<?xml version="1.0"?>
<rss version="2.0" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/">
<channel>
<title>Politics Daily</title>
<link>http://www.politicsdaily.com</link>
<description>Politics Daily</description>
<image>
<url>http://www.blogsmithmedia.com/www.politicsdaily.com/media/feedlogo.gif</url>
<title>Politics Daily</title>
<link>http://www.politicsdaily.com</link>
</image>
<language>en-us</language>
<copyright>Copyright 2012 Weblogs, Inc. The contents of this feed are available for non-commercial use only.</copyright>
<generator>Blogsmith http://www.blogsmith.com/</generator><item><title>Obama Getting Heat From Left and Right for U.S. Role in Libyan Attacks</title><link>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/22/obama-getting-heat-from-left-and-right-for-u-s-role-in-libyan-a/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/22/obama-getting-heat-from-left-and-right-for-u-s-role-in-libyan-a/</guid><comments>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/22/obama-getting-heat-from-left-and-right-for-u-s-role-in-libyan-a/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/house/" rel="tag">House</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/democrats/" rel="tag">Democrats</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/republicans/" rel="tag">Republicans</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/terror/" rel="tag">Terror</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/obama-administration/" rel="tag">Obama Administration</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/national-security/" rel="tag">National Security</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/congress/" rel="tag">Congress</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/conservatives/" rel="tag">Conservatives</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/liberals/" rel="tag">Liberals</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/moderates/" rel="tag">Moderates</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/united-kingdom/" rel="tag">United Kingdom</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/france/" rel="tag">France</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/military/" rel="tag">Military</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/barack-obama/" rel="tag">Barack Obama</a></p>President Obama is getting blowback from both sides of the aisle for taking military action in Libya without first formally consulting Congress. Debate in Washington heated up even before reports Tuesday that a U.S. warplane, patrolling Libyan air space, had crashed.<br />
<br />
Rep. Roscoe Bartlett (R-Md.), a conservative member of the House Armed Services Committee, said Obama's "unilateral choice" to join a U.N.-backed coalition establishing a no-fly zone "is an affront to our Constitution," The <a href="http://thehill.com/homenews/administration/151153-obama-faces-bipartisan-pushback-on-use-of-force-us-has-no-kings-army">Hill newspaper</a> reported. The United States, Bartlett said, "does not have a king's army."<br />
<br />
Meanwhile, a CBS News poll shows a full <a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/03/22/half-of-americans-approve-of-obamas-handling-of-libya/">50 percent of Americans approve </a>of the president's handling of Libya.<br />
<br />
Since the intervention started Saturday, U.S. Navy warships have launched Tomahawk missiles at Libyan air defenses, while American warplanes have joined other coalition aircraft in attacking military installations and some Libyan ground troops.<br />
<br />
A U.S. F-15E Strike Eagle fighter jet crashed late Monday near Benghazi, but its two crew members ejected and were rescued, the <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/us-jet-crashes-in-libya-pilots-safe-gates-says-air-strikes-should-slow-soon-/2011/03/22/ABNC0lCB_story.html?hpid=z1">Washington Post</a> and NPR said. Military officials said the plane apparently malfunctioned and was not shot down.<br />
<br />
In the Senate, Richard Lugar of Indiana, the top Republican on the Foreign Relations Committee and a White House ally on some issues, said Congress should have a full debate on the objectives and costs of the U.S. role in the attacks. And Democratic Sen. Jim Webb of Virginia, a moderate, said, "This isn't the way the system is supposed to work."<br />
<br />
<img border="1" hspace="4" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.politicsdaily.com/media/2011/03/obama-427cn0322111-1300799853.jpg" vspace="4" />But earlier this month, Defense Secretary <a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/03/03/john-mccain-pressing-hard-for-consideration-of-libyan-no-fly-zon/">Robert Gates warned</a> pro-intervention lawmakers that setting up a <a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/03/14/most-americans-back-a-no-fly-zone-over-libya-but-oppose-stron/">no-fly zone</a> was a major undertaking that would have to begin with attacks on Moammar Gadhafi's anti-aircraft systems.<br />
<br />
Traveling with the president in Santiago, Chile on Monday, White House Press Secretary Jay Carney insisted Obama had consulted personally with congressional leaders on the Libyan situation. And last Saturday, Carney said Deputy National Security Adviser Denis McDonough phoned top lawmakers "to inform them of the imminent action" about to happen. "We take very seriously the need to consult with Congress and we have been doing that," Carney said.<br />
<br />
Under the Constitution, only Congress has the power to declare war. But the president, as commander in chief of the armed forces, has authority to take military action in emergencies or in the face of threats to national security. Obama, who was winding up a Latin American trip Tuesday, insists no U.S. ground troops will be deployed and that leadership of the intervention effort will soon be turned over to NATO partners such as Great Britain or France.<br />
<br />
For Rep. Dennis Kucinich, that's not enough to justify what the U.S. has done in Libya. The liberal lawmaker called it "<a href="http://kucinich.house.gov/News/DocumentSingle.aspx?DocumentID=229992">an act of war</a>" and said Congress should be called back from a spring recess to decide whether to continue the military action.<br />
<br />
On the website <a href="http://kucinich.house.gov/News/DocumentSingle.aspx?DocumentID=229992">Raw Story</a>, Kucinich (D-Ohio) went further, calling Obama's move in Libya "an impeachable offense." The president "didn't have congressional authorization; he has gone against the Constitution, and that's got to be said," Kucinich maintained.<br />
<br />
Kucinich noted that then-Sen. Obama argued in 2007 that "the president does not have the power under the Constitution to unilaterally authorize a military attack in a situation that does not involve stopping an actual or imminent threat to the nation."<br />
<br />
Kucinich, who has twice run for president as an anti-war candidate, said he was not actually proposing impeachment proceedings but only "raising the question" as to whether grounds exist. In any event, calls for a president's impeachment -- often coming from the far left or the far right on Capitol Hill -- are not unusual. Kucinich himself sought to initiate an impeachment article against President George W. Bush in 2008, but then-Speaker Nancy Pelosi wouldn't go along with it.<p style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;">&nbsp;</p><p><a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/22/obama-getting-heat-from-left-and-right-for-u-s-role-in-libyan-a/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/forward/19887459/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.technorati.com/cosmos/search.html?rank=&amp;fc=1&amp;url=http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/22/obama-getting-heat-from-left-and-right-for-u-s-role-in-libyan-a/" title="Linking Blogs">Linking&nbsp;Blogs</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/22/obama-getting-heat-from-left-and-right-for-u-s-role-in-libyan-a/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a></p>]]></description><category>dennis kucinich</category><category>Impeachment</category><category>James Webb</category><category>richard lugar</category><category>roscoe bartlett</category><dc:creator>Politics Daily Staff</dc:creator><dc:date>2011-03-22T09:32:00+00:00</dc:date></item><item><title>Outlaw Justice: When Hackers Retaliate Against Cyber Security</title><link>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/10/outlaw-justice-when-hackers-retaliate-against-cyber-security/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/10/outlaw-justice-when-hackers-retaliate-against-cyber-security/</guid><comments>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/10/outlaw-justice-when-hackers-retaliate-against-cyber-security/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/national-security/" rel="tag">National Security</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/woman-up/" rel="tag">Woman Up</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/pd-investigations-1/" rel="tag">PD Investigations</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/wikileaks/" rel="tag">WikiLeaks</a></p>I used to be a hacker. It was a long time ago, decades before the future World Wide Web was available. I operated anonymously (except to my clients who paid me for what I discovered). I tracked down people whose cars, pledged as security on automobile loans, had been targeted for repossession.<br />
<br />
I performed my "hacking" duties over the phone using codes and pretexts. <a href="http://www.slate.com/id/82311/">I infiltrated semi-secure bureaucratic systems</a> (unemployment claim offices, utility company billing desks etc.) to precisely extract the whereabouts of drivers who had borrowed money to buy automobiles and then skipped town without paying. To be clear, I didn't crack these systems for the challenge or the fun of it, as true hackers are said to, and it wasn't personal. I did it for hire. My tactics were not precisely illegal (the government had not yet passed <a href="http://www.ftc.gov/os/statutes/031224fcra.pdf">fair credit</a> and privacy laws), but some were on the line. Although I wasn't an outlaw, I knew where to find them.<br />
<br />
It is a function of age and time that, as a grandmother, I've gotten squeamish about virtual breaking and entering, but I have retained a fondness for the current generation of hackers, some of whom have banded in a loose alliance called "<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anonymous_%28group%29">Anonymous</a>." I see these youngsters as natural extensions of the outlaws of my day -- inveterate snoops and mostly harmless <a href="http://www.thehackernews.com/p/about-us.html">believers in open access</a>, driven by a commitment to transparency and a subtle addiction to cyber safe-cracking. (That said, hackers are sometimes impatient with boundaries and often go too far. Especially when technology, and the uses it can be put to, outpace a slow-by-design legislative and regulatory oversight process.)<br />
<br />
<img border="1" hspace="4" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.politicsdaily.com/media/2011/03/socialnetwork-1299701259.jpg" vspace="4" />Although they can take themselves very seriously and have lately been recast as "cyberactivists," and "hacktivists," hackers are historically seen as pranksters. (A key scene in last year's film <a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2010/10/06/the-social-network-facebook-zuckerberg-and-the-elites/">"The Social Network</a>," foretelling the creation of Facebook, depicts a <a href="http://www.slate.com/id/2178939/">prank by sophomore Mark Zuckerberg</a> as he hacks into Harvard's content management system to retrieve images of co-eds while inviting fellow Cambridge-area classmen to rate them for attractiveness.) As fans of the 1995 Angelina Jolie film, <a href="http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0113243/">"Hackers</a>," recall, however, practitioners are ferociously <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1TlT5WxnVCg&amp;NR=1">loyal to their cultural values</a> and you don't want to cross them.<br />
<br />
Today's Anonymous group's members go by web handles such as "Q," alluding to the mysterious James Bond character, and have been known to break into government computers for both amusement and ideological reasons. The group is <a href="http://www.pbs.org/newshour/rundown/2010/12/deciphering-the-murky-world-of-hackers-supporting-wikileaks.html">widely suspected</a> of being a source for many documents that end up on <a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/27/secrets-and-lies-what-prevents-the-next-wikileaks/">WikiLeaks</a>. In a statement last year, <a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2010/12/08/wikileaks-hackers-fight-back-against-enemies-of-julian-assang/">Anonymous claimed that its members "don't have much of an affiliation with WikiLeaks</a>, [but] we fight for the same reasons."<br />
<br />
For folks who obsessively fly beneath the radar, some Anonymous hackers raised their profile considerably last year by creating a "<a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-11935539">war of data</a>" against companies that <a href="http://neteffect.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2010/12/09/parsing_the_impact_of_anonymous">dropped WikiLeaks</a> as their client, including Visa and MasterCard,<span style="font-weight: bold;"> </span>painting the document repository as a venue for vigilante justice. In the hacker culture and perspective, they are good guys in a world where government and corporations keep secrets to the disadvantage of average citizens.<br />
<br />
Where there are outlaws, however, there are sheriffs. Into that construct Anonymous hackers drew the attention of a cyber security firm with federal contracts that set out to get them to stop. The firm, HBGary Federal, waved a red flag in front of a bull last month when its CEO <a href="http://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/Cyberactivists-warned-arrest-ftimes-3487898538.html?x=0">bragged to a Financial Times reporter</a> in San Francisco that his company had unmasked Anonymous' ringleaders and planned to turn them over to law enforcement agencies. The HBGary Federal executive, Aaron Barr, told the FT that he had identified the hacker group's most senior organizers, a half dozen people scattered around the world who "co-ordinate and manage most of the decisions."<br />
<br />
A few days later, DagBlog, <a href="http://dagblog.com/reader-blogs/hb-gary-federal-anonymous-and-wikileaks-8912">a website read by hackers and those who admire their work</a>, reported that Anonymous' hackers had "managed to breach every aspect of the HBGary Federal infrastructure. All of it. Even the phone system. They also breached the infrastructure of the parent company."<br />
<br />
To make it clear they had trespassed and why they had done so, Anonymous left <a href="http://img838.imageshack.us/img838/2294/internetsanon.jpg">a calling card manifesto</a> at HBGary Federal, taunting their targets as "a pathetic gathering of media-whoring money-grabbing sycophants who want to reel in business for your equally pathetic company."<br />
<br />
Directing scorn and retribution at Aaron Barr, the executive who had spoken to FT,<a href="http://thepiratebay.org/torrent/6156166/HBGary_leaked_emails"> Anonymous immediately released tens of thousands of documents</a> from Barr's personal e-mail account onto a <a href="http://thepiratebay.org/about">torrent</a> file. (Note to computer security experts: You do not need to save 50,000 e-mails. You are never going to read most of them again. Delete them as you go.)<br />
<br />
What the purloined letters had to say aggravated the hackers even more. Files found on the security company's computers included proposals to potential clients (disturbingly referred by another client, the U.S. Justice Department), including a <a href="http://wikileaks.ch/IMG/pdf/WikiLeaks_Response_v6.pdf">presentation</a> for Bank of America <a href="http://www.thetechherald.com/article.php/201106/6798/Data-intelligence-firms-proposed-a-systematic-attack-against-WikiLeaks">proposing cyber-attacks against WikiLeaks servers</a>. (WikiLeaks' founder Julian Assange had hinted recently that his group <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/03/business/03wikileaks-bank.html">plans to "take down" major financial institutions</a>.)<br />
<br />
The Anonymous hackers also retrieved a blueprint intended for the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, touting the security firm's skills in beating the outlaws at their own game. Made public was a security plan seeking <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/02/14/AR2011021406281.html">a $2 million contract</a> to discredit critics of USCC, including <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/02/14/AR2011021406281.html">creating and distributing counterfeit documents</a>. The disclosure quickly brought forth disclaimers from the commerce group that the strategy "was not requested by the Chamber, it was not delivered to the Chamber and it was never discussed with anyone at the Chamber."<br />
<br />
Although what the Chamber of Commerce knew, and when it knew it, <a href="http://www.fixtheuschamber.org/issues/chamber-gate-2011-what-chamber-knew">has not been fully explored</a>, the principal object of the security plan was <a href="http://www.fixtheuschamber.org/about-chamber-watch-0">a liberal, nonprofit oversight organization</a> called <a href="http://www.fixtheuschamber.org/">ChamberWatch</a>, organized in 2010 by "a federation of five unions and 5.5 million workers." Democrats on Capitol Hill quickly <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/02/28/AR2011022805810.html">called for an investigation</a> of a conspiracy to use "subversive techniques" and "possible illegal actions against citizens engaged in free speech."<br />
<br />
HBGary Federal executives initially attempted damage control, announcing they had "been the victims of an intentional criminal cyberattack. . . . To the extent that any client information may have been affected by this event, we will provide the affected clients with complete and accurate information as soon as it becomes available." But as more embarrassing files were disclosed, the security firm's clients, <a href="http://www.thetechherald.com/article.php/201106/6804/Firm-targeting-WikiLeaks-cuts-ties-with-HBGary-apologizes-to-reporter">business partners</a>, and even HBGary Federal's parent company quickly distanced themselves from the firm's activities.<br />
<br />
Rival security experts used the infiltrated files as a cautionary tale and (without noting the irony of a security company getting so thoroughly <a href="http://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=pantsed">pantsed</a> that, more than a month later its website is still <a href="http://hbgaryfederal.com/">offline</a>) have developed <a href="http://www.pcworld.com/businesscenter/article/221504/8_security_tips_from_the_hbgary_hack.html">security tips</a> to avoid a similar attack. This week Aaron Barr was <a href="http://threatpost.com/en_us/blogs/hbgary-federal-ceo-aaron-barr-steps-down-022811">forced to resign</a>. Moral: Don't try to beat outlaws at their own game.<br />
<br />
In an observation of occupational drawbacks, a poster on a hacker blogsite noted that Barr had been bitten by the outlaw bug. "He was more or less riding the same high a hacker gets from cracking a system and had made it pretty personal."<p style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;">&nbsp;</p><p><a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/10/outlaw-justice-when-hackers-retaliate-against-cyber-security/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/forward/19873020/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.technorati.com/cosmos/search.html?rank=&amp;fc=1&amp;url=http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/10/outlaw-justice-when-hackers-retaliate-against-cyber-security/" title="Linking Blogs">Linking&nbsp;Blogs</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/10/outlaw-justice-when-hackers-retaliate-against-cyber-security/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a></p>]]></description><category>aaron barr</category><category>anonymous</category><category>Bank of America</category><category>chamber of commerce</category><category>chamber watch</category><category>computer security</category><category>cyber+security</category><category>cybersecurity</category><category>hacking</category><category>hbgary</category><category>hbgary federal</category><category>politics+daily</category><category>politicsdaily</category><category>the social network</category><category>us chamber of commerce</category><category>Wikileaks</category><dc:creator>Bonnie Goldstein</dc:creator><dc:date>2011-03-10T22:20:00+00:00</dc:date></item><item><title>White House Disputes Predictions That Gadhafy Will Crush Rebels</title><link>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/10/white-house-disputes-predictions-that-gadhafy-will-crush-rebels/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/10/white-house-disputes-predictions-that-gadhafy-will-crush-rebels/</guid><comments>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/10/white-house-disputes-predictions-that-gadhafy-will-crush-rebels/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/foreign-policy/" rel="tag">Foreign Policy</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/obama-administration/" rel="tag">Obama Administration</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/national-security/" rel="tag">National Security</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/military/" rel="tag">Military</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/white-house/" rel="tag">White House</a></p>Top U.S. intelligence officials said Thursday they expect that Moammar Gadhafy will continue his bloody fight for survival and eventually crush the rebels and opposition groups that now hold almost half of Libya. But the White House sharply disputed that assessment, and is sending Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton to meet with the rebels on the Egyptian border next week.<br />
<br />
The dueling assessments of Gadhafy's fortunes emerged as the Obama administration turned aside growing demands that it take more concerted action, including military steps, to bring down the Libyan dictator and end the bloodshed.<br />
<br />
<div class="relatedLinksR">
	<div class="relatedHeader">
		<h3>
			Related Stories</h3>
	</div>
	<div class="relatedListContatiner">
		<ul>
			<li>
				<a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/03/03/obama-says-u-s-military-action-possible-in-libya-authorizes-pl/" target="_blank" title="POLITICSDAILY - Obama Says U.S. Military Action Possible in Libya, Authorizes Planes for Airlift">Obama Says U.S. Military Action Possible in Libya, Authorizes Planes for Airlift</a></li>
			<li>
				<a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/03/03/john-mccain-pressing-hard-for-consideration-of-libyan-no-fly-zon/" target="_blank" title="POLITICSDAILY - John McCain Pressing Hard for Consideration of Libyan No-Fly Zone">John McCain Pressing Hard for Consideration of Libyan No-Fly Zone</a></li>
			<li>
				<a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/03/10/gadhafy-will-prevail-over-rebels-u-s-intelligence-officials-sa/" target="_blank" title="POLITICSDAILY - Gadhafy Will Prevail Over Rebels, U.S. Intelligence Officials Say">Gadhafy Will Prevail Over Rebels, U.S. Intelligence Officials Say</a></li>
			<li>
				<a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/03/01/u-s-military-readies-libya-options-with-caution/" target="_blank" title="POLITICSDAILY - U.S. Military Readies Libya Options -- With Caution">U.S. Military Readies Libya Options -- With Caution</a></li>
		</ul>
	</div>
</div>
In Brussels, Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates said the NATO defense ministers agreed that NATO -- which currently has combat forces fighting insurgents in Afghanistan -- would act in Libya "only if there is a demonstrable need, a sound legal basis, and strong regional support.''<br />
<br />
In Washington, James R. Clapper, director of national intelligence, raised new objections to imposing a no-fly zone, saying that Libya has a "substantial" air defense network, including "a large, large number'' of portable, shoulder-fired anti-aircraft missiles, that would threaten U.S. and allied aircraft flying over the country.<br />
<br />
<img border="1" hspace="4" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.politicsdaily.com/media/2011/03/libya-rebel-427cm031011.jpg" vspace="4" />Also in Washington Thursday, White House National Security Adviser Thomas Donilon told reporters that the United States is sending civilian disaster relief specialists into eastern Libya to work with the opposition's interim government and international organizations to organize humanitarian relief. These teams, which are trained to operate in austere and dangerous situations, will go in without security or any U.S. military escort, Donilon said.<br />
<br />
Donilon insisted that the United States has acted swiftly and boldly to meet the mounting crisis by organizing international support against Gadhafy, imposing sanctions, freezing $32 billion in Libyan assets, and by leading international demands that Gadhafy step down.<br />
<br />
He said the White House has strongly warned Libyan loyalists fighting for Gadhafy that they face a sharp choice between quitting now or continuing the bloodshed and being brought to justice someday.<br />
<br />
"History is not on the side of Moammar Gadhafy; it is on the side of the Libyan people,'' insisted White House spokesman Ben Rhodes, who along with Donilon briefed reporters by telephone.<br />
<br />
But Clapper, the nation's senior-most intelligence officer, and Army Lt. Gen. Ronald L. Burgess, director of the Defense Intelligence Agency, presented a far grimmer picture of the rebels and opposition demonstrators eventually being beaten in a relentless and bloody war of attrition.<br />
<br />
Clapper said the view of the intelligence community is "kind of a stalemate back and forth, but I think over the longer term the regime will prevail.'' He acknowledged that the conflict could stagger to a close, with rebels holding parts of eastern Libya and Gadhafy still in control of Tripoli. Or Libya could shatter into fiefdoms and tribal enclaves like Somalia -- a fertile incubator for Islamist extremists.<br />
<br />
Libya has more than 30 major surface-to-air missile sites and a radar complex protecting the coastal cities where most Libyans live. Gadhafy's air forces include 75 or 80 aircraft, of which about a third are strike fighters, Clapper said. The jets are aging and not well maintained but have been able to complete some bombing runs. But, he said, "they're somewhat akin to the gang that can't shoot straight, since they're doing this visually and have not caused a very many casualties.''<br />
<br />
Clapper and Burgess, testifying before the Senate Armed Services Committee, said two elite Libyan army units, the 9<sup>th</sup> and 32<sup>nd</sup> brigades, are loyal to Gadhafy, well equipped with tanks, artillery and air defenses, and highly disciplined. They suggested that Gadhafy's forces could hold out indefinitely even with an international arms embargo.<br />
<br />
Gadhafy "seems to have staying power, unless some other dynamic changes at this time,'' Burgess said. "Initially, the momentum was with the other side. That has started to shift. Whether or not it has fully moved to Gadhafy's side at this time I think is not clear.'' But the initiative, he said, "may actually be on the regime side at this time.''<br />
<br />
Clapper's statements caused a furor on Capitol Hill. If Gadhafy's forces can beat back the rebels, said Sen. Joe Lieberman of Connecticut, all the more reason for the United States to intervene now with force. The situation "really calls on us to act quickly, not to let this happen,'' Lieberman said.<br />
<br />
"We're being asked by an escalating chorus of voices from within the Arab world to please help the opposition to Gadhafy,'' Lieberman said, adding that this is "a new chance for us to link up with the aspirations of people in the Arab world.''<br />
<br />
Clapper's prediction of defeat for the Libyan opposition prompted a furious Sen.Lindsey Graham of South Carolina to demand that Clapper resign or be fired.<br />
<br />
"The situation in Libya remains tenuous and the director's comments today on Gadhafi's 'staying power' are not helpful to our national security interests,'' Graham said in a statement, using a different spelling of the leader's name. "His comments will make the situation more difficult for those opposing Gadhafi ... and undercut our national efforts to bring about the desired result of Libya moving from dictator to democracy."<br />
<br />
At the White House, Donilon argued that superior military forces alone can't guarantee Gadhafy's survival. He said the growing isolation of the Libyan government, the cumulative effect of the sanctions, and the freezing of Gadhafy's assets are putting inexorable pressure on the regime.<br />
<br />
Most important, Donilon said, is the change that has ignited popular political upheaval across North Africa and the Arab world: armed repression no longer has the power it once had.<br />
<br />
"The fear dynamic has been lost,'' Donilon said. "People -- and especially young people -- have confronted regimes that have been repressing them ... it's hard to overstate the significance of this historic change, really movements of people pursuing their aspirations in nonviolent fashion.''<br />
<a href="http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0311/51061.html#ixzz1GEjzijFG" style="color: rgb(0, 51, 153);"> </a><p style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;">&nbsp;</p><p><a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/10/white-house-disputes-predictions-that-gadhafy-will-crush-rebels/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/forward/19875932/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.technorati.com/cosmos/search.html?rank=&amp;fc=1&amp;url=http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/10/white-house-disputes-predictions-that-gadhafy-will-crush-rebels/" title="Linking Blogs">Linking&nbsp;Blogs</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/10/white-house-disputes-predictions-that-gadhafy-will-crush-rebels/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a></p>]]></description><category>fighting in libya</category><category>Libya</category><category>libya crisis</category><category>libya protests</category><category>Libya uprising</category><category>Libya war</category><category>libyan rebels</category><category>Moammar Gadhafy</category><category>U.S. intelligence officials and libya</category><category>White House National Security Adviser Thomas Donilon</category><dc:creator>David Wood</dc:creator><dc:date>2011-03-10T19:24:00+00:00</dc:date></item><item><title>Survey Rebuts Rep. Peter King's Claims on Radicals and Mosques</title><link>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/10/survey-rebuts-rep-peter-kings-claims-on-radicals-and-mosques/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/10/survey-rebuts-rep-peter-kings-claims-on-radicals-and-mosques/</guid><comments>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/10/survey-rebuts-rep-peter-kings-claims-on-radicals-and-mosques/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/republicans/" rel="tag">Republicans</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/religion/" rel="tag">Religion</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/investigations/" rel="tag">Investigations</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/immigration/" rel="tag">Immigration</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/terror/" rel="tag">Terror</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/national-security/" rel="tag">National Security</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/disputations/" rel="tag">Disputations</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/congress/" rel="tag">Congress</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/conservatives/" rel="tag">Conservatives</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/al-qaeda/" rel="tag">al Qaeda</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/islam/" rel="tag">Islam</a></p>As Rep. Peter King opened <a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/03/10/rep-peter-kings-hearing-on-american-muslims-how-radical-how/">his controversial hearing</a> into "radicalization in the American Muslim community" on Thursday morning, researchers were noting that King's claims about mosques in the United States being controlled by "radical imams" who are producing extremists are apparently untrue.<br />
<br />
King, a Long Island Republican under fire for once supporting Irish Republican Army terrorism but now pursuing Islamic extremism, has claimed that over 80 percent of American mosques are controlled by "radical imams" and that Muslims are "an enemy living amongst us" who are not helping authorities combat terrorism. He has also lamented the number of mosques in the United States because they breed "home-grown" terrorists.<br />
<br />
But a <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2011/OPINION/03/09/barreto.muslim.religion/index.html">2008 survey</a> of 1,410 Muslims that was the largest ever conducted showed that almost all Muslims who regularly go to a mosque are likely to agree with the statement that Islam and the American political system are compatible.<br />
<br />
The <a href="http://wonkroom.thinkprogress.org/2011/03/08/study-mosques/">study</a> by Karam Dana, who teaches at Tufts University, and colleague Matt A. Barreto shows that among Muslims who do not attend religious services regularly, 77 percent answered "yes" when asked whether Islam and American political values are compatible. Among those who are regularly involved in a mosque, that figure rose to 95 percent. The research confirmed results from a smaller, earlier survey.<br />
<br />
"The more religious American Muslims happen to be, the more they participate in American politics," Dana told <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/03/09/study-says-civic-engageme_n_833756.html">Religion News Service</a>.<br />
<br />
Like other religious institutions in the United States, mosques have helped members assimilate into American society and promoted support for American civic and political values, Dana said.<br />
<br />
"Decades of scholarship on religious institutions, be they churches or synagogues, have shown that they foster participation in the political system," said Dana. "We believe that mosques are no different."<p style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;">&nbsp;</p><p><a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/10/survey-rebuts-rep-peter-kings-claims-on-radicals-and-mosques/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/forward/19875275/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.technorati.com/cosmos/search.html?rank=&amp;fc=1&amp;url=http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/10/survey-rebuts-rep-peter-kings-claims-on-radicals-and-mosques/" title="Linking Blogs">Linking&nbsp;Blogs</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/10/survey-rebuts-rep-peter-kings-claims-on-radicals-and-mosques/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a></p>]]></description><category>dailyguidance</category><category>hearings</category><category>IRA</category><category>mosques</category><category>Peter King</category><category>radical Islam</category><category>RadicalIslam</category><dc:creator>David Gibson</dc:creator><dc:date>2011-03-10T10:29:00+00:00</dc:date></item><item><title>82nd Airborne Quick-Strike Force Gives Obama New Option in Mideast Crises</title><link>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/08/82nd-airborne-quick-strike-force-gives-obama-new-option-in-midea/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/08/82nd-airborne-quick-strike-force-gives-obama-new-option-in-midea/</guid><comments>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/08/82nd-airborne-quick-strike-force-gives-obama-new-option-in-midea/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/iran/" rel="tag">Iran</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/foreign-policy/" rel="tag">Foreign Policy</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/national-security/" rel="tag">National Security</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/afghanistan/" rel="tag">Afghanistan</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/military/" rel="tag">Military</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/middle-east/" rel="tag">Middle East</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/iraq/" rel="tag">Iraq</a></p>FORT BRAGG, N.C. -- As revolution zigzags chaotically across the Middle East and North Africa, the U.S. Army is sharpening its readiness to launch rapid-reaction, kick-in-the-door combat forces, adding capabilities and skills that had atrophied during a decade of counterinsurgency missions in Iraq and Afghanistan.<br />
<br />
For the first time in years, the 82<sup>nd</sup> Airborne Division here has stood up its "ready brigade," trained to a razor's edge and poised to move instantly, as one of its paratroopers said, "to the sound of the guns."<br />
<br />
This new capability gives President Obama the option to swiftly land powerful military forces anywhere in the world for missions that could include evacuating American citizens, safeguarding fragile new democracies from counterattack, or violently taking down a renegade regime.<br />
<br />
At the same time, the Army is considering reinforcing this Global Response Force with heavier combat units that could swiftly reinforce the 82<sup>nd</sup> Airborne's lightly armed paratroopers.<br />
<br />
<img border="1" hspace="4" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.politicsdaily.com/media/2011/03/bragg-1299610161.jpg" vspace="4" />With these steps, said the division commander, Maj. Gen. Jim L. Huggins, the United States is regaining the "strategic depth" it lacked during much of the past decade when the Army was struggling to man the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, and simply lacked the troops to set aside for crisis response. "The resources are flowing, and we are building that capability back," he said.<br />
<br />
And it's coming just in time. Few may hope more devoutly for peaceful, democratic change in the Middle East than the division's 20,000 hardened war-fighters, many of whom are facing their fifth or sixth combat deployment.<br />
<br />
But hope is not a strategy.<br />
<br />
Instead, Huggins' soldiers are honing their skills at "forcible entry" -- the ability to parachute into enemy territory with their armored gun trucks and 155mm howitzers, seize and defend an airfield to enable reinforcements to land, and fight their way to the objective. Safely landing 2,000 paratroopers and equipment at night on a three-mile-long, blacked-out drop zone and then swiftly organizing and moving out, Huggins observed dryly, "takes some practice."<br />
<br />
But as political upheaval boils, from nuclear-armed Pakistan to the oilfields of the Persian Gulf fiefdoms and North Africa, sending in paratroopers may not be enough if heavy armed conflict begins to threaten vital U.S. national interests.<br />
<br />
With the encouragement of Gen. Martin Dempsey, selected to become the Army's new chief this spring, the Army is considering adding "medium and heavy combat brigades" to the Global Response Force, said Col. Dan Baggio, a spokesman for the Army's Forces Command. The units being evaluated, which could include elements of a <a href="http://www.wainwright.army.mil/1_25_SBCT/">Stryker brigade</a> and even heavy armored brigades, are stationed in the United States and would have to be airlifted into combat.<br />
<br />
The idea is to provide a heavy force quickly for major combat, Dempsey wrote in a new addition to the <a href="http://usacac.army.mil/cac2/FM3-0/FM_3-0_C1_%28WEB%291.pdf">Army's operations field manual</a>, to "gain the initiative . . . and set conditions for stability operations" to follow.<br />
<br />
All these steps seem in sync with an emerging vision for a leaner, smaller, faster Army after Iraq and Afghanistan. In a <a href="http://www.defense.gov/speeches/speech.aspx?speechid=1539">widely noted speech</a> last month at West Point, Defense Secretary Robert Gates memorably trashed the idea of sending a massive land force into war in the Middle East or Africa, saying big wars should be the responsibility primarily of naval forces and aviation. But he strongly endorsed the "strategic rationale for swift-moving expeditionary forces" as "self-evident" for counterterrorism, rapid reaction, disaster response, stability or security force assistance missions.<br />
<br />
The Obama administration also has proposed cutting the size of the Army by 27,000 soldiers beginning in 2015, assuming that by then the Afghan war will be winding down, Gates said last week.<br />
<br />
Expanding from the narrow mission of counterinsurgency to quick-reaction missions -- which might demand a full spectrum of skills, from providing disaster relief to fighting the opening battles of World War III -- marks an abrupt change for the 82<sup>nd</sup> Airborne Division. For a decade it has fought in small units, squads of nine to 12 soldiers and platoons of 30 or 40, working with local soldiers and villagers in a kind of armed nation-building. These operations required little or no coordination with neighboring units.<br />
<br />
But now, with its ready brigade unhooked from this counterinsurgency mission, it can refocus on the skills required for larger company- and battalion-size maneuvers involving hundreds of soldiers in tight coordination with artillery, mortars, helicopter gunships and Air Force strike fighters. And the paratroopers, relieved of counterinsurgency duty, can catch up on the jumping skills they hadn't been able to practice in Iraq or Afghanistan. Before 2001, it was common to see a staff sergeant here with 60 or 70 jumps to his credit; today, a senior enlisted paratrooper may have fewer than 20, said 1<sup>st</sup> Sgt. Christian Requejo of the 2<sup>nd</sup> Battalion, 505<sup>th</sup> Parachute Infantry Regiment.<br />
<br />
They are getting the practice. In one exercise last month, the division and the Air Force coordinated an airdrop of 1,600 paratroopers, together with eight armored Humvee gun trucks, two howitzers, a dump truck and a grader (for building airfield defensive fortifications) from an air armada of 27 C-17 and C-130 airlifters.<br />
<br />
Doing all that quickly and safely requires an immense amount of preparation. "We were not used to maneuvering as a company or a battalion," said one company commander, Capt. Mike Thompson. "It takes meticulous planning -- or it can be a goat-screw."<br />
<br />
Early on a recent, chilly morning, a clutch of captains and lieutenants of the division's ready brigade gathered to rehearse a complex mission: coordinating air strikes from F-16s and attack helicopters with artillery and mortar fire as paratroopers maneuvered through bands of enemy to seize a small village.<br />
<br />
A scale model of the terrain was laid out on the grass behind their barracks, with tape marking out routes and plastic blocks representing houses. In what is called an ROC (rehearsal of concept) drill, the lieutenants who lead platoons walked through their actions as they engaged the enemy and made quick decisions on whether calling in artillery strikes would endanger nearby troops or conflict with the Apache helicopter gunships and UAVs orbiting over the battlefield.<br />
<br />
Their battalion commander, Lt. Col. Marcus Evans, is a demanding teacher and coach. "If you haven't run through this four or five times with a chalk board before you come out here, you're missing something," he told his young officers. "Drill it, drill it, drill it!" And plan for the unexpected, he added. "We can't war-game all the contingencies -- but we can do the top 10 and rehearse them!"<br />
<br />
Brigades training in these skills will get severely tested at the Army's National Training Center at Fort Irwin, Calif., which has built extensive facilities for counterinsurgency training, including mock Afghan villages and Pashtun-speaking role players. But starting this August, the NTC will switch from training only for counterinsurgency, and instead will hold six month-long war games over the course of a year, pitting visiting brigades against the battle-hardened <a href="http://www.irwin.army.mil/UnitsandTenants/11acr/Pages/default.aspx">11<sup>th</sup> Armored Cavalry Regiment</a> in simulated, but grueling, full-spectrum combat.<br />
<br />
None of the skills and capabilities the Army is regaining may be applicable as upheaval sweeps across the Middle East and North Africa. As Gates and others have noticed, the Pentagon has a perfect record in predicting where and when future conflict will erupt: It has gotten it wrong every time. But that is one reason for the "full-spectrum" preparation of the 82<sup>nd</sup> Airborne Division's ready brigade.<br />
<br />
"We've been deficient as a great power in being overly committed to the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan without having any additional capacity to do anything else that could come along," said John Nagl, a former West Point armor officer and Rhodes scholar who is president of the <a href="http://www.cnas.org/">Center for a New American Security</a>, a nonpartisan research institution in Washington, D.C. "The Army was really tapped out."<br />
<br />
"Particularly with what's going on in the world, it's not hard to imagine the president needing a brigade of the 82<sup>nd</sup> at short notice," Nagl said. "But having that capability doesn't mean we're going to use it."<p style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;">&nbsp;</p><p><a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/08/82nd-airborne-quick-strike-force-gives-obama-new-option-in-midea/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/forward/19872463/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.technorati.com/cosmos/search.html?rank=&amp;fc=1&amp;url=http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/08/82nd-airborne-quick-strike-force-gives-obama-new-option-in-midea/" title="Linking Blogs">Linking&nbsp;Blogs</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/08/82nd-airborne-quick-strike-force-gives-obama-new-option-in-midea/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a></p>]]></description><category>82nd Airborne</category><category>Arab Awakening</category><category>Arab uprising</category><category>Obama Libya</category><category>Obama Mideast</category><category>Obama military options</category><category>U.S. Army</category><category>U.S. military intervention</category><dc:creator>David Wood</dc:creator><dc:date>2011-03-08T22:24:00+00:00</dc:date></item><item><title>WikiLeaks Suspect Bradley Manning Hit With 22 New Charges</title><link>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/03/wikileaks-suspect-bradley-manning-hit-with-22-new-charges/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/03/wikileaks-suspect-bradley-manning-hit-with-22-new-charges/</guid><comments>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/03/wikileaks-suspect-bradley-manning-hit-with-22-new-charges/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/scandal/" rel="tag">Scandal</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/investigations/" rel="tag">Investigations</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/terror/" rel="tag">Terror</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/national-security/" rel="tag">National Security</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/afghanistan/" rel="tag">Afghanistan</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/military/" rel="tag">Military</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/wikileaks/" rel="tag">WikiLeaks</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/iraq/" rel="tag">Iraq</a></p>Army Pfc. Bradley Manning, the suspected source of many of the hundreds of thousands of classified documents turned over to the anti-secrecy website WikiLeaks, has been hit with 22 additional charges, including "aiding the enemy," which carries the death penalty on conviction.<br />
<br />
Military prosecutors, however, have told Manning's lawyers they will not recommend capital punishment in the case that, if tried, would go before a court-martial. <a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/01/26/julian-assange-and-bradley-manning-a-tale-of-two-arrests/">Manning, 23</a>, is being held at a military brig in Quantico, Va., on earlier accusations related to leaks when he was an intelligence specialist in Iraq.<br />
<br />
Charges brought Wednesday under the Uniform Code of Military Justice include aiding the enemy -- the "enemy" is not specified -- wrongly causing intelligence to be posted on the Internet, and violating Army regulations on information security, the <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/03/02/AR2011030206272.html">Washington Post</a> reported. The government asserts that WikiLeaks' posting of Iraq and Afghanistan war documents and also State Department cables put soldiers and civilians at risk.<br />
<br />
<img border="1" hspace="4"  src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.politicsdaily.com/media/2011/03/bradley-manning-240mh072610.jpg" vspace="4" />"The new charges more accurately reflect the broad scope of the crimes that Pfc. Manning is accused of committing," Army spokesman Capt. John Haberland said. If convicted on all charges, Manning could face life in prison.<br />
<br />
In a separate matter Tuesday in London, <a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/27/secrets-and-lies-what-prevents-the-next-wikileaks/">WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange</a> appealed an extradition order that would force him to return to Sweden to answer sex offense complaints. The appeal could drag on for two or three months, an Assange attorney told <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2011/WORLD/europe/03/03/uk.assange.case/index.html?hpt=T2">CNN</a>.<p style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;">&nbsp;</p><p><a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/03/wikileaks-suspect-bradley-manning-hit-with-22-new-charges/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/forward/19866495/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.technorati.com/cosmos/search.html?rank=&amp;fc=1&amp;url=http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/03/wikileaks-suspect-bradley-manning-hit-with-22-new-charges/" title="Linking Blogs">Linking&nbsp;Blogs</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/03/wikileaks-suspect-bradley-manning-hit-with-22-new-charges/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a></p>]]></description><category>Bradley Manning and Julian Assange</category><category>dailyguidance</category><dc:creator>Tom Diemer</dc:creator><dc:date>2011-03-03T09:56:00+00:00</dc:date></item><item><title>U.S. Military Readies Libya Options -- With Caution</title><link>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/01/u-s-military-readies-libya-options-with-caution/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/01/u-s-military-readies-libya-options-with-caution/</guid><comments>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/01/u-s-military-readies-libya-options-with-caution/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/foreign-policy/" rel="tag">Foreign Policy</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/obama-administration/" rel="tag">Obama Administration</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/national-security/" rel="tag">National Security</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/military/" rel="tag">Military</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/analysis/" rel="tag">Analysis</a></p>FORT BRAGG, N.C. -- Officials looking at options for U.S. military intervention in Libya are recalling the lessons of Somalia, where American troops were sent to help feed starving children and 15 months later were evacuated ahead of howling mobs that then sacked the U.S. Embassy. Forty-two Americans were killed in combat and dozens were injured. Today in Somalia, an al-Qaeda franchise holds power.<br />
<br />
Lesson No. 1, planners say: Beware the Law of Unintended Consequences.<br />
<br />
The spreading chaos in Libya and the bloody stalemate between rebels and defiant remnants of Moammar Gadhafi's regime have prompted demands for armed intervention on behalf of the popular uprising to topple the regime, help restore order and feed and house those who have fled the fighting.<br />
<br />
<div class="relatedLinksR">
	<div class="relatedHeader">
		<h3>
			Related Stories</h3>
	</div>
	<div class="relatedListContatiner">
		<ul>
			<li>
				<a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/28/moammar-gadhafi-to-amanpour-why-would-i-leave-libya/" target="_blank" title="POLITICSDAILY - Gadhafi to ABC's Amanpour: 'Why Would I Leave Libya?'">Gadhafi to ABC's Amanpour: 'Why Would I Leave Libya?'</a></li>
			<li>
				<a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/27/obama-should-impose-no-fly-zone-on-libya-and-aid-insurgents-sen/" target="_blank" title="POLITICSDAILY - Obama Should Impose No-Fly Zone on Libya and Aid Insurgents, Senators Say">Obama Should Impose No-Fly Zone on Libya and Aid Insurgents, Senators Say</a></li>
			<li>
				<a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/26/obama-says-gadhafi-must-leave-libya-now/" target="_blank" title="POLITICSDAILY - Obama Says Gadhafi Must Leave Libya 'Now'">Obama Says Gadhafi Must Leave Libya 'Now'</a></li>
			<li>
				<a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/24/in-libyas-chaos-an-opening-for-al-qaeda/" target="_blank" title="POLITICSDAILY - In Libya's Escalating Chaos, an Opening for al-Qaeda?">In Libya's Escalating Chaos, an Opening for al-Qaeda?</a></li>
		</ul>
	</div>
</div>
With orders from the White House to prepare "all options," military planners across the armed services are scrambling, from the XVIII Airborne Corps and 82<sup>nd</sup> Airborne Division headquartered here, to the U.S. Central Command and the U.S. Special Operations Command in Tampa, Fla., down to the future operations cell of the 26<sup>th</sup> Marine Expeditionary Unit, embarked on the <a href="http://www.kearsarge.navy.mil/default.aspx">USS Kearsarge</a>, an amphibious assault carrier headed toward Libya from the Red Sea.<br />
<br />
Most of the Marines assigned to the 26 MEU are currently fighting in Afghanistan, so Defense Secretary Robert Gates Tuesday ordered 400 Marines from the United States to join the Kearsarge in the Mediterranean Sea later this week.<br />
<br />
<img border="1" hspace="4" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.politicsdaily.com/media/2011/03/uss-kearsarge-427cm030111.jpg" vspace="4" />In a meeting with reporters at the Pentagon Tuesday, Gates said no further decisions have been made on potential missions in Libya. He noted that a U.N. Security Council resolution does not contain authorization for any military operations.<br />
<br />
None of the U.S. planners involved will talk on the record. Privately, though, planners, strategists and analysts describe a range of potential missions from imposing "no-fly'' and "no-drive'' zones (to prevent the movement of Gadhafi's security forces) to launching limited and short-duration humanitarian relief operations. And because operations planners must consider worst-case situations, some also are looking at larger-scale armed intervention. Preferably, U.S.officials said, any U.S. intervention would take place under United Nations auspices and be undertaken jointly with NATO allies and others.<br />
<br />
But while the necessary work is underway of planning what would be complex military operations, there is a sense that the conflict in Libya will unfold on its own.<br />
<br />
"I don't see a military mission," said Robert Killebrew, a retired Army strategic planner. "It would be one thing if there were Americans being held hostage. Then we have to intervene. Barring that, it's unclear what the military would do." Killebrew is now a senior analyst at the Center for a New American Security, a Washington think tank.<br />
<br />
The risk of U.S. military involvement is reflected in a variant of Colin Powell's "<a href="http://www.sptimes.com/2004/04/20/Business/Rule_that_isn_t_its_r.shtml">Pottery Barn rule</a>." As the former four-star general and then-secretary of state warned President Bush in 2002, regarding an invasion of Iraq, "You break it, you own it."<br />
<br />
By intervening in Libya, "the United States and its allies might find themselves in the position of midwifing a bad outcome if the situation degenerated into civil war or chaotic violence, or if radical Islamist elements gained power," write Jason Hanover and Jeffrey White of the Washington Institute on Near East Policy.<br />
<br />
And there is the precedent of Somalia, where a well-intentioned impulse to "do something" turned into a deadly rout. In August 1992, President George H.W. Bush authorized the military to begin flying food shipments into drought-stricken Somalia. But supply convoys run by relief organizations came under attack by local gangs, which hijacked the food for resale on the open market. By December, Bush -- who had lost his reelection bid to Bill Clinton -- came under pressure to protect the convoys, and sent in Marines and troops of the 10<sup>th</sup> Mountain Division, a force that reached upwards of 10,000 assigned to work with international troops under a U.N. mandate.<br />
<br />
<a href="http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ops/restore_hope.htm">Operation Restore Hope</a> grew into a series of deadly clashes with Somali gangs and, it turned out, elements of early al-Qaeda units. Under the U.N. mandate, American troops had no authority to disarm the gangs, and the fighting escalated to the deadly October 1993 firefight portrayed in the book "Blackhawk Down."<br />
<br />
U.S. forces were withdrawn, with the last troops being evacuated by sea the following March. As they withdrew, mobs stormed the American embassy building, which had recently been expanded.<br />
<br />
The debacle soured many on the idea of peacekeeping in a chaotic situation where local government authority had broken down. An official <a href="http://www.history.army.mil/brochures/Somalia/Somalia.htm">Army history</a> of Restore Hope concluded: "The American soldier had, as always, done his best under difficult circumstances to perform a complex and often confusing mission. But the best soldiers in the world can only lay the foundation for peace; they cannot create peace itself."<br />
<br />
Libya, of course, is not Somalia. Rather than an ungoverned territory fought over by rival gangs and warlords, Libya is a settled, developed country that presents its own complications to military planners. Among them:<br />
<br />
-- A no-fly zone, patrolled by U.S. and European aircraft, would be extremely complex, requiring coordination with a rotation of aerial refueling tankers, and strike fighters poised against Gadhafi's surface-to-air missile batteries. Even if tightly enforced, a no-fly zone would have little or no impact on the outcome of the struggle on the ground, analysts say. Gadhafi has occasionally used strike fighters from his decrepit air force against rebel forces to little evident effect, while the struggle on the ground has continued unabated.<br />
<br />
-- A "no-drive" zone, designed to prevent Gadhafi from using his ground forces, would have to be enforced by aircraft. U.S. <a href="http://www.af.mil/information/factsheets/factsheet.asp?id=100">JSTARS</a> aircraft could track moving vehicles with ease -- but could not tell whether vehicles were occupied by anti-Gadhafi forces or pro-Gadhafi forces. That raises the potential for mistakenly killing pro-democracy protesters.<br />
<br />
-- Humanitarian intervention: The <a href="http://www.usmc.mil/unit/26thmeu/Pages/welcome.aspx">26<sup>th</sup> MEU</a> aboard the USS Kearsarge has the equipment and the training to evacuate civilians from shore and temporarily treat as many as 600 injured civilians in its hospital bays. It could easily land several hundred Marines to provide security and other support for civilian humanitarian organizations helping to feed and house refugees. But as the Somalia precedent suggests, such armed intervention, even if initially limited in scope, can easily expand.<br />
<br />
U.S. forces can overcome such problems, of course. But any military option, analysts stress, carries with it enormous uncertainties.<br />
<br />
"Libyans in my opinion have to do this for themselves," said Killebrew. "They will eventually kick Gadhafi out. Rebels want to fight their own war, and for us to intervene in a family fight is always a scary thing to do."<p style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;">&nbsp;</p><p><a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/01/u-s-military-readies-libya-options-with-caution/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/forward/19863549/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.technorati.com/cosmos/search.html?rank=&amp;fc=1&amp;url=http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/01/u-s-military-readies-libya-options-with-caution/" title="Linking Blogs">Linking&nbsp;Blogs</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/03/01/u-s-military-readies-libya-options-with-caution/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a></p>]]></description><category>Gadhafi</category><category>Libya conflict</category><category>no fly zone</category><category>somalia</category><category>US marines Libya</category><category>US military</category><category>US military Libya</category><category>USS Kearsarge</category><dc:creator>David Wood</dc:creator><dc:date>2011-03-01T15:29:00+00:00</dc:date></item><item><title>Secrets and Lies: What Prevents the Next WikiLeaks?</title><link>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/27/secrets-and-lies-what-prevents-the-next-wikileaks/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/27/secrets-and-lies-what-prevents-the-next-wikileaks/</guid><comments>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/27/secrets-and-lies-what-prevents-the-next-wikileaks/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/national-security/" rel="tag">National Security</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/woman-up/" rel="tag">Woman Up</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/wikileaks/" rel="tag">WikiLeaks</a></p>With the <a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/24/wikileaks-founder-julian-assange-can-be-extradited-to-sweden-ju/">verdict last week by a London judge</a> to honor Sweden's request for his extradition, Julian Assange, the founder of WikiLeaks, could soon be charged and tried in Swedish courts. Assange, wanted for questioning regarding "unlawful coercion, <a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/14/waiting-for-art-assange-berlusconi-and-the-sex-lives-of-other/">sexual molestation and rape</a>," has said he plans to appeal the judge's decision but failing that effort, he will be transferred to Stockholm in March. If he is charged and convicted, his jail sentence could be as long <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2011/02/08/world/europe/08assange.html">four years</a>. Even if fortune should turn in Assange's favor (not entirely unlikely as he has a <a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2010/12/28/wikileaks-founder-julian-assange-to-write-his-autobiography-f/">book contract</a>, discussions are under way for a movie about him, and he has recently been nominated for a <a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/02/wikileaks-nominated-for-nobel-peace-prize/">Nobel Peace Prize</a>) there still is a very real chance his wiki-whistleblower days are over.<br />
<br />
But leaks of classified U.S. intelligence will surely continue.<br />
<br />
I personally believe Julian Assange is a <a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2010/08/03/wikileaks-lesson-information-does-not-always-want-to-be-free/">disclosure vandal</a>, and have said before that consequence-free anonymous disclosure makes me uncomfortable. Nevertheless, I agree with my colleague Delia Lloyd that WikiLeaks has "<a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/03/wikileaks-whistleblowing-and-the-future-of-journalism/">forever altered modern journalism</a>."<br />
<br />
<img border="1" hspace="4" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.politicsdaily.com/media/2011/02/wikileaks-427mh0227.jpg" vspace="4" />We daily see the parenthetical attribution "according to diplomatic cables made public by WikiLeaks" in our international news analysis. Indeed, as reporters have examined and reported on the website's purloined State Department correspondence, they have provided readers and watchers of news with a rich, nuanced understanding of the serious unrest unfolding in <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/us-embassy-cables-documents/217138">Tunisia</a>, <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2011/02/08/world/middleeast/201101208-wikileaks-cables-on-egypt.html">Egypt</a> and <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2011/02/23/world/africa/23cables.html">Libya</a>, as well as a sharper picture of regions from <a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2010/12/16/wikiwatch-u-s-concerns-about-brazils-enforcement-of-patents/">Brasilia</a> to <a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2010/11/30/wikileaks-sampling-the-american-wedding-guest-writes-home/">Dagestan</a><br />
<br />
The lapse of security that allowed a cache of hundreds of thousands of classified documents to seep into the public domain through a hole in the secrecy net has <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-12-01/wikileaks-secrecy-breach-may-upturn-post-sept-11-u-s-data-sharing.html">prompted the U.S. government to roll back years of efforts to internally share information</a> on terrorists and other threats. While Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton "<a href="http://publicintelligence.net/secretary-of-state-clinton-press-conference-on-wikileaks-cables/">strongly condemns</a>" the illegal disclosure of classified information, there will be no way to stop continued access and study of the posted documents by scholars, journalists and even the very subjects of the diplomatic reports.<br />
<br />
The stolen documents are widely believed to have been obtained when <a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/01/26/julian-assange-and-bradley-manning-a-tale-of-two-arrests/">Pfc. Bradley Manning</a>, an intelligence officer in his early 20s <a href="http://www.wired.com/threatlevel/2010/06/state-department-anxious/">allegedly downloaded</a>, from his military base in Iraq, a vast number of private, sensitive communications on to a disk disguised as a <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/nov/28/how-us-embassy-cables-leaked">Lady Gaga CD</a>. Many of those documents have been so <a href="http://www.wikileaks.ch/cablegate.html">widely disseminated by Assange</a> that the only people curious about their contents that may not have already peeked are <a href="http://www.fas.org/blog/secrecy/2011/01/senate_wikileaks.html">government employees concerned about jeopardizing their own security clearances</a>.<br />
<br />
We remember from the <a href="http://www.gwu.edu/%7Ensarchiv/NSAEBB/NSAEBB48/secretbrief.html">Pentagon Papers case</a> that there were security breaches in the days before countless government terminals offered ready access to whomever held the right encryption key or password code, but there has never been a security rupture of the magnitude or range of the WikiLeaks violations. The sheer quantity of documents in our cyber repositories, the number of inexperienced or unsophisticated personnel at the keyboard and ubiquitous methods and opportunities to download, upload or unload make future unauthorized disclosures inevitable.<br />
<br />
WikiLeaks comes out of the same controversial yet <a href="http://www.eweek.com/c/a/Security/Rethinking-Access-Controls-How-WikiLeaks-Could-Have-Been-Prevented/">highly efficient Internet distribution engine for global sharing of data</a> that resulted in Napster. It seems there is no way to completely put a lid on classified and secret documents, particularly in a networking environment populated by 20-year-old recruits.<br />
<br />
So what's the answer? Less secrecy. Steven Aftergood at the <a href="http://www.fas.org/blog/secrecy/2010/12/shrink.html">Federation of American Scientists project on government secrecy</a> recommends "stripping away the accretions of decades of over classification, a wholesale reduction in classified records would restore some integrity to the classification system ... and strengthen the security of residual classified secrets." Also calling for more transparency, Tom Blanton, director of the <a href="http://www.gwu.edu/%7Ensarchiv/news/20101216/index.htm">National Security Archives</a> at George Washington University <a href="http://www.gwu.edu/%7Ensarchiv/news/20101216/Blanton101216.pdf">testified to the House Judiciary Committee</a> in December that "the government's national security classification system is broken [and] overwhelmed with too much secrecy."<br />
<br />
Ironically, like Assange, these experts suggest releasing more documents as the solution. Only they suggest imposing a more orderly declassifying process first.<p style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;">&nbsp;</p><p><a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/27/secrets-and-lies-what-prevents-the-next-wikileaks/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/forward/19860806/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.technorati.com/cosmos/search.html?rank=&amp;fc=1&amp;url=http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/27/secrets-and-lies-what-prevents-the-next-wikileaks/" title="Linking Blogs">Linking&nbsp;Blogs</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/27/secrets-and-lies-what-prevents-the-next-wikileaks/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a></p>]]></description><category>assange</category><category>Bradley Manning</category><category>Julian Assange</category><category>national security archive</category><category>secrecy</category><category>secrecy news</category><category>Steven Aftergood</category><category>tom blanton</category><category>Wikileaks</category><dc:creator>Bonnie Goldstein</dc:creator><dc:date>2011-02-27T22:55:00+00:00</dc:date></item><item><title>After Egypt and Libya, What's Next for Those Still Under Dictatorships?</title><link>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/25/after-egypt-and-libya-whats-next-for-those-still-under-dictato/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/25/after-egypt-and-libya-whats-next-for-those-still-under-dictato/</guid><comments>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/25/after-egypt-and-libya-whats-next-for-those-still-under-dictato/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/foreign-policy/" rel="tag">Foreign Policy</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/national-security/" rel="tag">National Security</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/middle-east/" rel="tag">Middle East</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/egypt-crisis/" rel="tag">Egypt Crisis</a></p><p>
	As it stands, 2011 will be remembered as the year that a handful of harsh dictatorships around the world fell -- or at least teetered on the edge of collapse -- driven by largely peaceful public protest.<br />
	<br />
	President Obama, in <a href="http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2011/02/23/remarks-president-libya" target="_blank">his remarks</a> on the <a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/23/obama-to-libyas-gadhafi-the-violence-must-stop/" target="_blank">situation in Libya</a> this week, eloquently summed up the moment as he recalled a plea from one Libyan protester: "We just want to be able to live like human beings."</p>
<p>
	Obama repeated the line for poetic emphasis, and though this device is something he deploys from time to time -- and despite the fact that the situation itself was quite familiar, with Egypt and Tunisia still in the collective rear-view mirror -- it resonated.</p>
<div class="relatedLinksR">
	<div class="relatedHeader">
		<h3>
			Related Stories</h3>
	</div>
	<div class="relatedListContatiner">
		<ul>
			<li>
				<a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2010/11/14/aung-san-suu-kyi-finally-free-but-what-of-democracy-for-myan/" target="_blank" title="POLITICSDAILY - Aung San Suu Kyi, Finally Free -- but What of Democracy for Burma?">Aung San Suu Kyi, Finally Free -- but What of Democracy for Burma?</a></li>
			<li>
				<a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/12/egypt-uprising-obama-welcomes-army-promise-of-democratic-tran/" target="_blank" title="POLITICSDAILY - Egypt Update: Obama Welcomes Army Promise of 'Democratic' Transition">Egypt Update: Obama Welcomes Army Promise of 'Democratic' Transition</a></li>
			<li>
				<a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/23/obama-to-libyas-gadhafi-the-violence-must-stop/" target="_blank" title="POLITICSDAILY - President Obama to Libya's Moammar Gadhafi: 'The Violence Must Stop'">President Obama to Libya's Moammar Gadhafi: 'The Violence Must Stop'</a></li>
		</ul>
	</div>
</div>
<p>
	Most certainly it resonated with the protesters being fired upon in <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/imagepages/2011/02/24/world/africa/24libya_graphic.html?ref=africa" target="_blank">Tripoli and Sabratha and Adjabiya</a> and those fresh from Tahrir Square or still amassing in Tehran.<br />
	<br />
	But it undoubtedly spoke to the hearts of those citizens around the world who looked to these revolutions with some combination of admiration and awe and hopelessness. People in places like Burma and <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2011/02/22/world/africa/22zimbabwe.html" target="_blank">Zimbabwe</a> who feel that protest -- peaceful or otherwise -- is not an option for them and will not likely be any time soon.<br />
	<br />
	As journalists have sought to untangle the disparate threads that unite these uprisings, one of the most interesting revelations has been a common reference to a dusty -- but still relevant -- book, "<a href="http://www.aeinstein.org/organizations/org/FDTD.pdf" target="_blank">From Dictatorship to Democracy</a>."<br />
	<br />
	<img border="1" hspace="4" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.politicsdaily.com/media/2011/02/monks-1298670248.jpg" vspace="4" />Earlier this month, the New York Times <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2011/02/17/world/middleeast/17sharp.html" target="_blank">proclaimed</a> its author, Gene Sharp, a "shy intellectual" who had created "the playbook for revolution" -- noting that his work was posted on the Muslim Brotherhood website during the Egyptian uprising, and was cited equally among Tunisians, Bosnians and Estonians in their quest for freedom. So far, it has been translated into 41 languages.<br />
	<br />
	The book is a how-to manual for "liberation," dissecting classic protest strategies (sit-ins, leafleting) as well as more innovative options (selective resistance). While I do not own a copy, I discovered that it is very much a part of my family library. My grandmother, a Burmese exile who came to the United States when the government fell in the 1960s, was tasked with translating the book into Burmese nearly 25 years ago, with the aim of reprinting it, smuggling it back into the country and fomenting an overthrow of the military dictatorship.<br />
	<br />
	In the months following the 1988 pro-democracy uprising inside Burma -- which resulted in the slaughter of thousands of civilians -- many Burmese students fled the country and emigrated to the United States. This moment, my grandmother, Mya Mya Thant Gyi -- now 94 -- tells me, was catalyzing. "That was the last straw," she says. "I became very angry."<br />
	<br />
	Meeting at local Buddhist monasteries, exile Burmese communities started forming their own resistance organizations, raising funds to send back home to support the pro-democracy movement inside the country and on the Thai-Burma border.<br />
	<br />
	In the Washington, D.C., area, where she still lives, my grandmother worked at the Library of Congress as the head of the East Asian books department and joined a group called the Committee for the Restoration of Democracy in Burma (CRDB) at a monastery. ("Ours was a political monastery," she notes, simultaneously chiding "the fence sitters" at others). The group's leading light was U Tin Maung Win, acknowledged by some in the community to be Burma's likely prime minister, should the military regime ever fall.<br />
	<br />
	Sharp, who at 84 is working on strategic nonviolent action at the <a href="http://www.aeinstein.org/" target="_blank">Albert Einstein Institute</a>, told me that "From Dictatorship to Democracy" began when Tin Maung Win contacted Sharp to contribute to a Bangkok-based publication he had started: the New Era Journal.<br />
	<br />
	Sharp says he decided to write generally about nonviolent protest -- rather than specifically about the Burmese democracy movement -- because "I didn't know Burma. The only way I could write in that kind of discussion was to make it generic."<br />
	<br />
	The resulting article was serialized, printed in pamphlets and would eventually become "From Dictatorship to Democracy." Years later, at the request of CDRB leadership, my grandmother, who was a Fulbright scholar, would translate it, and the text would finally return to the cause from which it was borne -- Burma.<br />
	<br />
	After the text was translated, it was printed in Thailand and smuggled into the country -- my grandmother believes embassy channels were one route -- later distributed to activists, students and military personnel.<br />
	<br />
	Bilal Rachid, the president of the CRDB, testified to the importance of Sharp's writings inside Burma. "It became source material for the courses we developed to teach activists in the jungles of Thailand," he said.<br />
	<br />
	Today, Burma is still widely acknowledged to be <a href="http://www.hrw.org/en/news/2010/10/18/burma-letter-eu-high-representative-urgin-eu-action-commission-inquiry-burma">ruled by one of the most repressive regimes in the world. </a>Human rights organizations have called for a U.N. Commission of Inquiry regarding govt-sponsored Crimes Against Humanity, including "widespread and systematic abuse and atrocities committed by the ruling military junta, government-sanctioned torture and rape, conscription of child soldiers, forced labor, complete censorship of the media, and political repression."<br />
	<br />
	Because the brutal military regime remains as entrenched as ever, many Burmese now question the efficacy of peaceful protest.<br />
	<br />
	Drawing parallels with the situation in Libya, Rachid asserts, "The Burmese situation is not going to change by nonviolent action. You're dealing with mobsters, criminals. We even saw in 1988 that they had no compunction about slaughtering our own people. They actually machine-gunned down the students."<br />
	<br />
	He continues, "Personally, I believe the tactics have to be different. Peaceful nonviolence will not work." Ghandi, Rachid posited, was successful, "because he was dealing with a government that had a modicum of morality."<br />
	<br />
	Sharp is quick to dismiss such criticism. The Burmese, he says, "have done some remarkable demonstrations," but "they don't really have a plan as to how to undermine the regime." He adds that his "conviction that this is a viable form of protest remains as strong as it ever was. It's about people taking it seriously."<br />
	<br />
	Having borne witness to nearly 100 years of Burmese history -- from the British colonial era to the present -- my grandmother only says that she "is not that optimistic" about Burma's future, "knowing the character of Burmese people."<br />
	<br />
	She explains, "They won't take pains to arouse people -- and on the other hand, how could they do it? The Burmese are dealing with a very cruel, uncivilized government."<br />
	<br />
	And yet, their story -- the story of Burma -- helped set into motion countless other revolutions, by virtue of Gene Sharp's 94-page manuscript, by virtue of the fact that people everywhere recognize the desire to "live like human beings" -- no matter the latitude and longitude separating them -- and that the story of oppression carries with it a powerful resonance.<br />
	<br />
	If 2011 is the year for Egypt and Tunisia -- and just maybe a few others -- perhaps, for the Burmese, the revolution will be cyclical. The forces that inspired protest so many years ago might once again return to the banks of the Irrawaddy River -- in different form and fashion, but potent all the same.</p><p style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;">&nbsp;</p><p><a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/25/after-egypt-and-libya-whats-next-for-those-still-under-dictato/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/forward/19858086/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.technorati.com/cosmos/search.html?rank=&amp;fc=1&amp;url=http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/25/after-egypt-and-libya-whats-next-for-those-still-under-dictato/" title="Linking Blogs">Linking&nbsp;Blogs</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/25/after-egypt-and-libya-whats-next-for-those-still-under-dictato/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a></p>]]></description><category>burma</category><category>Burma democracy</category><category>From Dictatorship to Democracy</category><category>Gene Sharp</category><category>nonviolent protest</category><category>pro-democracy movement</category><category>protests</category><category>U Tin Maung Win</category><dc:creator>Alex Wagner</dc:creator><dc:date>2011-02-25T21:13:00+00:00</dc:date></item><item><title>Poll: GOP Front-Runners Show Different Strengths on Different Issues</title><link>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/24/poll-gop-front-runners-show-different-strengths-on-different-is/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/24/poll-gop-front-runners-show-different-strengths-on-different-is/</guid><comments>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/24/poll-gop-front-runners-show-different-strengths-on-different-is/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/republicans/" rel="tag">Republicans</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/mitt-romney/" rel="tag">Mitt Romney</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/mike-huckabee/" rel="tag">Mike Huckabee</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/polls/" rel="tag">Polls</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/foreign-policy/" rel="tag">Foreign Policy</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/sarah-palin/" rel="tag">Sarah Palin</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/2012-president/" rel="tag">2012 President</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/national-security/" rel="tag">National Security</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/poll-watch/" rel="tag">Poll Watch</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/newt-gingrich/" rel="tag">Newt Gingrich</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/economy/" rel="tag">Economy</a></p>While polls at this early stage have <a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/23/still-no-clear-frontrunner-in-latest-poll-on-2012-gop-presidenti/">produced no clear favorite</a> among Republicans for the 2012 presidential nomination, voters do have preferences for one candidate over another when it comes to how they view them on specific issues, according to a <a href="http://www.gallup.com/poll/146336/Issues-Divide-Republicans-Views-Potential-2012-Contenders.aspx?utm_source=alert&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_campaign=syndication&amp;utm_content=morelink&amp;utm_term=Election%202012%20-%20Government%20-%20Politics%20-%20USA">Gallup poll</a> conducted Feb. 18-20.<br />
<br />
Republicans and Republican-leaning independents who put a priority on reducing government spending and government power are most likely to favor Mike Huckabee or Mitt Romney, while those focused on the economy favor Romney or Sarah Palin. Republicans who say social and moral values are most important favor Huckabee or Palin.<br />
<br />
In general, Republicans and Republican-leaning independents rank government spending and government power as their<a href="http://www.gallup.com/poll/146336/Issues-Divide-Republicans-Views-Potential-2012-Contenders.aspx?utm_source=alert&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_campaign=syndication&amp;utm_content=morelink&amp;utm_term=Election%202012%20-%20Government%20-%20Politics%20-%20USA"> top issue, with 35 percent taking that view. </a>That's followed closely by business and the economy, chosen by 31 percent. In the distance were social issues and moral values (17 percent) and national security and foreign policy (15 percent).<br />
<br />
Among the four Republicans who top the early presidential preference polls, Huckabee and Romney attract the most support on the issue of government spending and power, at 18 percent and 17 percent respectively, with Newt Gingrich at 13 percent and Palin at 11 percent.<br />
<br />
<img border="1" hspace="4" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.politicsdaily.com/media/2011/02/gop-issues.jpg" vspace="4" />Romney leads at 20 percent when it comes to business and the economy, followed by Palin (17 percent), Huckabee (13 percent) and Gingrich (8 percent).<br />
<br />
On social issues and moral values, Huckabee is the clear leader at 28 percent, followed by Palin at 19 percent, Romney at 7 percent and Gingrich at 6 percent.<br />
<br />
Palin leads with 22 percent on the issue of national security and foreign policy, followed by Huckabee at 20 percent, Romney at 17 percent and Gingrich at 9 percent.<br />
<br />
<a href="http://www.twitter.com/bruce100" target="_blank"><em>Follow Poll Watch on Twitter</em></a><br />
<br />
<em>Visit the </em><a href="http://bit.ly/bEQR4V " target="_blank"><em>Poll Watch Home Page</em></a><em> and see all the latest polls in one place </em><p style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;">&nbsp;</p><p><a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/24/poll-gop-front-runners-show-different-strengths-on-different-is/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/forward/19858090/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.technorati.com/cosmos/search.html?rank=&amp;fc=1&amp;url=http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/24/poll-gop-front-runners-show-different-strengths-on-different-is/" title="Linking Blogs">Linking&nbsp;Blogs</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/24/poll-gop-front-runners-show-different-strengths-on-different-is/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a></p>]]></description><category>Big government</category><category>Business and the economy</category><category>dailyguidance</category><category>Government spending</category><category>National security and foreign poilicy</category><category>social  and moral issues</category><dc:creator>Bruce Drake</dc:creator><dc:date>2011-02-24T20:12:00+00:00</dc:date></item><item><title>The Raymond Davis Case: Killings by CIA Operative Strain U.S.-Pakistan Ties</title><link>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/22/the-raymond-davis-case-killings-by-cia-operative-strain-us-paki/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/22/the-raymond-davis-case-killings-by-cia-operative-strain-us-paki/</guid><comments>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/22/the-raymond-davis-case-killings-by-cia-operative-strain-us-paki/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/terror/" rel="tag">Terror</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/obama-administration/" rel="tag">Obama Administration</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/national-security/" rel="tag">National Security</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/international/" rel="tag">International</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/middle-east/" rel="tag">Middle East</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/white-house/" rel="tag">White House</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/analysis/" rel="tag">Analysis</a></p><p>
	Enraged Pakistanis on Monday called for the execution of Raymond Davis -- an imprisoned American accused of murdering two Pakistani civilians last month -- as U.S. officials sought to minimize damage to bilateral relations and persuade the government of Pakistan to spare Davis' life.<br />
	<br />
	Negotiations were complicated by the <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2011/02/22/world/asia/22pakistan.html?src=me&amp;ref=world" target="_blank">revelation this weekend</a> that Davis was not working in a diplomatic capacity, as American officials had previously maintained, but instead was a covert operative contracted by the CIA.<br />
	<br />
	Davis' story reads like a John LeCarre novel: a former special operations agent, he gathered intelligence on Pakistani terrorist networks in urban centers. Working out of a "safe house" in Lahore, Davis maintained a low profile until last month, when he shot and killed two Pakistani men whom he claimed were trying to rob him.<br />
	<br />
	<img border="1" hspace="4" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.politicsdaily.com/media/2011/02/raymond-davis-427jc022211.jpg" vspace="4" />An SUV sent to aid Davis apparently hit and killed another citizen. Few details about the incident, including who was driving, have been released. Later, the wife of one of the deceased committed suicide.<br />
	<br />
	Details of the killings have raised questions -- including the fact that the two men were shot in the back -- and Davis' own account of his actions has changed slightly in the intervening weeks, casting doubt on his claims. Complicating this, the U.S. government did not initially acknowledge that Davis was working for the CIA and instead maintained he was a diplomatic official entitled to immunity.<br />
	<br />
	Brian Katulis, an expert on national security issues in the Mideast and South Asia at the left-wing Center for American Progress, said the lack of initial candor by U.S. officials "fits into every frame that Pakistanis have about how America works in the world."<br />
	<br />
	The Pakistani government, led by President Asif Ali-Zardari, has been increasingly under pressure from domestic political forces to resist American intervention. Davis' case, says Katulis, "plays into Pakistan's internal politics. It makes the current government look weak" and exploits the "opaque divide between its security services and its politicians. They tend to play these games."<br />
	<br />
	At the same time, American relations with Pakistan are under scrutiny as congressional Republicans have criticized President Obama's request for a continued $3.1 billion in aid to Pakistan next year.<br />
	<br />
	"If not a devastating effect," the Davis case "may have a very disruptive effect," on relations between the two countries, says Daniel Markey, Senior Fellow for India, Pakistan and South Asia at the Council on Foreign Relations.<br />
	<br />
	Markey acknowledges that, to some degree, the situation might have been preventable, speculating that if American authorities had made clear right away to the Pakistani government who Davis was, they might have won his immediate release. But he noted Davis was a contractor -- not a CIA official -- and says, "It's very difficult to manage a situation like this, even under the best of circumstances."</p>
<br />
The issue now, Markey says, is how to resolve an incident that has been thus far "a diplomatic and political crisis, without having it turn into a strategic crisis."<br />
<br />
Katulis, who just returned from Lahore last week, says that the Davis case was "front page news every day," and worries that after several years of concerted efforts aimed at improving U.S.-Pakistan relations, much of that work may be "washed away."<br />
<br />
But, in his view, more disconcerting than the future of U.S.-Pakistan relations, is "how these intelligence agencies contract out," pointing to what he views as a <a href="http://www.americanprogress.org/kf/nomereoversight.pdf" target="_blank">lack of appropriate congressional oversight</a> regarding intelligence gathering operations. Citing the use of contractors like Davis in covert missions, Katulis says, "There's a lot of these guys out there."
<p>
	<br />
	As for Davis, his future remains highly uncertain. "There are a lot of moving parts behind the scenes," says Markey. "Everything in Pakistan is difficult to read. This one especially."<br />
	<br />
	Katulis, for his part, adds, "The prognosis does not look very good. I don't envy whoever is doing the quiet negotiations on this."</p><p style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;">&nbsp;</p><p><a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/22/the-raymond-davis-case-killings-by-cia-operative-strain-us-paki/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/forward/19854937/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.technorati.com/cosmos/search.html?rank=&amp;fc=1&amp;url=http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/22/the-raymond-davis-case-killings-by-cia-operative-strain-us-paki/" title="Linking Blogs">Linking&nbsp;Blogs</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/22/the-raymond-davis-case-killings-by-cia-operative-strain-us-paki/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a></p>]]></description><category>CIA</category><category>pakistan</category><category>raymond davis</category><category>terrorism</category><category>terrorists</category><category>u.s-pakistan relations</category><dc:creator>Alex Wagner</dc:creator><dc:date>2011-02-22T20:30:00+00:00</dc:date></item><item><title>Patriot Act: Congress Sends Obama Short-Term Wiretap Authority</title><link>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/17/patriot-act-congress-sends-obama-short-term-wiretap-authority/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/17/patriot-act-congress-sends-obama-short-term-wiretap-authority/</guid><comments>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/17/patriot-act-congress-sends-obama-short-term-wiretap-authority/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/senate/" rel="tag">Senate</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/house/" rel="tag">House</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/democrats/" rel="tag">Democrats</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/terror/" rel="tag">Terror</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/national-security/" rel="tag">National Security</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/congress/" rel="tag">Congress</a></p>Congress gave President Obama what he wanted Thursday: a bill extending federal authority for use of "roving wiretaps" and other surveillance techniques. But the president wanted the so-called Patriot Act continued until 2013 and this extension is only for 90 days.<br />
<br />
The caution comes from <a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/15/patriot-act-passes-house-with-wiretap-authority-a-week-after/">concern over three sections</a> of the broader law: reauthorizing use of moveable wiretaps that don't require multiple court orders; giving the FBI access to tangible items like library records in international cases; and permitting surveillance of "lone wolf" suspects not connected to specific terrorist groups. The Senate version of the bill allowed for more time to examine whether such post-9/11 techniques are still needed. And on Thursday, the <a href="http://voices.washingtonpost.com/44/2011/02/house-approves-short-term-exte.html">House -- by a 279-143 vote</a> -- agreed.<br />
<br />
<img border="1" hspace="4" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.politicsdaily.com/media/2011/02/wiretaps-gb-427mh0217111.jpg" vspace="4" />Without action, the entire law would have sunset at the end of the month. With Thursday's vote, another due date will fall at the end of May.<br />
<br />
Rep. <a href="http://kucinich.house.gov/News/DocumentSingle.aspx?DocumentID=225386">Dennis Kucinich</a> (D-Ohio) again led opposition to the extension, saying the law "issues from pestiferous soil laced with lies and distortions." After the 2001 attacks in New York and Washington, "we created a national security state which threatens our Constitution and weakens our basic liberties," Kucinich said. ". . . We have been sold a bill of goods, lies about WMDs, questions about the nature of the anthrax attack, which caused us all too willingly to limit our civil liberties."<br />
<br />
<span><em>Folo Tom Diemer on Twitter</em> <a href="http://twitter.com/tomdiemer" target="_blank">http://twitter.com/tomdiemer</a></span><p style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;">&nbsp;</p><p><a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/17/patriot-act-congress-sends-obama-short-term-wiretap-authority/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/forward/19848369/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.technorati.com/cosmos/search.html?rank=&amp;fc=1&amp;url=http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/17/patriot-act-congress-sends-obama-short-term-wiretap-authority/" title="Linking Blogs">Linking&nbsp;Blogs</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/17/patriot-act-congress-sends-obama-short-term-wiretap-authority/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a></p>]]></description><category>911</category><category>dailyguidance</category><category>dennis kucinich</category><category>patriot act</category><dc:creator>Tom Diemer</dc:creator><dc:date>2011-02-17T13:41:00+00:00</dc:date></item><item><title>Patriot Act Passes House With Wiretap Authority -- a Week After It Was Rejected</title><link>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/15/patriot-act-passes-house-with-wiretap-authority-a-week-after/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/15/patriot-act-passes-house-with-wiretap-authority-a-week-after/</guid><comments>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/15/patriot-act-passes-house-with-wiretap-authority-a-week-after/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/house/" rel="tag">House</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/democrats/" rel="tag">Democrats</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/republicans/" rel="tag">Republicans</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/terror/" rel="tag">Terror</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/national-security/" rel="tag">National Security</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/congress/" rel="tag">Congress</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/john-boehner/" rel="tag">John Boehner</a></p><p>
	What a difference a week makes. House Republican leaders lowered the bar and won approval for extension of the Patriot Act -- complete with its "roving wiretaps" provision -- one week after the bill was <a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/09/house-rejects-extension-of-patriot-act-wiretaps-for-now-at-le/print/">rejected</a> by the same body.<br />
	<br />
	The difference: This time the bill, which passed on 275-144 vote Monday, needed only a simple majority to advance -- not the two-thirds super-majority required last week when House Speaker John Boehner attempted to zip it through on a fast-track procedure. The Senate followed up Tuesday with a short-term extension.<br />
	<br />
	The bill authorizes the FBI to use moveable wiretaps on investigative targets without getting multiple court orders, gives the government access to tangible items such as library records in certain international terrorism cases, and allows surveillance of "lone wolf" suspects not linked to any specific terrorist group.<br />
	<br />
	<img border="1" hspace="4" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.politicsdaily.com/media/2011/02/dennis-kucinich-427mn0215111.jpg" vspace="4" />Rep. Dennis <a href="http://kucinich.house.gov/News/DocumentSingle.aspx?DocumentID=225081">Kucinich</a> (D-Ohio), a leading critic, said the three surveillance provisions, approved in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks, "were given sunsets in recognition of their far-reaching and unprecedented powers." The law, he said, effectively allows government to carry out "domestic surveillance and demand material from people not connected to any terrorism investigation, including librarians and peace groups. Yet [the surveillance sections] have been extended . . . without any reform."<br />
	<font> </font><br />
	Boehner, making sure the controversial measure went through all of its readings and other regimens, found the votes he needed Monday night, with 65 Democrats joining with most Republicans, the <a href="http://voices.washingtonpost.com/44/2011/02/patriot-act-extension-passes-h.html">Washington Post</a> reported.<br />
	<br />
	Democratic opponents had tried to kick the bill back to the House Judiciary Committee to add language assuring that intelligence probes of U.S. citizens are conducted "in a manner that complies with the Constitution of the United States." That motion failed, although it got the support from two Republicans: Reps. Ron Paul of Texas and Walter Jones of North Carolina.<br />
	<br />
	Update: On Tuesday, the <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/02/15/AR2011021506777.html">Senate voted 86-12</a> to extend the three surveillance provisions -- due to expire at the end of February -- for 90 days. That allows time for a review of the language and another vote in the spring.<br />
	<br />
	<span><em>Folo Tom Diemer on Twitter</em> <a href="http://twitter.com/tomdiemer" target="_blank">http://twitter.com/tomdiemer</a></span></p><p style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;">&nbsp;</p><p><a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/15/patriot-act-passes-house-with-wiretap-authority-a-week-after/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/forward/19844509/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.technorati.com/cosmos/search.html?rank=&amp;fc=1&amp;url=http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/15/patriot-act-passes-house-with-wiretap-authority-a-week-after/" title="Linking Blogs">Linking&nbsp;Blogs</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/15/patriot-act-passes-house-with-wiretap-authority-a-week-after/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a></p>]]></description><category>911</category><category>dailyguidance</category><category>dennis kucinich</category><dc:creator>Tom Diemer</dc:creator><dc:date>2011-02-15T09:01:00+00:00</dc:date></item><item><title>Egypt Update: Obama Welcomes Army Promise of 'Democratic' Transition</title><link>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/12/egypt-uprising-obama-welcomes-army-promise-of-democratic-tran/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/12/egypt-uprising-obama-welcomes-army-promise-of-democratic-tran/</guid><comments>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/12/egypt-uprising-obama-welcomes-army-promise-of-democratic-tran/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/foreign-policy/" rel="tag">Foreign Policy</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/obama-administration/" rel="tag">Obama Administration</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/national-security/" rel="tag">National Security</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/international/" rel="tag">International</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/united-kingdom/" rel="tag">United Kingdom</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/military/" rel="tag">Military</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/middle-east/" rel="tag">Middle East</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/barack-obama/" rel="tag">Barack Obama</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/egypt-crisis/" rel="tag">Egypt Crisis</a></p>President Obama welcomed Saturday the announcement by Egypt's military that it would oversee a peaceful transition to a democratic system as the country faced a new day and uncertain future in the wake of the <a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/11/obama-praises-mubarak-resignation-today-belongs-to-the-people/">ouster of President Hosni Mubarak</a>.<br />
<br />
In Cairo, the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces said it aspired "to guarantee the peaceful transfer of power within the framework of a free democratic system that allows an elected civilian power to rule the country, in order to build a free democratic state," the <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2011/02/13/world/middleeast/13egypt.html?_r=1&amp;hp=&amp;pagewanted=print">New York Times</a> reported. The statement said Egypt would continue to abide by international and regional treaties -- that would include the 1979 peace accord with Israel.<br />
<br />
<div class="relatedLinksR">
	<div class="relatedHeader">
		<h3>
			Related Stories</h3>
	</div>
	<div class="relatedListContatiner">
		<ul>
			<li>
				<a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/11/obama-praises-mubarak-resignation-today-belongs-to-the-people/" target="_blank" title="POLITICSDAILY - Obama Praises Mubarak Resignation: 'Today Belongs to the People of Egypt'">Obama Praises Mubarak Resignation: 'Today Belongs to the People of Egypt'</a></li>
		</ul>
	</div>
</div>
That was good news at the White House. Obama applauded word that the military "is committed to a democratic civilian transition, and will stand by Egypt's international obligations," the president's press office said.<br />
<br />
Obama was in touch Saturday with world leaders to consult on the fast-changing situation in Egypt. He spoke by phone with British Prime Minister David Cameron, King Abdullah II of Jordan and Turkish Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan "about the historic change that has been made by the Egyptian people."<br />
<br />
<img border="1" hspace="4" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.politicsdaily.com/media/2011/02/egypt-military-civilian-rule-427mn0212111.jpg" vspace="4" />Obama "stressed the U.S. commitment to provide the support that is necessary and requested by the Egyptian people to pursue a credible and orderly transition to democracy, including by working with international partners to provide financial support," the White House said.<br />
<br />
In Egypt Saturday, opposition leaders praised the army for stepping in after 18 days of mass demonstrations convinced Mubarak to leave. But they also stood their ground and said many would return to Tahrir Square in Cairo next week to celebrate Mubarak's resignation after nearly three decades of authoritarian rule. Some vowed to continue their protest in the central square. The opposition said negotiations with the military had not yet begun on lifting the nation's emergency order and the release of political prisoners, the Times said.<br />
<br />
In Washington, White House National Security Advisor Tom Donilon criticized the decision by Iran <a href="http://edition.cnn.com/2011/WORLD/africa/02/11/egypt.iran/">not to permit an opposition protest</a> after its leaders hailed the uprising in Egypt. "We call on the government in Iran to allow the Iranian people the universal right to peacefully assemble, demonstrate and communicate that's being exercised in Cairo," Donilon said.<p style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;">&nbsp;</p><p><a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/12/egypt-uprising-obama-welcomes-army-promise-of-democratic-tran/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/forward/19841453/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.technorati.com/cosmos/search.html?rank=&amp;fc=1&amp;url=http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/12/egypt-uprising-obama-welcomes-army-promise-of-democratic-tran/" title="Linking Blogs">Linking&nbsp;Blogs</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/12/egypt-uprising-obama-welcomes-army-promise-of-democratic-tran/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a></p>]]></description><category>Daily Guidance</category><category>dailyguidance</category><dc:creator>Politics Daily Staff</dc:creator><dc:date>2011-02-12T19:15:00+00:00</dc:date></item><item><title>U.S. Vulnerable to Terrorism, Especially Cyber Attacks, Intelligence Chiefs Say</title><link>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/10/u-s-vulnerable-to-terrorism-especially-cyber-attacks-intellig/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/10/u-s-vulnerable-to-terrorism-especially-cyber-attacks-intellig/</guid><comments>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/10/u-s-vulnerable-to-terrorism-especially-cyber-attacks-intellig/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/house/" rel="tag">House</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/terror/" rel="tag">Terror</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/national-security/" rel="tag">National Security</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/international/" rel="tag">International</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/al-qaeda/" rel="tag">al Qaeda</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/egypt-crisis/" rel="tag">Egypt Crisis</a></p>The United States remains vulnerable to attacks by both foreign and domestic terrorists, particularly on the nation's vast computer networks -- systems that coordinate everything from power grids to financial markets to the government itself.<br />
<br />
"This is the battleground for the future," CIA Director Leon Panetta said during a hearing Thursday before the House Subcommittee on Intelligence. "The next Pearl Harbor may very well be a cyber attack."<br />
<br />
Calling the cyber threat "increasing in scope" and saying "its impact is difficult to overestimate," Director of National Intelligence James Clapper noted that as many as 60,000 new malicious software programs are being developed every day.<br />
<br />
<img border="1" hspace="4" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.politicsdaily.com/media/2011/02/cybercrime-hearing-427mh021111.jpg" vspace="4" />Noting that Russia, China, Iran and other countries had begun developing capacities to launch cyber attacks, Panetta said it was imperative that the U.S. begin developing its defenses to warn of an attack.<br />
<br />
When pressed by Rep. James Langevin (D-R.I.) as to whether the country could, at present, stop such an attack, Undersecretary of Homeland Security Caryn Wagner did not offer a definitive answer. "We are working on it," she said, adding that American intelligence networks are in "a better position than we were before."<br />
<br />
Both FBI Director Robert Mueller and Clapper also stressed the need to reauthorize the Patriot Act through the end of the year -- a bill that a bipartisan group of <a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/09/house-rejects-extension-of-patriot-act-wiretaps-for-now-at-le/" target="_blank">House members initially rejected</a> on Wednesday.<br />
<br />
Highlighting the act's "roving wiretap" provision, Mueller said such a law is critical in allowing the federal government to monitor potential terrorists as they switch communications among devices such as cellphones, iPads and gaming consoles. "This is critically important to all of us," said Clapper.<br />
<br />
Another section of the act, dubbed the "lone wolf" provision, was described by Mueller as a necessary provision that allowed the government to identify individuals deemed national security risks even though they may not be linked to a terrorist network.<br />
<br />
Mueller said that "the threat in this day and age is increasingly lone wolves" -- persons who are radicalized domestically. Panetta said these "self-radicalizers" are "less sophisticated, but trickier to find."<br />
<br />
Michael Leiter, director of the National Counterterrorism Center, called a "lone wolf attack with a conventional weapon" the likeliest threat. "We have seen a heightened state of radicalization and mobilization among homegrown extremists," he said.<br />
<br />
Citing established terrorist networks, including al-Qaeda and its affiliates, Leiter said that al-Qaeda senior leadership in Pakistan remains "committed to obtaining all types of weapons of mass destruction," but noted that "thanks to outstanding and effective action" by law enforcement teams, "their ability to do so is greatly diminished since 9-11."<br />
<br />
Al-Qaeda affiliates, including those in Yemen, also remain committed to obtaining weapons of mass destruction -- with particular emphasis on chemical and biological weapons, according to Leiter.<br />
<br />
The intelligence chiefs were asked to respond to criticism that their agencies had been inadequate in predicting the national revolution in Egypt.<br />
<br />
Likening the situation to predicting an earthquake in California, Panetta said, "People can tell you where the tremors are, where the fault lines are ... but they can't tell you exactly when the earthquake is going to take place."<br />
<br />
The CIA director said that in the wake of the uprisings in Tunisia and Egypt, he had told his chiefs of station to better monitor triggers on the ground. Specifically, Panetta has assigned a 35-member task force to focus on issues such as popular sentiments, the strength of the opposition, and the role of the Internet.<br />
<br />
Asked to grade the federal intelligence gathering efforts overall, Clapper said he would give them a B+ -- but said he would defer his explanation as to why until a classified briefing later in the day.<p style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;">&nbsp;</p><p><a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/10/u-s-vulnerable-to-terrorism-especially-cyber-attacks-intellig/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/forward/19838741/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.technorati.com/cosmos/search.html?rank=&amp;fc=1&amp;url=http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/10/u-s-vulnerable-to-terrorism-especially-cyber-attacks-intellig/" title="Linking Blogs">Linking&nbsp;Blogs</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/10/u-s-vulnerable-to-terrorism-especially-cyber-attacks-intellig/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a></p>]]></description><category>CIA</category><category>computers</category><category>cyber attacks</category><category>fbi</category><category>Hosni Mubarak</category><category>James Clapper</category><category>leon panetta</category><category>Michael Leiter</category><category>patriot act extension</category><category>Robert Mueller</category><category>wiretaps</category><dc:creator>Alex Wagner</dc:creator><dc:date>2011-02-10T16:00:00+00:00</dc:date></item><item><title>House Republicans Botch Second Bill as New Majority Is on Tough Learning Curve</title><link>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/10/house-republicans-botch-second-bill-as-new-majority-is-on-tough/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/10/house-republicans-botch-second-bill-as-new-majority-is-on-tough/</guid><comments>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/10/house-republicans-botch-second-bill-as-new-majority-is-on-tough/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/house/" rel="tag">House</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/democrats/" rel="tag">Democrats</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/republicans/" rel="tag">Republicans</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/gaffes/" rel="tag">Gaffes</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/foreign-policy/" rel="tag">Foreign Policy</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/national-security/" rel="tag">National Security</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/2010-elections/" rel="tag">2010 Elections</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/congress/" rel="tag">Congress</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/conservatives/" rel="tag">Conservatives</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/tea-party/" rel="tag">Tea Party</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/john-boehner/" rel="tag">John Boehner</a></p><p>
	For a second day, the new House Republican majority botched a bill that leaders were so certain would pass they put it on a fast-track procedure that required a two-thirds vote for approval.<br />
	<br />
	The measure, a demand for a $179 million repayment from the United Nations, fell short of that super-majority on Wednesday. In setting themselves up for failure, the GOP leadership violated a well-known Capitol Hill rule: Don't allow a bill to go to the House floor unless you are certain ahead of time that you have sufficient votes for its passage.<br />
	<br />
	"We have been in the majority for four weeks," House Speaker John Boehner told the<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2011/02/10/us/politics/10congress.html?_r=1&amp;hp"> New York Times</a> after the U.N. bill missed the two-thirds mark by 25 votes. "We are not going to be perfect every day."<br />
	<br />
	<img border="1" hspace="4" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.politicsdaily.com/media/2011/02/john-boehner-427vm0210111.jpg" vspace="4" />A less than perfect day <a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/10/craigslist-congressman-chris-lee-and-the-leggy-glamazon-who/">got worse early Wednesday evening</a> when <a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/09/new-york-rep-chris-lee-resigns-over-craigslist-dating-ad-and-se/">New York Rep. Christopher Lee,</a> a Republican, resigned his House seat. That came after a racy, shirtless photo showed up on the Internet from a Craigslist posting in which Lee appeared to be advertising himself to an unnamed single woman.<br />
	<br />
	Lee, who is married, was in his second term. But 87 Republicans are freshmen -- many aligned with the conservative tea party movement -- and it seems they don't take direction very well.<br />
	<br />
	The U.N. bill should have been a no-brainer for the Republican leadership: a claim that the United States had overpaid the international organization and should be reimbursed. But at least some of the money being demanded has been pledged for security improvements at the U.N. headquarters in New York City. And the threat to those funds turned Rep. Peter King (R-N.Y.) and one freshman Republican against the measure, <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-02-09/u-s-house-defeats-measure-to-collect-179-million-from-un-for-second-day.html">Bloomberg</a> reported.<br />
	<br />
	King, chairman of the Homeland Security Committee, and Rep. Michael Grimm (R-N.Y.) joined with most of the Democrats in denying the legislation the votes it needed. The embarrassment came one day after more than two dozen Republicans defected during a House roll call that ended up seven votes short of passing extensions of <a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/09/house-rejects-extension-of-patriot-act-wiretaps-for-now-at-le/">surveillance provisions in the Patriot Act</a>.<br />
	<br />
	Boehner, an Ohio Republican in his 11th term, served as minority leader before succeeding Rep. Nancy Pelosi as speaker after the GOP captured the majority last November. He is expected to bring both of the challenged bills back for second votes -- this time using parliamentary procedures requiring only a simple majority.<br />
	<br />
	<span><em>Folo Tom Diemer on Twitter</em> <a href="http://twitter.com/tomdiemer" target="_blank">http://twitter.com/tomdiemer</a></span></p><p style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;">&nbsp;</p><p><a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/10/house-republicans-botch-second-bill-as-new-majority-is-on-tough/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/forward/19838393/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.technorati.com/cosmos/search.html?rank=&amp;fc=1&amp;url=http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/10/house-republicans-botch-second-bill-as-new-majority-is-on-tough/" title="Linking Blogs">Linking&nbsp;Blogs</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/10/house-republicans-botch-second-bill-as-new-majority-is-on-tough/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a></p>]]></description><category>chris lee</category><category>craigslist</category><category>dailyguidance</category><category>John Boehner</category><category>peter king</category><dc:creator>Tom Diemer</dc:creator><dc:date>2011-02-10T12:54:00+00:00</dc:date></item><item><title>House Rejects Extension of Patriot Act Wiretaps -- for Now at Least</title><link>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/09/house-rejects-extension-of-patriot-act-wiretaps-for-now-at-le/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/09/house-rejects-extension-of-patriot-act-wiretaps-for-now-at-le/</guid><comments>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/09/house-rejects-extension-of-patriot-act-wiretaps-for-now-at-le/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/democrats/" rel="tag">Democrats</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/republicans/" rel="tag">Republicans</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/obama-administration/" rel="tag">Obama Administration</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/national-security/" rel="tag">National Security</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/2010-elections/" rel="tag">2010 Elections</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/congress/" rel="tag">Congress</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/conservatives/" rel="tag">Conservatives</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/tea-party/" rel="tag">Tea Party</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/barack-obama/" rel="tag">Barack Obama</a></p><p>
	In a setback for the new Republican leadership, the House refused to extend surveillance sections of the Patriot Act that allow government to use roving wiretaps on terror suspects and also gain access to tangible items such as library records.<br />
	<br />
	An unlikely alliance of Republicans and Democrats -- joined by a concern for individual liberties -- brought the bill down Tuesday night. It mustered majority support in the 277-148 vote, but fell seven short of the two-thirds needed to pass under a speed-up procedure.<br />
	<br />
	GOP leaders blamed Democrats for the measure's defeat and said they had voted against the wishes of President Obama, who favors an extension until late 2013. The bill at hand would have re-authorized the controversial provisions, due to expire at the end of the month, through Dec. 8. They were enacted in reaction to 9/11, when many members of both parties feared more large-scale terrorist attacks were imminent.<br />
	<br />
	"Democrats in Congress voted to deny their own administration's request for key weapons in the war on terror," Majority Whip Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) told the <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/02/08/AR2011020806345.html?hpid=topnews">Washington Post</a>.<br />
	<br />
	<img border="1" hspace="4" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.politicsdaily.com/media/2011/02/dennis-kucinich-427mn020911.jpg" vspace="4" />Rep. Dennis Kucinich (D-Ohio), a civil libertarian and persistent critic of the Patriot Act, didn't apologize. Noting that 26 Republicans -- some of them elected with tea party backing -- voted against the extension, he said he now has company in his fight to rein in threats to individual liberties made in the name of national security.<br />
	<br />
	"Remember the American Revolution: We didn't hear 'Give me liberty or give me a wiretap,' " <a href="http://kucinich.house.gov/News/DocumentPrint.aspx?DocumentID=224039">Kucinich said</a>. "We didn't hear 'Don't tread on me . . . but it's okay to spy.' "<br />
	<br />
	"Many members of Congress, including those supported by my friends in the tea party, maintain their goal is to get rid of big government, to get government out of our lives," Kucinich said during House debate on the measure. ". . . Some want to get government out of health care, some want to get government out of retirement security. How about getting government out of people's bedrooms -- out of people's financial records and people's medical records? Vote no."<br />
	<br />
	Enough did -- this time. House leaders are expected to bring back the bill later this month under regular rules, requiring only a simple majority to pass.<br />
	<br />
	In addition to maintaining the government's authority to move wiretaps around on targets without getting multiple court orders, the bill permits the FBI to apply for special authority to get access to "any tangible item" in foreign intelligence, international terrorism and certain other intelligence cases. It would also allow surveillance of terror suspects not linked to any specific group.<br />
	<br />
	<span><em>Folo Tom Diemer on Twitter</em> <a href="http://twitter.com/tomdiemer" target="_blank">http://twitter.com/tomdiemer</a></span></p><p style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;">&nbsp;</p><p><a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/09/house-rejects-extension-of-patriot-act-wiretaps-for-now-at-le/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/forward/19836131/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.technorati.com/cosmos/search.html?rank=&amp;fc=1&amp;url=http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/09/house-rejects-extension-of-patriot-act-wiretaps-for-now-at-le/" title="Linking Blogs">Linking&nbsp;Blogs</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/09/house-rejects-extension-of-patriot-act-wiretaps-for-now-at-le/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a></p>]]></description><category>dennis kucinich</category><category>rep. kevin mccarthy</category><dc:creator>Tom Diemer</dc:creator><dc:date>2011-02-09T09:46:00+00:00</dc:date></item><item><title>Obama Sends Religious Freedom Nominee Back to Senate Despite Concerns</title><link>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/08/obama-sends-religious-freedom-nominee-back-to-senate-despite-con/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/08/obama-sends-religious-freedom-nominee-back-to-senate-despite-con/</guid><comments>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/08/obama-sends-religious-freedom-nominee-back-to-senate-despite-con/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/senate/" rel="tag">Senate</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/republicans/" rel="tag">Republicans</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/religion/" rel="tag">Religion</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/foreign-policy/" rel="tag">Foreign Policy</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/obama-administration/" rel="tag">Obama Administration</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/national-security/" rel="tag">National Security</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/disputations/" rel="tag">Disputations</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/conservatives/" rel="tag">Conservatives</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/middle-east/" rel="tag">Middle East</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/white-house/" rel="tag">White House</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/barack-obama/" rel="tag">Barack Obama</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/islam/" rel="tag">Islam</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/human-rights/" rel="tag">Human Rights</a></p>President Obama has re-nominated a New York pastor and motivational speaker, Suzan Johnson Cook, also known as "Dr. Sujay," to be his <a href="http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2011/02/07/nomination-sent-senate">ambassador-at-large</a> for international religious freedom despite <a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2010/06/16/obamas-new-religious-freedom-ambassador-all-pastor-enough-p/">widespread concerns</a> about her qualifications for the post and a Senate "hold" that halted her confirmation last year.<br />
<br />
Obama waited until last June to fill a post that had already been low on the diplomatic pecking order despite the critical importance of the issue, as recent events in Egypt and the rest of the Muslim world have shown. And Johnson Cook, a Baptist pastor from the Bronx, was from the start cast as too much of a lightweight for such a job: She has been a chaplain to the New York City Police Department, has written books of spiritual uplift, and was described in a 2002 New York Times story as "Billy Graham and Oprah rolled into one."<br />
<br />
<img border="1" hspace="4" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.politicsdaily.com/media/2011/02/suzan-johnson-cook-427vm020811.jpg" vspace="4" />That wasn't what Sen. Jim DeMint, the conservative South Carolina Republican, was looking for in the nation's chief promoter of religious freedom overseas, and he reportedly put a hold on her nomination, which then expired over the Christmas recess. But it didn't seem there was a lot of enthusiasm for Cook anywhere else, either. Her November <a href="http://www.worldmag.com/webextra/17332">confirmation hearing</a> was perfunctory -- she was asked one question, and Sen. John Kerry, chair of the Foreign Relations Committee vetting her, wasn't present.<br />
<br />
Obama did not include Johnson Cook among his <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2010/POLITICS/12/29/obama.appointments/">recess appointments</a> in early January, and some advocates for religious freedom rights used that opening to drum up support for the issue, and perhaps for a different nominee if necessary.<br />
<br />
For example, Thomas F. Farr, a former diplomat who heads the <a href="http://berkleycenter.georgetown.edu/programs/religious-freedom-project">Religious Freedom Project</a> at Georgetown's Berkley Center for Religion, Peace and World Affairs, sent out an e-mail appeal in late January asking activists to lobby the White House to put a greater emphasis on international religious freedom and the post of ambassador-at-large.<br />
<br />
"There is, it seems to me, good reason to be alarmed by the administration's utter indifference to reinvigorating US international religious freedom policy," Farr wrote. An influential and experienced voice in that post was necessary "to address more effectively, for example, the increasing persecution of Christians in the Middle East, or the continued growth of Islamist extremism."<br />
<br />
Farr wrote that if no pressure were forthcoming, Johnson Cook would likely be re-nominated and the issue would probably continue to take a back seat. That seems to be what happened, as Farr had predicted:<br />
<br />
"Bottom line: there is virtually no pressure -- public or private -- for the White House, the State Department, or the Democrat-controlled Senate to treat US religious freedom policy with any seriousness."<p style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;">&nbsp;</p><p><a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/08/obama-sends-religious-freedom-nominee-back-to-senate-despite-con/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/forward/19834928/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.technorati.com/cosmos/search.html?rank=&amp;fc=1&amp;url=http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/08/obama-sends-religious-freedom-nominee-back-to-senate-despite-con/" title="Linking Blogs">Linking&nbsp;Blogs</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/08/obama-sends-religious-freedom-nominee-back-to-senate-despite-con/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a></p>]]></description><category>international religious freedom ambassador</category><category>Jim DeMint</category><category>Suzan Johnson Cook</category><dc:creator>David Gibson</dc:creator><dc:date>2011-02-08T13:05:00+00:00</dc:date></item><item><title>At Risk in Egypt's Turmoil: U.S. Military Access to the Middle East</title><link>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/05/at-risk-in-egypts-turmoil-u-s-military-access-to-the-middle-e/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/05/at-risk-in-egypts-turmoil-u-s-military-access-to-the-middle-e/</guid><comments>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/05/at-risk-in-egypts-turmoil-u-s-military-access-to-the-middle-e/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/iran/" rel="tag">Iran</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/foreign-policy/" rel="tag">Foreign Policy</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/national-security/" rel="tag">National Security</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/international/" rel="tag">International</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/military/" rel="tag">Military</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/analysis/" rel="tag">Analysis</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/iraq/" rel="tag">Iraq</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/egypt-crisis/" rel="tag">Egypt Crisis</a></p>Three hundred combat-armed paratroopers from the 82<sup>nd</sup> Airborne Division plummeted from a cobalt Egyptian sky. U.S. and Egyptian marines swarmed ashore in waves of armored vehicles, and American jets streaked low overhead. It was October 2009, the most recent -- and perhaps the last -- of the massive combat maneuvers staged in Egypt every two years in an assertive demonstration of U.S. power and resolve in the troubled Middle East.<br />
<br />
Whatever the outcome of the tumult wracking Egypt, those who eventually consolidate power in Cairo may not welcome back the biannual Bright Star military exercises.<br />
Also suddenly at risk, along with Bright Star, is the access of U.S. military forces to Egypt's sprawling naval facilities at Alexandria and the huge Cairo West air base, as well as over-flight rights and guaranteed transit for U.S. warships through the Suez Canal -- all critical underpinnings of the U.S. ability to project power in the region, to contain Iran, reassure Israel and strengthen stability.<br />
<br />
<div class="relatedLinksR">
	<div class="relatedHeader">
		<h3>
			Related Stories</h3>
	</div>
	<div class="relatedListContatiner">
		<ul>
			<li>
				<a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/04/obama-condemns-violence-in-egypt-says-turmoil-can-be-a-moment/" target="_blank" title="POLITICSDAILY - Obama Condemns Violence in Egypt, Says Turmoil Can Be a 'Moment of Opportunity'">Obama Condemns Violence in Egypt, Says Turmoil Can Be a 'Moment of Opportunity'</a></li>
			<li>
				<a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/01/obama-calls-on-mubarak-to-hand-over-power-immediately/" target="_blank" title="POLITICSDAILY - Obama Calls On Mubarak to Hand Over Power Immediately">Obama Calls On Mubarak to Hand Over Power Immediately</a></li>
			<li>
				<a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/01/after-egypts-mubarak-the-muslim-brotherhood/" target="_blank" title="POLITICSDAILY - After Egypt's Mubarak: The Muslim Brotherhood">After Egypt's Mubarak: The Muslim Brotherhood</a></li>
			<li>
				<a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/03/revolution-in-egypt-what-is-beyond-tahrir-square/" target="_blank" title="POLITICSDAILY - Revolution in Egypt: What Is Beyond Tahrir Square?">Revolution in Egypt: What Is Beyond Tahrir Square?</a></li>
		</ul>
	</div>
</div>
And which direction will Egypt's military take -- to continue as a U.S. strategic partner, or emerge as a foe?<br />
<br />
As Defense Secretary Robert Gates observed after meeting with Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak two years ago, the United States relies on "full participation and leadership from Egypt'' as it grapples with Iran, the Arab-Israeli peace process and post-war Iraq.<br />
<br />
Losing that relationship and access "would be a strategic disaster,'' said <a href="http://www.heritage.org/about/staff/p/james-phillips">James Phillips</a>, senior Middle East researcher at the Heritage Foundation in Washington. "Not only because it would damage our capability to mobilize naval and other forces to help contain Iran, but also because it would weaken our whole defense strategy and network in the Middle East.''<br />
<br />
It is that kind of worst-case scenario that military planners must take into account. At the Pentagon, where many officers have close personal friends inside the Egyptian military, there are both public and private expressions of hope that Egypt's military will help ease the country safely through the current turbulence.<br />
<br />
<img border="1" hspace="4" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.politicsdaily.com/media/2011/02/suez-canal-us-carrier-427jf020411.jpg" vspace="4" />"Egypt is not a client state of the U.S. or any kind of subservient country, but one strong enough to recognize and act in its own best interests,'' said retired Army Col. Robert Killebrew, currently a researcher at the <a href="http://www.cnas.org/">Center for a New American Strategy</a>, an independent Washington think tank. "My guess is that friendly relations between the [U.S. and Egyptian] services will continue.''<br />
<br />
The United States has no military bases of its own in Egypt. Its headquarters for directing air and ground troops in the Middle East, Afghanistan and Iraq, are in Qatar. Stockpiles of tanks, ammunition, fuel, spare parts and other war materiel are warehoused in Kuwait, Qatar and Oman. U.S. missile batteries are deployed along the Persian Gulf's west coast. The <a href="http://www.cusnc.navy.mil/">U.S. Navy's regional headquarters</a> is in Bahrain.<br />
<br />
But in contingencies or crises, American forces have depended heavily on Egyptian facilities built with U.S. aid to U.S. specifications to accommodate U.S. forces as they move from the United States and Europe to Africa or westward across Jordan and Saudi Arabia to the Persian Gulf. American nuclear powered aircraft carriers, whose jets are playing a major role in Afghanistan, rely critically on their expedited use of the Suez Canal, giving them easy access to the Red Sea and Persian Gulf.<br />
<br />
That's important because the region holds a scary number of potential conflicts: a war with Iran, a summons from Iraq's government for help in a new outbreak of civil war; and any number of scenarios involving Israel. For the Pentagon, the ability to quickly move forces into the region has been a major preoccupation since 1979, when the Iranian revolution suddenly demonstrated the fragility of many of the region's regimes.<br />
<br />
For U.S. military planners, the sudden loss of access to Egypt would present a double problem.<br />
<br />
Without Egypt, they would find their options for shipping air and sea cargo, refueling and repairing aircraft and consolidating troop movements narrowed to those along the Persian Gulf. The loss of landing rights in Egypt, for example, might mean that in a crisis, wide-body jets, each carrying hundreds of troops, would have to fly directly into congested Persian Gulf airfields, rather than into Cairo West, from which smaller transports would ferry troops into action.<br />
<br />
And those Persian Gulf facilities are increasingly vulnerable to Iranian ballistic missiles.<br />
Even now, according to <a href="http://www.defense.gov/qdr/images/QDR_as_of_12Feb10_1000.pdf">Quadrennial Defense Review</a>, the major strategic review completed by the Pentagon last year, U.S. forces need access to bases "more resilient than today's in the face of attacks.'' The study said planners are looking for ways to fortify those bases, with missile defense being a high priority, but protecting high-value airfields and ports where troops are disembarking is clearly difficult.<br />
<br />
In war-fighting terms, the loss of Egypt might also force a greater reliance on long-range strike assets -- strike fighters, bombers and missiles -- at a time when the U.S. arsenal of such weapons is limited. In a Mideast war, fighters once might have launched from Egyptian airfields; without Egypt, they'd have to operate from carriers -- themselves vulnerable -- or fly exhausting air-refueled missions from distant land bases in Turkey or Europe. And longer missions mean fewer daily sorties.<br />
<br />
The U.S. long-distance <a href="http://www.airforce-magazine.com/MagazineArchive/Magazine%20Documents/2010/May%202010/0510facts_figs.pdf">bomber fleet</a> has shrunk significantly, from more than 1,100 aircraft in 1950, to 154 today, including 134 B-1 and B-52 bombers unable to penetrate sophisticated enemy air defenses. Last month, Defense Secretary Gates ordered renewed work on a new long-distance, nuclear-capable bomber to fill the gap, but that capability is years away, <a href="http://www.defense.gov/transcripts/transcript.aspx?transcriptid=4747">he said</a>.<br />
<br />
Losing access to Egypt, for military planners, would be part of a larger problem, said <a href="http://www.csbaonline.org/2006-1/5.AboutUs/Staff_Directory.dir/Gunzinger,_Mark.php">Mark A. Gunzinger</a>, a former Air Force command pilot who served as a strategic planner at the Pentagon and White House. He is currently an analyst at the nonpartisan Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments in Washington.<br />
<br />
"We have operated in the past with a great deal of freedom of maneuver in the air, at sea,'' he said. "We always knew we could deploy the fighters, the carriers can get in close, there's no significant threat to bases, our supply lines would be fairly secure.<br />
<br />
"Now, across the board, we are looking at a future where we might want to assume any of that is true,'' Gunzinger said. "And we are not well postured for that eventuality.''<br />
<br />
In all of these worse-case scenarios, there is a concern that the Egyptian military itself may suffer the kind of fate that befell Iran's professional military (also educated, trained and equipped by the United States) after the fall of the Shah in 1979.<br />
<br />
"If radicals come to power in Cairo, the nightmare is what happened to the Iranian army: the upper echelons, several tens of thousands of officers, were all shot,'' said Killebrew. "That should serve as a cautionary tale.''<p style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;">&nbsp;</p><p><a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/05/at-risk-in-egypts-turmoil-u-s-military-access-to-the-middle-e/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/forward/19829693/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.technorati.com/cosmos/search.html?rank=&amp;fc=1&amp;url=http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/05/at-risk-in-egypts-turmoil-u-s-military-access-to-the-middle-e/" title="Linking Blogs">Linking&nbsp;Blogs</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/02/05/at-risk-in-egypts-turmoil-u-s-military-access-to-the-middle-e/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a></p>]]></description><category>Arab Israeli peace process</category><category>Bright Star</category><category>Egyiptian crisis</category><category>Egypt military</category><category>Egypt risk</category><category>Egypt turmoil</category><category>Egypt U.S. military</category><category>Egyptian unrest</category><category>Iran missiles</category><category>long range strike</category><category>next generation bomber</category><category>Suez Canal</category><category>US persian gulf bases</category><dc:creator>David Wood</dc:creator><dc:date>2011-02-05T22:00:00+00:00</dc:date></item><item><title>Egyptian Crisis Biggest Foreign Test Yet for Obama Administration</title><link>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/01/31/egyptian-crisis-biggest-foreign-test-yet-for-obama-administratio/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://politicsdaily.com/2011/01/31/egyptian-crisis-biggest-foreign-test-yet-for-obama-administratio/</guid><comments>http://politicsdaily.com/2011/01/31/egyptian-crisis-biggest-foreign-test-yet-for-obama-administratio/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/hillary-clinton/" rel="tag">Hillary Clinton</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/foreign-policy/" rel="tag">Foreign Policy</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/obama-administration/" rel="tag">Obama Administration</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/national-security/" rel="tag">National Security</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/international/" rel="tag">International</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/al-qaeda/" rel="tag">al Qaeda</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/middle-east/" rel="tag">Middle East</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/white-house/" rel="tag">White House</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/analysis/" rel="tag">Analysis</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/barack-obama/" rel="tag">Barack Obama</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/islam/" rel="tag">Islam</a>, <a href="http://politicsdaily.com/category/egypt-crisis/" rel="tag">Egypt Crisis</a></p>WASHINGTON -- A week of protests in Egypt neared a climax as a million people prepared to march in Cairo and the army vowed to recognize "the legitimacy of the people's demands," all but spelling the end of President Hosni Mubarak's iron-fisted rule and signaling the start of a new strategic relationship for the United States.<br />
<br />
"Orderly transition means change," said White House spokesman Robert Gibbs, explaining what Secretary of State Hillary Clinton meant when she said the United States was "ready to help with the kind of transition that will lead to greater political and economic freedom."<br />
<br />
Though no one in the administration has directly called on Mubarak to step down after nearly three decades in office, the State Department said Monday that former Ambassador to Egypt Frank Wisner was in Cairo to meet Egyptian officials to help them plan for free and fair elections.<br />
<br />
<div class="relatedLinksR">
	<div class="relatedHeader">
		<h3>
			Related Stories</h3>
	</div>
	<div class="relatedListContatiner">
		<ul>
			<li>
				<a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/01/31/egypts-mohamed-elbaradei-a-stooge-says-american-jewish-leade/" target="_blank" title="POLITICSDAILY - Egypt's Mohamed ElBaradei A 'Stooge,' Says American Jewish Leader">Egypt's Mohamed ElBaradei A 'Stooge,' Says American Jewish Leader</a></li>
			<li>
				<a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/01/31/egyptian-opposition-groups-uniting-behind-mohamed-elbaradei/" target="_blank" title="POLITICSDAILY - Egyptian Opposition Groups Uniting Behind Mohamed ElBaradei">Egyptian Opposition Groups Uniting Behind Mohamed ElBaradei</a></li>
			<li>
				<a href="http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/01/29/cairo-is-not-berlin-folly-of-mistaking-egypt-for-the-former-eas/" target="_blank" title="POLITICSDAILY - Cairo Is Not Berlin: The Folly of Mistaking Egypt for the Former Eastern Bloc">Cairo Is Not Berlin: The Folly of Mistaking Egypt for the Former Eastern Bloc</a></li>
		</ul>
	</div>
</div>
Noting that, "It is not up to us to determine when the grievances of the Egyptian people have been met by the Egyptian government," Gibbs dismissed Mubarak's <a href="http://www.voanews.com/english/news/Internet-Shut-Down-as-Egypt-Braces-for-Huge-Protests-114786364.html">cabinet shuffling</a> as irrelevant. "This is not about appointments; it's about actions," he said.<br />
<br />
As arguably the most serious foreign policy crisis of the Obama administration unfolded at break-neck speed in the streets of Cairo and other Egyptian cities, the White House and diplomats at the State Department have struggled to keep up with developments. At the same time, they have kept an eye out for trouble in nearby countries, especially Yemen. Already a basket case before recent <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/28/world/middleeast/28yemen.html">street protests</a>, the <a href="http://www.aolnews.com/2009/12/28/is-yemen-the-new-afghanistan/">al-Qaeda sanctuary</a> is ground zero in the U.S. fight against terrorism.<br />
<br />
National security officials <a href="http://www.politico.com/blogs/laurarozen/0111/Egypt_experts_head_to_WH_powwow.html">huddled</a> with Egypt experts in the White House while the president spoke by phone to leaders in the region. Those in Saudi Arabia, Yemen and Jordan, among others, fear the revolution that began in Tunisia could target them next.<br />
<br />
<img border="1" hspace="4" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.politicsdaily.com/media/2011/01/gibbsegypt.jpg" vspace="4" />In a telling window on how the region's autocrats view the situation in Egypt, a Saudi readout of a conversation between Obama and King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia spoke of "the tragic events taking place currently in Egypt, which have been accompanied by chaos, looting, intimidation of innocents, exploitation of freedom and expression, and attempts to ignite the flames of chaos to achieve their suspicious goals, which are not approved by Saudi, U.S. sides."<br />
<br />
That was far from the more measured tone taken by the <a href="http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2011/01/30/readout-presidents-calls-discuss-egypt">White House</a> to describe Obama's calls to foreign leaders.<br />
<br />
<strong>'Flustered at first'</strong><br />
<br />
Officials were "a little bit flustered at first" by the protests -- Vice President Joe Biden told the <a href="http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/politics/jan-june11/biden_01-27.html">PBS News Hour</a> that Mubarak is not a dictator -- but Boston University international relations professor Richard Augustus Norton said overall, the administration has done a good job of reacting.<br />
<br />
Republican leaders <a href="http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2011/01/30/mcconnell-on-same-page-with-obama-on-egypt-but-not-on-spending/">backed up</a> that assessment, as Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell refused to criticize how the administration was handling the crisis.<br />
<br />
The best the White House can do -- and appears to be doing behind the scenes -- is communicate "the hopelessness of the situation to President Mubarak," said Nathan Brown, an expert on Arab politics at George Washington University.<br />
<br />
The dual nature of diplomacy -- especially as practiced in the Middle East -- has complicated the administration's response to the popular uprising in Egypt. Just as <a href="http://articles.cnn.com/2011-01-18/opinion/tunisia.wikileaks_1_tunisians-wikileaks-regime?_s=PM:OPINION">WikiLeaks</a> has been credited with setting off the revolution in Tunisia, leaked <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/28/world/middleeast/28diplo.html">cables</a> about Egypt illustrate a complex relationship of subtle shifts between coddling and arm-twisting.<br />
<br />
"We have closed our eyes to Mubarak because he has been useful to us in other ways," said Marina Ottaway, director of the Middle East program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. The same <em>realpolitik</em> has been in play in the relation with Yemen, Algeria and other dictatorial regimes in the region that the United States has taken it easy on in order to secure help for fighting terrorism.<br />
<br />
All are examples of "the tradeoff between democracy and stability where the United States chooses stability," Ottaway said. As in Egypt, "In the end, it doesn't lead to stability at all."<br />
<br />
Still, the spectre of Iran's Islamist revolution in 1979, which ended the autocratic reign of the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1953_Iranian_coup_d%27%C3%A9tat">CIA-installed</a> Shah in favor of the fiery cleric <a href="http://www.notablebiographies.com/Jo-Ki/Khomeini-Ayatollah.html">Ayatollah Khomeini</a>, has prompted many U.S. policymakers to opt for stability first, free elections second.<br />
<br />
Much of that calculus has to do with Israel, which looks to the turmoil in Egypt -- its first partner for peace -- with more than a little <a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2011/01/31/egypt%E2%80%99s-turmoil-leaves-israel-silent-and-worried/">trepidation</a>. One of the country's leading commentators, Aluf Benn, <a href="http://www.haaretz.com/print-edition/news/obama-will-go-down-in-history-as-the-president-who-lost-egypt-1.340057">wrote</a> in the Israeli newspaper Haaretz that just as Jimmy Carter is remembered as "the president who lost Iran," Obama will be known as the president "who 'lost' Turkey, Lebanon and Egypt, and during whose tenure America's alliances in the Middle East crumbled."<br />
<br />
Apart from the work-in-progress in Iraq, Israel may be the only democracy in the Middle East, but its fears are founded on previous U.S. efforts to foster free elections in the region.<br />
President George W. Bush's encouragement of elections in Gaza <a href="http://www.usatoday.com/educate/college/polisci/articles/20060129.htm">backfired</a> against U.S. interests when Palestinians voted the Islamist group Hamas into power.<br />
<br />
Still, Norton said the United States is unlikely to support any transition government that doesn't assure Israel's security as laid out in the Camp David peace agreement. While many Egyptians refer to Israel in conversation as "the enemy," he said, the generals who will play a critical part in the new government are unlikely to jeopardize the $1.3 billion in <a href="http://www.aolnews.com/2011/01/31/us-arms-sales-to-egypt-whats-on-the-line/">military aid</a> the army gets each year from the United States or risk a war with Israel at a time when they have much bigger problems to contend with.<br />
<br />
<strong>U.S. is a 'spectator'</strong><br />
<br />
Despite its financial sway, "It's important to keep in mind that the United States is not going to change the course of events in Egypt or anywhere else," Ottaway said. "The United States is really a spectator to a phenomenon that has taken on a life of its own."<br />
<br />
Which is not to say that Obama, who went to Cairo just months after taking office to declare a "new beginning" with the Muslim and Arab world and <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/06/04/AR2009060401117.html">spoke forcefully</a> for democracy, should not recalibrate U.S. policy.<br />
<br />
Egypt gave Obama a thumbs down in a favorability rating in a recent Pew Research Center <a href="http://pewglobal.org/2010/06/17/obama-more-popular-abroad-than-at-home/">survey of global attitudes</a>.<br />
<br />
"The administration should reject the old way of doing business -- investing in institutions and leaders (like Mubarak) that lack credibility with their own people," <a href="http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/01/us_egyptian_relations.html">wrote</a> Brian Katulis of the Center for American Progress.<br />
<br />
One institution that does have credibility among a large segment of the Egyptian population is the <a href="http://www.aolnews.com/2011/01/31/could-the-muslim-brotherhood-seize-power-in-egypt/">Muslim Brotherhood</a>, the world's oldest Islamist political movement. Fears that equated the group with al-Qaeda have long caused the U.S. to look the other way as Mubarak jailed its leaders and suppressed its influence.<br />
<br />
The U.S. must accept that the Muslim Brotherhood will be part of the next government, Ottaway said, just as moderate Islamist parties rule or wield influence in Turkey and Morocco. "We have to get over the fear," she said.<br />
<br />
U.S. officials must also realize that "the strategic ramifications of this are potentially enormous but they are still unclear" George Washington University's Brown said.<br />
<br />
"Our close, if sometimes testy, relationship with Egypt has been a cornerstone of U.S. policy since before the disco era," he said. "We need to go back to the drawing board."<p style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;">&nbsp;</p><p><a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/01/31/egyptian-crisis-biggest-foreign-test-yet-for-obama-administratio/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/forward/19822732/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.technorati.com/cosmos/search.html?rank=&amp;fc=1&amp;url=http://politicsdaily.com/2011/01/31/egyptian-crisis-biggest-foreign-test-yet-for-obama-administratio/" title="Linking Blogs">Linking&nbsp;Blogs</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://politicsdaily.com/2011/01/31/egyptian-crisis-biggest-foreign-test-yet-for-obama-administratio/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a></p>]]></description><category>Aluff Benn</category><category>Frank Wisner</category><category>Hillary Clinton</category><category>Hosni Mubarak</category><category>King Abdullah</category><category>Marina Ottaway</category><category>Muslim Brotherhood</category><category>Robert Gibbs</category><category>Yemen</category><dc:creator>Andrea Stone</dc:creator><dc:date>2011-01-31T21:00:00+00:00</dc:date></item></channel></rss>
