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GOP Candidate Would Tie Obama in 2012, Poll Finds

4 years ago
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Voters are as likely to support the GOP candidate -- whomever that may be -- as they are President Obama in 2012, according to a new survey out Wednesday.

The Gallup poll found 45 percent of respondents said they would vote for Obama for a second term, compared with 45 percent saying they'd back "the Republican Party's candidate."

The numbers were similar to the results for the same question when it was asked a year ago, according to Gallup.

While Obama enjoyed wide support from women and nonwhites in 2008, the same might not be true in 2012. Gallup found a majority of whites favor the GOP candidate this election cycle, while most nonwhites support the president. Along gender lines, women are five percentage points more likely to say they would vote for Obama than are men (47 vs. 42 percent) -- about the same as in 2008.

Young people were crucial to Obama's victory last time around, with 63 percent of voters aged 18 to 34 telling Gallup they would vote for him in 2008. Wednesday's poll found that "a bare majority" of 18- to 34-year-old voters -- 51 percent -- would vote to re-elect Obama.

How does Obama's standing compare to previous presidents? Gallup said George W. Bush and George H.W. Bush both performed better at comparable points in their third years in office than Obama does today. Of course, Bush the elder went on to lose his re-election bid, while the younger Bush won his.

Read the complete Gallup results here.
Filed Under: Poll Watch

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Steve Silva

45% said they would support the "Republican Party candidate". But which candidate is that. Of course it is much harder to run against a "ghost" candidate than it is to compete with an actual person. When a Republican actually declares their candidacy, whoever it is will face the same public scrutiny, and intense criticism as Obama. Then, watch the poll numbers fall for the GOP.

February 18 2011 at 1:23 AM Report abuse -2 rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to Steve Silva's comment

It doesn't matter who - we have the same right to gamble on a President just as the Dems did last time. No matter who is elected they have only a 1 in 3 chance to make things better - the other two chances are to keep things the same and to make them worse. Not very good odds for any candidate. too bad we cna't find any candidates from any party with better odds. It's always try to pick the lesser evil who might hurt us the least.It's like voting for your preference - to be hanged, electrocuted, or shot.

February 22 2011 at 7:55 AM Report abuse +1 rate up rate down Reply
Terry Castellano

Whose answering these surveys anyway!!!!! Instead of wondering what is going to happen in 2012, lets concentrate on what is going on now---- we still have 2 years to go before the next election....and the only vote that counts is the one taken on election day.

February 17 2011 at 5:10 PM Report abuse +6 rate up rate down Reply

I hope that Americans do not repeat the same mistakes or fall for the same Hollywood Style big money glitz and well read speeches that was the making of this president. When I saw those methods used against Hillary I did my research then, didn't like what I uncovered and though she wasn't a very strong choice she was stronger than Obama and when she lost I left the Dem party and became an Independent. I hope that this time around people do their own research and don't get sucked into the music of the pied piper. For me, an election will never be about a party again - it will be about the candidates actual accomplishments, experience, background, backbone, beliefs and the ideology of the candidate and also to obtain a greater balance of power so that an Obama, Pelosi, Reid triangle can never reign in power as they did and yes this is coming from a former democrat. I vote will for the best person. And if anyone ever says vote for change you can believe in - please do what I did, ask what will change, how will you accomplish it, how much will it cost me and what will it cost me - what will I gain or lose.I hope there will be a stronger candidate from the Dem party then whats on board now and also from all other parties - we need good pickens this time around.

February 17 2011 at 12:24 PM Report abuse +6 rate up rate down Reply

When they say 45% will back Obama for a second term, WHERE DO THEY POLL THESE PEOPLE FROM?

February 17 2011 at 12:14 PM Report abuse +1 rate up rate down Reply
3 replies to masrlds's comment

It is now a fact that Sarah Palin is going to run in 2012. She will be a spoiler and guarantee Obama's reelection.

February 17 2011 at 11:59 AM Report abuse +5 rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to fpfp040408's comment

Even if she did decide to run how would she be a spoiler? She would either win or lose in the primary. that would have no effect on Obama's outcome.

February 17 2011 at 7:44 PM Report abuse +1 rate up rate down Reply

Well the thing about wanting change-is it leaves a little bit of uncertainty. Plus I don't think really, American knows what she wants. I think as the people we are tired of war....since most of them really don't pertain to us. But I think America is also bored. We have no direction, because we really aren't sure where to go. Basically we are a Great Nation that is stagnet. We have been overwhelmed with change-and not sure how to deal with it. We want to be a great nation of education-yet there are no jobs-we want to be a nation of great innovation-but aren't sure of what. Every aspect of life from religion down to being just a kid-has made us feel-there needs to be more-there needs to be some compensation or some kind of excitement. We keep asking ourselves is this all there is....and for the moment yes thats all there is. We lost sight of the value-the true value of life with objects-religion-politics-education-ethnic differences-and being able to have a choice. I think America is just plane unhappy and bored-I think we had great expectations on our lives with the year 2000-only to find that no matter what year it is-no matter how much education-no matter what religion-or political party-or science and math we still boils down to the fact we will never be anymore than human. And even though at times it seems like a great flaw to this wonderful thing called life. Maybe we need to accept that what we are is really what we need.

February 17 2011 at 11:51 AM Report abuse +6 rate up rate down Reply

Too funny there is no one to fill in the blank HENCE it is blank. This proves there are ZERO viable candidates. The best the Repubs can do is Palin and she is already gearing up her campaign. Palin will be reenacting Custer's last stand.

February 17 2011 at 11:50 AM Report abuse +3 rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to fpfp040408's comment

The way Obama and the lock step Democrats are going, Palin or any Republican will represent the indians riding down on the whole Obama Democrat machine. Just as in Custer's last stand, there will be no Democrat control of anything left.

February 17 2011 at 3:59 PM Report abuse +1 rate up rate down Reply

look at the time differences in this faux poll , they are omitting all the positive Ron Paul postings . What a joke. My President is Ron Paul.

February 17 2011 at 11:43 AM Report abuse -6 rate up rate down Reply

I think old Huck is GOP,s best chance but when are all you conservatives going to admit that Obama was given a severe financial collapse before he took office that still has staying power as demonstrated by the continued drop in home values. No one can wave a magic wand and cure all this. It would prob have been bettet to put off passing health care but it isnt fully implimented until 2014.

February 17 2011 at 11:43 AM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to xbor8's comment

Your right about the heathcare bill not taking hold until 2014 but it did have a lot to do with companies not hiring workers.

February 17 2011 at 7:48 PM Report abuse +3 rate up rate down Reply

I've listened to Donald Trump,and he has some great Ideas to clear up our dept in this country. I think hed make a great President and strong leader. We need strong leadership and a strong economy again and respect in the world. Its time to
make America a leader again and not a follower...

February 17 2011 at 11:42 AM Report abuse -2 rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to paulmac9's comment

Donald Trump has way to much history in Bank ruptcy to put him in the White House and pull it back out is nothing like what he has done in the past

February 17 2011 at 12:25 PM Report abuse +2 rate up rate down Reply

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