.5 points.
Brown leads Whitman by 46 percent to 38 percent with 8 percent preferring another candidate and 8 percent undecided, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted Oct. 21-25. The margin of error is 4.1 points. Brown is leading Whitman among woman voters by 12 points and among Latino voters by 23 points.
In the Senate race, SurveyUSA has Boxer ahead of Fiorina by 45 percent to 40 percent with 7 percent preferring another candidate and 8 percent undecided. The margin of error for this race is also 4.1 points.
The CNN/Time/Opinion Research poll has Boxer leading Fiorina by 50 percent to 45 percent with 4 percent in the "neither/other" category and 3 percent undecided.
POLLS FROM TUESDAY:
A Public Policy Polling survey conducted Oct. 21-23 has Brown running ahead of Whitman in the governor's race by 53 percent to 42 percent with 5 percent undecided, and Boxer ahead of Fiorina in the Senate race by 52 percent to 43 percent, with 5 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3.9 points. PPP says, "The biggest reason Boxer is maintaining her margin and Brown is expanding his is that both have now unified their party more than the Republicans have theirs...Meg Whitman and Carly Fiorina never showed the kind of appeal to Democrats they would have needed to win in California."
A Suffolk University poll conducted Oct. 21-24 shows Brown holding a 50 percent to 42 percent lead over Whitman, with 5 percent supporting other candidates and 3 percent undecided.
The same poll shows Boxer leading Fiorina by 52 percent to 43 percent with 4 percent for other candidates and 2 percent undecided. The margin of error for both polls is 4 points.
A Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research poll conducted Oct. 23 had Brown leading Whitman by 50 percent to 41 percent in the governor's race with 6 percent preferring some other candidate and 3 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3 points. Last week, Brown's lead was 48 percent to 43 percent. Most voters in the survey see both Brown and Whitman negatively, but Whitman more so. Fifty-four percent have an unfavorably view of her compared to 39 percent who view her favorably with the rest undecided or saying they never heard of her. Fifty-percent see Brown unfavorably while 46 percent see him favorably with 5 percent not sure.
In the Senate race, Fox has Boxer ahead of Fiorina by 48 percent to 44 percent with 5 percent preferring someone else and 3 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3 points. Last week, Boxer led by 48 percent to 44 percent. Seven percent of Boxer supporters say they could change their minds compared to 4 percent for Fiorina. Fifty percent disapprove of the job Boxer is doing as senator compared to 41 percent who approve, with 9 percent undecided.
Colorado
POLLS FROM FRIDAY:
Democrat John Hickenlooper leads American Constitution Party candidate Tom Tancredo by 47 percent to 42 percent in the governor's race, with 5 percent for Republican Dan Maes, 6 percent for some other candidate and 1 percent undecided, according to a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 28. The margin of error is 4 points. On Oct. 14, Hickenlooper led Tancredo by 42 percent to 38 percent.
POLLS FROM THURSDAY:
Republican Ken Buck leads Democratic incumbent Michael Bennet in the Senate race by 48 percent to 44 percent with 3 percent preferring some other candidate and 6 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. In an Oct. 14 poll, Buck had led 47 percent to 45 percent. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 25).
POLLS FROM WEDNESDAY:
Buck and Bennet are in a statistical tie with Buck leading 47 percent to 46 percent with 4 percent in the "other/neither" category and 3 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3.5 points. In a September poll, Buck had led by 49 percent to 44 percent. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research, Oct. 20-26).
Unlike some other recent polls, CNN/Time has\Hickenlooper still with a big lead over Tancredo running ahead of him by 51 percent to 37 percent, with 10 percent for Maes and 3 percent undecided or in the "other/neither" category.
POLLS FROM MONDAY:
Hickenlooper is hanging on to a 47 percent to 44 percent lead over Tancredo, with Maes at 5 percent and 4 percent undecided. The collapse of party support for the GOP nominee has meant that Tancredo, a former Republican congressman, has been able to garner 73 percent of the Republican vote, effectively turning what started as a three-way race into a two-way match-up that is more competitive. (Public Policy Polling, Oct. 21-23).
Democrat Michael Bennet and Republican Ken Buck are tied at 47 percent each in the Senate race, with 6 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3.4 points. (Public Policy Polling, Oct. 21-23).
Connecticut
POLLS FROM TUESDAY:
Democrat Richard Blumenthal is holding on to a comfortable lead over Republican Linda McMahon in their race to fill the Senate seat left open by the retirement of Christopher Dodd, but Democrat Dan Malloy is in a much closer contest in his gubernatorial bid against Republican Tom Foley, according to a Quinnipiac University poll conducted Oct. 18-24.
Blumenthal, the state's attorney general, leads McMahon, the former head of World Wrestling Entertainment, by 54 percent to 42 percent with 3 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3.7 points. That's about the same margin Blumenthal had two weeks ago. Only 6 percent of voters in each camp say they may yet change their minds. As has been the case in most every poll on this race, Blumenthal is seen favorably by a wide margin, while McMahon is viewed unfavorably by a majority of voters -- which some have seen as a backlash against her well-funded campaign of negative TV ads and direct mail.
"Linda McMahon has tried to raise Attorney General Richard Blumenthal's negatives over the last several weeks, but she hasn't been successful," said Quinnipiac's Douglas Schwartz. "He remains popular, but McMahon's own negatives have risen above 50 percent. One has to wonder if over the last few weeks McMahon would have been better off spending more of her millions on positive ads."
In the governor's race, Malloy, the mayor of Stamford, leads Foley, a businessman and former ambassador to Ireland, by 48 percent to 43 percent with 7 percent undecided in the Quinnipiac poll. The margin of error is 3.7 points. In mid-October, Malloy had led by 49 percent to 42 percent, and in late September by 45 percent to 42 percent. There's room for a shift in this race because 12 percent of Malloy voters say they could change their minds and the same is the case for 10 percent of Foley backers.
A Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research poll conducted Oct. 23 has Blumenthal out in front by 53 percent to 42 percent with 2 percent for some other candidate and 3 percent undecided.
A Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 24 has Malloy leading by a smaller margin, 49 percent to 46 percent with 2 percent preferring some other candidate and 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points.
The Oct. 23 Fox News poll put Malloy ahead of Foley by a statistically insignificant 47 percent to 43 percent with 3 percent preferring some other candidate and 6 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3 points.
POLLS FROM MONDAY:
Blumenthal leads McMahon by 56 percent to 43 percent in the Senate race with 2 percent undecided or preferring some other candidate. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 24)
Delaware
Democrat Chris Coons is leading Republican Christine O'Donnell by 57 percent to 36 percent with 5 percent undecided, according to a Fairleigh Dickinson University poll conducted Oct. 20-26. Forty-eight percent see Coons favorably, 36 percent view him unfavorably with 13 percent not sure or having no opinion. O'Donnell is seen unfavorably by 54 percent (with 44 percent seeing her "very" unfavorably) while 34 percent see her favorably, with 12 percent not sure or having no opinion.
Florida
POLLS FROM FRIDAY:
Republican Marco Rubio leads independent Charlie Crist in the Senate race by 45 percent to 28 percent with Democrat Kendrick Meek at 21 percent, according to a Mason-Dixon Research poll conducted Oct. 25-27 for Florida news organizations. Mason-Dixon's Brad Coker said, "There is simply no mathematical formula by which Crist or Meek can approach Rubio's 45 percent support level."
POLLS FROM THURSDAY:
Democrat Alex Sink has a slight lead over Republican Rick Scott in a close contest for governor, while independent Charlie Crist has cut into Republican Marco Rubio's lead in the state's Senate race but not enough challenge Rubio's status as the favorite, according to a Quinnipiac University poll conducted Oct. 18-24. Sink, the state's chief financial officer, leads Scott, the wealthy former health care executive, by 45 percent to 41 percent with 11 percent undecided. Rubio leads Crist by 42 percent to 35 percent with 15 percent for Democrat Kendrick Meek and 7 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3.5 points. (See full article).
Rasmussen Reports, in a poll conducted Oct. 27, has Scott ahead by 48 percent to 45 percent with 3 percent for some other candidate and 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. Scott had led by 50 percent to 44 percent in Rasmussen's Oct. 18 poll.
A Mason-Dixon Research poll conducted Oct. 18-24 has Sink leading Scott 46 percent to 43 percent with 4 percent preferring another candidate and 7 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points.
POLLS FROM WEDNESDAY:
Scott has inched back ahead of Sink in the wake of their Monday night debate, leading her by 47 percent to 45 percent with 7 percent preferring someone else and 2 percent undecided, according to a Sunshine State Poll conducted Oct. 24-25. Prior to the faceoff, the two were tied at 45 percent each and, in an Oct. 12-13 poll, Sink had led 48 percent to 45 percent. Pollster Jim Lee told the Sunshine News, "These two are so evenly matched that for the last three weeks they have traded the lead more than once -- yet the election is now in Scott's favor."
Georgia
POLLS FROM TUESDAY:
Republican Nathan Deal leads Democrat Roy Barnes 49 percent to 39 percent with 5 percent for Libertarian John Monds, 5 percent for some other candidate and 1 percent undecided, according to a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 24. The margin of error is 4 points. Deal slipped backed from the 50 percent mark he had hit in an Oct. 6 poll. If the winner doesn't notch 50 percent, it forces a run-off. Deal is seen unfavorably by 49 percent and favorably by 48 percent, with 6 percent undecided. Barnes is seen unfavorably 53 percent compared to 40 percent who see him favorably, with 6 percent not sure. Deal has a double-digit lead among unaffiliated voters.
A WSB-TV/InsiderAdvantage poll conducted Oct. 24 has Deal leading Barnes by 47 percent to 41 percent with 5 percent for Monds and 7 percent undecided. The margin of error is 2 points.
POLLS FROM MONDAY:
Deal leads Barnes in the governor's race by 49 percent to 39 percent with 8 percent for Monds, with 3 percent undecided. Both Deal, until recently a congressman, and Barnes, a former one-term governor, get the same high level of support from their respective parties (Republicans are weighted at 42 percent of the sample and Democrats at 34 percent), but Deal leads among independents (20 percent of the sample) by 44 percent to 27 percent with Monds getting 25 percent with 4 percent undecided. Deal needs to hit 50 percent to avoid a runoff. The margin of error is 4.1 points. (SurveyUSA, Oct. 21-24).
Hawaii
POLLS FROM MONDAY:
Democrat Neil Abercrombie is leading Republican James "Duke" Aiona in the governor's race by 51 percent to 43 percent. The margin of error is 4 points. The outgoing governor is Republican Linda Lingle. (Honolulu Star Advertiser, Oct. 12-19).
Illinois
POLLS FROM WEDNESDAY:
Republican Mark Kirk leads Democrat Alexi Giannoulias by 46 percent to 42 percent with 5 percent for Green Party candidate LeAlan Jones, 5 percent for some other candidate and 2 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. A week ago, Kirk led by 44 percent to 40 percent. The two haven't been separated by more than 4 points since the Labor Day start of the campaign season. Voters view both candidates unfavorably. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 26).
POLLS FROM TUESDAY:
Republican Bill Brady leads Democratic incumbent Pat Quinn in the race for governor by 43 percent to 39 percent with 5 percent for independent Scott Lee Cohen, 4 percent for Green Party candidate Rich Whitney, 2 percent for Libertarian Lex Green and 6 percent undecided, according to a Chicago Tribune/WGN poll conducted Oct. 18-22. The margin of error is 3.7 points. In the last poll about a month ago, Quinn had 39 percent to Brady's 38 percent.
The Tribune reports, "Much of Brady's advance may be due to a heavy dose of negative TV advertising against Quinn, largely funded through donations by the Republican Governors Association. Quinn has also aired his share of attack ads at Brady, but is outmatched in the money game."
One question is the impact of Cohen's small but noticeable amount of support in the race. Cohen had won the nomination to run as the Democrat's lieutenant governor candidate but dropped out after a series of damaging disclosures. He has spent almost $6 million of his own money on the race, the Tribune reports.
Almost a third of voters don't know enough about Brady to have an opinion of him. But if that's a disadvantage, Quinn suffers from the fact that 41 percent see him unfavorably compared to 34 percent who see him favorably. Quinn, of course, is the man who took over the governorship 21 months ago after the ignominious exist of Rod Blagojevich, who was impeached.
A Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research poll conducted Oct. 23 has Brady ahead by 43 percent to 39 percent with Cohen at 6 percent, Whitney at 4 percent and 6 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3 points. In last week's poll, Brady led by 46 percent to 36 percent. Quinn's unfavorable number is high in this poll as well -- 52 percent view him negatively.
In the equally close Senate race, Republican Mark Kirk leads Democrat Alexi Giannoulias by 43 percent to 41 percent with Green Party candidate LeAlan Jones at 7 percent and 9 percent undecided, according to The Fox poll. The margin of error is 3 points. Kirk led last week by two points. Both Kirk and Giannoulias, each of whom has had to deal with damaging stories about their backgrounds, are regarded negatively by voters.
POLLS FROM SUNDAY:
Kirk leads Giannoulias in the Senate race by 44 percent to 41 percent with 7 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3.7 points. The poll said that while the race is still within the margin of error, the trend seems favorable to Kirk as independents, suburban voters and Republicans are all moving toward him. Four weeks ago, Giannoulias led in this poll by 38 percent to 36 percent with 17 percent undecided. One in five voters say they trust neither candidate, both of whom have had to contend with damaging disclosures about them during the campaign. (Chicago Tribune/WGN, Oct. 18-22).
Indiana
POLLS FROM MONDAY:
Former Republican Sen. Dan Coats looks like a cinch to return to the Senate from Indiana, with a new poll showing him ahead of Democrat Brad Ellsworth by 53 percent to 35 percent, with Libertarian Rebecca Sink Burris at 5 percent and the remainder undecided. This is the seat being given up by Democrat Evan Bayh. (EPIC-MRA, Oct. 19-21).
A Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 20 had Coats ahead by 52 percent to 34 percent with 5 percent for some other candidate and 9 percent undecided.
Kentucky
POLLS FROM FRIDAY:
Republican Rand Paul is leading Democrat Jack Conway in the Senate race by 53 percent to 41 percent with 2 percent preferring some other candidate and 4 percent undecided, according to a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 27.
SurveyUSA, in a poll conducted Oct. 24-27, has Paul leading by 52 percent to 43 percent with 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points.
POLLS FROM WEDNESDAY:
Paul has hit the 50 percent mark in his race against Conway who is attracting 43 percent of the vote, with 3 percent liking neither and 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3.5 points. Paul is leading among independents by 63 percent to 26 percent. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research, Oct. 20-26).
POLLS FROM TUESDAY:
Paul has opened a 53 percent to 40 percent lead over Conway in the Senate race, with 7 percent undecided, according to a Public Policy Polling survey conducted Oct. 21-24. PPP is now calling Paul the "likely victor" in the race and says the reason is the backlash from Conway's campaign ad saying that Paul, during his college days, worshipped a false god named "Aqua Buddha." Politics Daily correspondent Walter Shapiro wrote about same trend during his reporting travels in Kentucky. (See the full story on this poll).
Paul leads Conway 50 percent to 43 percent with 2 percent preferring some other candidate and 5 percent undecided, according to a Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research poll conducted Oct. 23. The margin of error is 3 points. Ten percent of voters in each candidate's camps say they could yet changed their minds. Paul is seen favorably by a 48 percent to 41 percent margin, with 11 percent undecided or saying they haven't heard of him. Fifty-one percent see Conway unfavorably, while 38 percent regard him favorably, with 11 percent undecided or saying they haven't heard of him.
Maine
POLLS FROM FRIDAY:
A Public Policy Polling survey conducted Oct. 26-28 has Republican Paul LePage leading with 40 percent, followed by independent Eliot Cutler at 28 percent, Democrat Libby Mitchell at 24 percent, two other candidates splitting 5 percent and 2 percent undecided. The margin of error is 2.3 points. PPP says the "enthusiasm gap" is weighing heavily in LePage's favor and adds, ""Paul LePage looks like he'll waltz into office because the Democratic vote is being split too evenly between Eliot Cutler and Libby Mitchell."
POLLS FROM THURSDAY:
LePage now is ahead with 40 percent, while Mitchell and Cutler are tied at 26 percent each, with 4 percent preferring some other candidate and 5 percent undecided. In an Oct. 12 poll, LePage had led Mitchell by only 35 percent to 32 percent, with 21 percent for Cutler. While LePage gets 81 percent support from fellow Republicans, Mitchell is down to 48 percent backing from Democrats, with Cutler taking 37 percent of the Democratic votes. In the last poll, Mitchell still had 65 percent of the Democrats compared to 18 percent for Cutler. Cutler's background is as a Democrat, having served in the Carter administration and as an aide to the late Sen. Edmund Muskie. A LePage victory would mean a Republican pickup since the job is currently held by Democrat John Baldacci. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 26).
Maryland
POLLS FROM MONDAY
Democrat Martin O'Malley leads Republican Bob Ehrlich by 54 percent to 40 percent with 3 percent preferring another choice and 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 2.5 points. In a Sept. 26 poll, O'Malley had led by 49 percent to 35 percent. Seven percent of Ehrlich supports and 6 percent of O'Malley backers say there is a good chance they might change their minds. O'Malley beats Ehrlich on the question of who "understands the problems of people like you" by 51 percent to 36 percent with the remainder undecided or in the "both/neither" column. (Washington Post, Oct. 19-22).
Rasmussen Reports, in a poll conducted Oct. 24, has O'Malley ahead 52 percent to 42 percent with 2 percent for some other candidate and 5 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points.
Massachusetts
POLLS FROM THURSDAY AND FRIDAY:
There are two conflicting polls on the Massachusetts governor's race.
A Suffolk University/7News poll conducted Oct. 25-27 shows Democratic incumbent Deval Patrick leading Republican Charlie Baker by 46 percent to 39 percent with 9 percent for independent Tim Cahill, 2 percent for Green Party candidate Jill Stein and 5 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points.
A Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 27 shows Patrick ahead of Baker by just 46 percent to 44 percent, with 6 percent for Cahill, 3 percent for some other candidate and 1 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points.
POLLS FROM SUNDAY:
Patrick leads Baker in the governor's race by a slim 43 percent to 39 percent with Cahill at 8 percent and Stein at 2 percent. The margin of error is 4.3 points. Although that lead is within the margin of error, the poll called it "an encouraging sign for the incumbent heading into the final full week of campaigning" given that its survey last month showed Patrick ahead of Baker by only 35 percent to 34 percent. (Boston Globe poll conducted Oct. 17-22).
Michigan
POLLS FROM THURSDAY:
Republican newcomer Rick Snyder leads Democrat Virg Bernero in the governor's race by 53 percent to 38 percent with 8 percent undecided. Pollster Richard Czuba said, "There is a Republican tide in Michigan" that is also extending to down-ticket races. A Snyder victory would represent a GOP pickup of a governor's seat since the job is now held by Democrat Jennifer Granholm. (Detroit News/WDIV, Oct. 25-26).
Minnesota
POLLS FROM FRIDAY:
In contrast to other polls, a SurveyUSA poll conducted Oct. 24-27 finds a tight race between Democrat Mark Dayton and Republican Tom Emmer, with Dayton leading Emmer by only 39 percent to 38 percent, with 13 percent for independent Tom Horner and 6 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points.
POLLS FROM THURSDAY:
Dayton, a former one-term senator, leads Emmer, a member of the state House, by 41 percent to 29 percent with 11 percent for independent Tom Horner and 20 percent undecided, according to a Minnesota Public Radio/Humphrey Institute poll conducted Oct. 21-25. In its September poll, Dayton had led Emmer by 38 percent to 27 percent, with Horner getting 16 percent.
MPR/Humphrey says one reason for Dayton's success compared to other states where there is a rising GOP tide is that when it comes to the engagement of voters, "the story is quite different in Minnesota." Democrats are matching Republicans as far as enthusiasm in this election. This is a chance for Democrats to make a gubernatorial pickup since the job is currently help by the GOP's Tim Pawlenty. Democrats have been shut out of the job since Rudy Perpich finished his two terms in 1991.
POLLS FROM SUNDAY:
Dayton leads Emmer by 41 percent to 34 percent followed by Horner, with 13 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3.9 points. (Star Tribune Minnesota Poll, Oct. 18-21).
Missouri
POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:
Republican Roy Blunt is leading Democrat Robin Carnahan in the Senate race by 49 percent to 40 percent with 3 percent for other candidates and 8 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. (St. Louis Post-Dispatch, KMOV, Oct. 18-20).
Blunt leads Carnahan by 52 percent to 43 percent, with 2 percent for some other candidate and 3 percent undecided. Last week, Blunt led by about the same margin. The margin of error is 4 points. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 19).
Blunt leads Carnahan 49 percent to 43 percent with 3 percent preferring some other candidate and 5 percent undecided. Seven percent of those supporting each candidate say they could change their minds. The margin of error is 3 points. (Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research, Oct. 16).
Nevada
POLLS FROM FRIDAY:
Republican Sharron Angle leads Democrat Harry Reid in the Senate race by 49 percent to 45 percent with 1 percent for some other candidate and 3 percent undecided, according to a Mason-Dixon Research poll conducted Oct. 25-27 for the Las Vegas Review-Journal poll. The margin of error is 5 points.
POLLS FROM WEDNESDAY:
It's been clear for months now that Republican Brian Sandoval, a former state attorney general and federal judge, had the race for governor well in hand, and the latest poll is just another confirmation of that. Sandoval leads Rory Reid, son of Harry, by 58 percent to 35 percent with 5 percent for some other candidate and 2 percent undecided, according to a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 25. Sandoval has held double-digit leads over Reid in 16 matchups done by Rasmussen dating back to February.
Republican Sharron Angle leads Democrat Harry Reid by 49 percent to 45 percent in the Senate race with 2 percent for Scott Ashjian, who is running as a Tea Party candidate and 3 percent who don't like any of the choices. With Ashjian out of the race, Angle would be leading by 51 percent to 45 percent. The margin of error is 3.5 points. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research, Oct. 20-26).
POLLS FROM TUESDAY:
Angle leads Reid by 49 percent to 45 percent with 4 percent preferring some other candidate and 2 percent undecided, according to a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 25. The margin of error is 4 points. A week ago, Angle had led by 3 points and, the week before that by 1 point. Both have high negatives with the voters. Reid is seen unfavorably by 56 percent (with 51 percent saying they see him "very" unfavorably") while 43 percent see him favorably. Angle is seen unfavorably by 52 percent (with 43 percent seeing her "very" unfavorably) compared to 46 percent who see her favorably.
New Hampshire
POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:
Democratic incumbent John Lynch leads Republican John Stephen in the governor's race 51 percent to 38 percent with 3 percent for other candidates and 9 percent undecided. Last month, Lynch had led 51 percent to 34 percent with 14 percent undecided. (WMUR/University of New Hampshire, Oct. 7-12).
New Mexico
POLLS FROM THURSDAY:
Republican Susan Martinez leads Democrat Diane Denish by 52 percent to 42 percent with 2 percent preferring some other candidate and 4 percent undecided, according to a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 24. The margin of error is 4 points. The gap between Martinez and Denish was about the same in two previous Rasmussen polls, putting the Republicans in a position to retake a governorship that is now held by Democrat Bill Richardson. Martinez is a district attorney and the first Hispanic woman to win a major party nomination for governor. Denish is lieutenant government, and Richardson's current unpopularity in the state -- 57 percent disapprove of the job he is doing as governor -- has been a drag on her.
New York
POLLS FROM WEDNESDAY:
There's never been much doubt that, barring surprises, the Democrats in blue New York were going to withstand the Republican tide, and a Quinnipiac University poll conducted Oct. 18-24 underlines the point, showing Democrat Andrew Cuomo ahead of Republican Carl Paladino by 55 percent to 34 percent with 7 percent undecided in the governor's race, and first-term Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand leading Republican Joe DioGuardi by 57 percent to 34 percent with 7 percent undecided in her bid for re-election.
North Carolina
POLLS FROM THURSDAY:
Democrat Elaine Marshall just hasn't been able to gain any traction in her challenge to first term Republican Sen. Richard Burr, even though several polls have shown him with lackluster job approval and favorability numbers with voters. The latest poll, conducted Oct. 22-25 by SurveyUSA, demonstrates that again, showing Burr ahead of her by 43 percent to 38 percent with 5 percent for Libertarian Michael Beitler and 3 percent undecided.
Ohio
POLLS FROM THURSDAY:
Republican John Kasich leads Democratic incumbent Ted Strickland in the governor's race by 48 percent to 44 percent with 3 percent for some other candidate and 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. In the previous poll, Kasich led by 48 percent to 45 percent. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct.26).
A SurveyUSA poll, conducted Oct. 22-26, has Kasich ahead by 49 percent to 44 percent with 4 percent for other candidates and 4 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. Kasich is leading among independents (22 percent of the sample) by 17 points.
In the Senate race, SurveyUSA says Republican Rob Portman leads Democrat Lee Fisher by 52 percent to 37 percent with 6 percent for other candidates and 4 percent undecided.
POLLS FROM TUESDAY:
While Fisher appears hopelessly behind Portman in the race to fill the Senate seat of the GOP's George Voinovich, Strickland still has a fighting chance against former Kasich in his bid to win re-election as governor, although time may be running out on him.
Kasich leads Strickland by 49 percent to 43 percent with 7 percent undecided, according to a Quinnipiac University poll conducted Oct. 18-24. The margin of error is 3.7 points. Kasich had led by 10 points in mid-October and by as many as 17 in mid-September. Nine percent of those backing each candidate say they still could change their minds by election day, not leaving a lot of room for Strickland to pick up more ground.
A Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research poll conducted Oct. 23 has Kasich ahead by 47 percent to 43 percent with 4 percent for some other candidate and 6 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3 points. Last week, this poll had Kasich leading by 49 percent to 43 percent. Eight percent of Kasich supporters and 9 percent of Strickland backers say they could changer their minds.
In the Senate race, Fox says Portman leads Fisher by 53 percent to 36 percent with 9 percent undecided.
POLLS FROM SUNDAY:
Kasich leads Strickland by 49 percent to 47 percent in the governor's race with 5 percent undecided or backing another candidate. The margin of error is 3.3 points. Kasich had led by 4 points the last time this poll was conducted in late September. The outcome is likely to be all about which party does a better job turning out its voters. Eric Rademacher of the University of Cincinnati's Institute for Policy research, which conducted the poll, told Ohio news organizations, "It's a close race, but the dynamics, especially the advantage the Republicans have in turnout, still favor Kasich." (Ohio Newspaper poll, Oct. 14-18).
Portman leads Fisher in the Senate race by 58 percent to 39 percent. (Ohio Newspaper poll,Oct. 14-18).
Oregon
POLLS FROM WEDNESDAY:
Two new polls show the governor's race between Republican newcomer Chris Dudley and Democrat John Kitzhaber to be a dead heat.
A poll by Davis, Hibbits & Migdall reported by the Portland Tribune conducted Oct. 24-25 has Dudley ahead of Kitzhaber by 46 percent to 43 percent with 2 percent for other candidates and 10 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4.4 points. The Tribune said, "In effect, Oregon voters haven't budged much since the May primary, despite more than $12 million in campaign spending by both sides."
A Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 25 has Dudley leading Kitzhaber by 49 percent to 46 percent with 3 percent preferring some other candidate and 3 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. In an Oct. 10 poll, Kitzhaber had led by 48 percent to 46 percent. Voters are divided at 42 percent each about whether they favor a candidate with political experience (Kitzhaber is a former two-term governor) or a candidate who has never held office, (Dudley is a former pro basketball player who went into financial consulting). Both candidates are seen favorably by voters. Dudley is doing better than Kitzhaber as far as the level of support from their respective parties, and has a modest lead among unaffiliated voters.
Pennsylvania
POLLS FROM FRIDAY:
Republican Pat Toomey leads Democrat Joe Sestak in the Senate race by 47 percent to 42 percent with 12 percent undecided, according to the Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call Daily Tracking Poll. The margin of error is 5 points.
In the same poll, Republican Tom Corbett leads Democrat Dan Onorato in the governor's race by 52 percent to 38 percent with 10 percent undecided.
A Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Oct. 28 has Toomey leading Sestak by 50 percent to 46 percent with 1 percent for some other candidate and 3 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points.
POLLS FROM WEDNESDAY:
Toomey is leading Sestak in the Senate race by 48 percent to 40 percent with 12 percent undecided among likely voters, with "leaners" for each candidate included, according to a Franklin & Marshall College poll conducted Oct. 18-24. In the governor's race, Republican Tom Corbett leads Democrat Dan Onorato by 51 percent to 35 percent with 11 percent undecided. The margin of error for both polls is 4.4 points.
Franklin & Marshall says, "Democrats are at a decided disadvantage when it comes to voter motivation. Only 36 percent of Democrats fall into the most likely to vote category compared to 49 percent of Republicans ... Another example of the gap in partisan enthusiasm is that only one in three (33 percent) of those who voted for Obama in 2008 are in the most likely to vote category versus half (52 percent) of McCain voters."
A CNN/Time/Opinion Research poll conducted Oct. 20-26 has Toomey leading Sestak by 49 percent to 45 percent with 3 percent in the "other/neither" column and 3 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3.5 points. The poll has Corbett leading Onorato in the governor's race by 52 percent to 45 percent with 1 percent described as "other/neither" and 2 percent undecided. Both these sets of results were not much different than this poll showed in mid-September.
The latest Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll has Toomey ahead by a smaller 46 percent to 41 percent margin with 12 percent undecided and Corbett leading in the governor's race by 52 percent to 38 percent with 10 percent undecided. The margin of error is 5 points. Muhlenberg's totals also include leaners.
POLLS FROM TUESDAY:
Toomey is tied with Sestak in the Senate race at 46 percent each with 2 percent preferring someone else and 6 percent undecided, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted Oct. 22-24. The margin of error is 4.9 points.
The same poll says Corbett leads Onorato in the governor's race by 49 percent to 43 percent with 8 percent undecided.
Rhode Island
POLLS FROM FRIDAY:
Republican-turned-independent John Chafee is in the lead in the governor's race with 33 percent, followed by Democrat Frank Caprio at 26 percent, Republican John Robitaille at 26 percent (rounded up from 25.5 percent) and Moderate Party candidate Ken Block at 4 percent, with 11 percent undecided, according to a WPRI-TV poll conducted Oct. 2-15. The margin of error is 4.4 points.
POLLS FROM THURSDAY:
Chafee is out in front in the four-way race for governor with 35 percent, followed by Robitaille at 28 percent, Caprio at 25 percent, Block at 2 percent and 10 percent undecided. Caprio had led Chafee in the last poll released Oct. 12, with Robitaille in third place. (NBC 10/Quest Research, Oct. 23-26).
POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:
Chafee leads Caprio 35 percent to 28 percent in the race for governor with 25 percent for Robitaille. Six percent back Block and 6 percent are undecided. The margin of error is 4 points. In an Oct. 4 poll, Chafee had led Caprio by only 33 percent to 30 percent, with 22 percent for Robitaille. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 21).
South Carolina
POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:
Republican Nikki Haley leads Democrat Vincent Sheheen by 51 percent to 37 percent with 3 percent for some other candidate and 9 percent undecided. (InsiderAdvantage, Oct. 19)
Haley is leading Sheheen by 47 percent to 38 percent in the race to succeed GOP Gov. Mark Sanford, with 4 percent preferring some other candidate and 11 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4.5 points. In a Sept. 22 poll, Haley had held a 50 percent to 33 percent margin. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 19). See related story.
Texas
POLLS FROM FRIDAY:
Republican incumbent Rick Perry leads Democrat Bill White by 53 percent to 44 percent, with 3 percent undecided, according to a Public Policy Polling survey conducted Oct. 26-28. The margin of error is 4.1 points. PPP notes that while White, the former mayor of Houston, has a more positive image than Perry, "it may be a classic case of the right candidate running in the wrong cycle ... To win as a Democrat in Texas you're going to have to win a fair amount of crossover support from Republican voters and in the end White just wasn't able to do it."
POLLS FROM MONDAY:
Perry leads White in the governor's race by 50 percent to 40 percent with 8 percent for Libertarian Kathie Glass and 2 percent for Green Party candidate Deb Shafto. Perry is in the lead even though he does not have great job approval numbers, with 45 percent approving of his performance, 37 percent disapproving, 13 percent neither approving or disapproving and 5 percent undecided. That's reflected in the fact that a modest 53 percent of Perry backers describe their support as "strong." Seventy-two percent of White backers say they are strong supporters. (University of Texas/Texas Tribune, Oct. 11-18).
POLLS FROM LAST WEEK:
Republican incumbent Rick Perry leads Democrat Bill White in the governor's race by 51 percent to 43 percent with 2 percent preferring some other candidate and 5 percent undecided. Perry had led 53 percent to 42 percent in an Oct. 6 poll. (Rasmussen Reports, Oct. 21).
Washington
POLLS FROM FRIDAY:
Democratic incumbent Patty Murray and Republican Dino Rossi are tied at 47 percent each with 6 percent undecided, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted Oct. 24-27. The margin of error is 3.8 points.
A KCTS9/WPLU poll released Friday has Murray leading Rossi by 49 percent to 45 percent. The margin of error is 4 points.
POLLS FROM THURSDAY:
Rossi and Murray remain locked in a tight race, with Rossi ahead by 48 percent to 47 percent with 3 percent for some other candidate with 2 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points.
Tagged: 2010 Election Polls, 2010 Governor Elections, 2010 Governors Elections, 2010 Governors Races, 2010 Senate Elections, 2010 Senate Races, Alaska Elections, Alaska Senate Race, Alaska Senate Races, Alex Sink, California Elections, California Governors Race, Charlie Crist, Chris Coons, Christine ODonnell, Colorado Elections, Colorado Senate Race, dailyguidance, Delaware Elections, Delaware Senate Race, Dino Rossi, Eliot Cutler, Florida Elections, Florida Governors Race, Florida Senate Race, Frank Caprio, Joe Miller, John Kasich, John Robitaille, Ken Block, Ken Buck, Kendrick Meek, Lee Fisher, Libby Mitchell, Lincoln Chafee, Lisa Murkowski, Maine Elections, Maine Governors Race, Marco Rubio, Mark Dayton, Meg Whitman, Michael Bennet, Michigan Elections, Michigan Governors Race, Minnesota Elections, Minnesota Governors Race, Ohio Elections, Ohio Governors Race, Ohio Senate Race, Patty Murray, Paul LePage, Rhode Island Elections, Rhode Island Governors Race, Rick Scott, Rick Snyder, Rob Portman, Scott McAdams, Ted Strickland, Tom Emmer, Tom Horner, Virg Bernero, Washington Elections, Washington Senate Race
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What happened to coverage of Wisconsin, always a vital state, especially this year when the majority could go entirely from Dem to Rep. The current democratic governor is not running (term limits), the front runner is a republican (Scott Walker) and republican Ron Johnson is leading 18 year democratic incumbent Russ Feingold in the polls. The reason Wisconsin is so important is because it is a red/blue state, i.e. the citizens don't vote along party lines; they vote for the best candidate. For example, the governor before current dem, Jim Doyle, was Tommy Thompson, republican, who later became Health & Human Services secretary under G.W. Bush. I think the reason Wisconsin is no longer pivotal is because the president is from next door Illinois. Maybe?
October 29 2010 at 7:26 PM Report abuse Permalink -1 rate up rate down ReplyHave people see the latest News on Alaska?Fifty six people registered as a write-in candidate. A Radio talk show hist that was originally for Murkowski got som upset about the antics of Murkowski and the pork she brought home as well as the recent decision by the State Supreme Court that her supporters could hand out literature on how to spell her name that he enocuraged listeners to register for the lenient requirments of a write in candidate and fifty six answered the call.The Republican party wanted to hedge their bets and didnt remove Murkowski from her Senate Committee and didnt support Miller.Now it could happen that enough write-ins swing it to the Democratic candidate thanks to Murkowski.Pretty amusing.
October 29 2010 at 11:05 AM Report abuse Permalink -2 rate up rate down ReplyIt doesnt make much difference who is elected Governor in California. It is the State legislature that sides with the Unions. Fifty percent of the Revenue of the State of California goes to support the Public Sector. The State Legislature approves the Budget and enacts the Legislation and Californians keep electing the Democrats who side with the Unions. California has a twenty billion dollar deficit and a twenty billion dollar unfunded Pension Liabilty to the Unions for a total of at least forty billion. California is doomed.The Taxpayers will not put up with any more bailouts and then Barabara Boxer will be locked out of any negotiations as every body agrees the Repubicans will at least take control of the House in Congress.Fiorina might ne able to do a little better but the demise of California will be much quicker with Brown as he will side with the Democratic legisalature the people keep putting in office.Its just a matter of how soon Californai goes Bankrupt and not if it will happen.
October 29 2010 at 9:27 AM Report abuse Permalink rate up rate down Reply
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