While she always ranks in the top tier of potential candidates
in polls looking ahead to the 2012 Republican presidential nomination, surveys of the overall public have not been kind to Sarah Palin's chances of winning the general election, and a new ABC News/Washington Post poll
is no exception.
Fifty-nine percent of Americans said they would definitely not support Palin for President in a poll conducted Dec. 9-12. Eight percent said they would definitely back her if she ran and another 31 percent would consider it.
The poll asked the same question for President Obama and New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, although Bloomberg has said he would not make the race. Forty-three percent said they would definitely not support either man. For Obama, 26 percent said they'd definitely support him with another 30 percent saying they would consider doing so. Forty-six percent said they'd consider supporting Bloomberg, but only 2 percent said they would definitely do so.
The percentage of voters who said they definitely would not support Palin is an increase over a year ago, when the number was 53 percent. Twenty-seven percent of those who voted for John McCain in 2008 would not support her, and the same goes for nearly three out of 10 Republicans overall, four in 10 self-described conservatives and four in 10 evangelical white Protestants.
That comes on top of a finding in an October ABC News/Post poll that said 67 percent saw her as unqualified to be chief executive.
Polls about 2012 have to be taken with a grain of salt, (for instance, this far in advance of the 2008 presidential race, Mike Huckabee wasn't even a blip on the radar even though he became a serious contender for the GOP nomination). But the high number of Americans who have already drawn this line on Palin more than suggests she doesn't have a lot of room to win hearts and minds in a 2012 general election contest.
In a two-way match-up, the poll has Obama leading Palin by 54 percent to 39 percent with the remainder preferring someone else, liking neither, not planning to vote for undecided.
If Bloomberg ran as an independent in a there-way race that involved Obama and Palin, Obama would lead with 47 percent to 31 percent for Palin and 18 percent for Bloomberg with the remainder undecided or liking none of the choices.
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