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O'Malley Leads Ehrlich in Potential Maryland Governor Rematch
By Bruce Drake - Politics DailyMaryland's Democratic governor, Martin O'Malley, leads the man he beat for the job in 2006, Republican Robert Ehrlich, should Ehrlich decided to try and retake his seat, according to a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Feb. 23. O'Malley is ahead 49 percent to 43 percent with 2 percent preferring another candidate and 5 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4.5 points. Both men are seen favorably by a roughly equal percentage of voters -- O'Malley by 54 percent and Ehrlich by 55 percent. Ehrlich leads among unaffiliated voters by 52 percent to 36 percent with 2 percent preferring someone ...
GOP's Walker Leads in Wisconsin Governor Match-Ups
By Bruce Drake - Politics DailyRepublican Scott Walker, the Milwaukee County executive, leads Democrat Tom Barrett, Milwaukee's mayor, in the race to succeed Wisconsin's Democratic governor, Jim Doyle, while another Republican, former U.S. Rep. Mark Neumann, runs neck-and-neck with Barrett, according to a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Feb. 17. Walker leads Barrett 49 percent to 40 percent with 1 percent preferring another candidate and 10 percent undecided. Neumann leads Barrett by 44 percent to 42 percent with 4 percent preferring someone else and 10 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4.5 points. Doyle, whose ...
GOP's McCollum Has Big Lead Over Democrat Sink in Florida Governor Race
By Bruce Drake - Politics DailyRepublican Bill McCollum, Florida's attorney general, continues to hold a comfortable lead over Democrat Alex Sink, the state's chief financial officer, in the race to succeed Gov. Charlie Crist, who is running for Senate, according to a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Feb. 18. McCollum runs ahead of Sink by 48 percent to 35 percent with 4 percent preferring someone else and 12 percent undecided. That result was about the same as in Rasmussen polls of the race last month and in December, and similar also to the findings of a Quinnipiac University poll conducted in January. ...
Perry Leads Race for GOP Governor Nod in Texas, But Runoff Is Likely
By Bruce Drake - Politics DailyTexas Gov. Rick Perry still has a comfortable lead going into next Tuesday's GOP primary, but it's looking like he will not get enough votes to avoid a run-off with Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison, according to a Public Policy Polling survey conducted Feb. 19-21. Perry leads Hutchison BY 40 percent to 31 percent, with 20 percent for Debra Medina, a favorite of conservative activists and Tea Partiers. Nine percent are undecided. The margin of error is 4.9 percent. Medina, who surged from a start of four points in the polls last year to coming within four points of Hutchison, appears to have faded. ...
Strickland Moves Ahead of Kasich in Ohio Governor Race
By Bruce Drake - Politics DailyAfter several different polls showed Ohio Gov. Ted Strickland running behind in his bid for re-election, a Quinnipiac University survey conducted Feb. 16-21 shows him now ahead of former Rep. John Kasich, 44 percent to 39 percent, with 15 percent undecided. The margin of error is 2.4 points. Kasich had led by six points in a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Feb. 5-6 and by the same margin in an Ohio newspaper poll conducted in mid-January. In November, Quinnipiac had the two men tied. Strickland benefits from higher support among fellow Democrats than Kasich gets from Republicans -- 82 ...
Another Poll Shows Culver Badly Trailing Branstad for Iowa Governor
By Bruce Drake - Politics DailyA second poll in a week's time has Iowa's Democratic governor, Chet Culver, trailing former Republican Gov. Terry Branstad by double-digits. Branstad leads Culver 53 percent to 37 percent with 6 percent preferring some other candidate and 4 percent undecided, according to a Rasmussen Reports survey conducted Feb. 18. The margin of error is 4.5 points. A Research 2000 poll, conducted Feb. 15-17,had Branstad leading Culver 54 percent to 38 percent with 8 percent undecided. Another Republican hopeful, businessman Bob Vander Plaats, leads Culver 46 percent to 40 percent with 7 percent ...
Democrats Have Slight Edge in Race to Hold Oregon Governor's Seat
By Bruce Drake - Politics DailyThere's a crowded field of candidates running for governor in Oregon and, for the moment, the Democrats have a very slight edge in trying to hold the seat for the party, according to a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Feb. 17. The current governor, Democrat Theodore Kulongoski, cannot run again because of term limits. The two Democratic hopefuls, former Gov. John Kitzhaber and former Secretary of State Bill Bradbury, have modest or statistically insignificant leads over several of the strongest Republican contenders, although Kitzhaber fares a little better than Bradbury. Kitzhaber leads ...
Another Poll Shows GOP's Branstad with Big Lead Over Culver in Iowa
By Bruce Drake - Politics DailyA new Research 2000 poll, conducted Feb. 15-17, confirms how much trouble Iowa Gov. Chet Culver is in, showing him way behind former GOP Gov. Terry Branstad and in a statistical tie with businessman Bob Vanderplaats. Branstad is leading Culver 54 percent to 38 percent with 8 percent undecided. Branstad enjoys an 89 percent level of support among fellow Republicans compared to Culver's 74 percent among Democrats. Independents break for Branstad by 60 percent to 32 percent with 8 percent undecided. That's about the same result as in a Des Moines Register poll conducted Jan. 31-Feb.3 ...
Race for Vermont Governor's Seat Seen as a Toss-Up
By Bruce Drake - Politics DailyDemocrat Deb Markowitz and Republican Brian Dubie are in a close race to succeed GOP Gov. Jim Douglas, who announced last year he would not seek another term, according to a WCAX/Research 2000 poll conducted Feb. 14-16. Republicans feared that Douglas' decision not to run would put the seat in play and the poll seems to bear that out: Dubie, a four-term lieutenant governor, is below 50 percent in match-ups against five Democratic hopefuls. Markowitz, Vermont's secretary of state, leads Dubie by 43 percent to 41 percent with 16 percent undecided. The margin of error is 5 points. Markowitz's ...
Jerry Brown and Meg Whitman Running Even in California Governor Race
By Bruce Drake - Politics DailyRepublican Meg Whitman, the former eBay chief executive, is running neck-and-neck with Attorney General Jerry Brown in a California gubernatorial matchup, with each drawing 43 percent of voters, according to a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Feb. 15. Six percent prefer someone else and 8 percent are undecided. The margin of error is 4.5 points. If State Insurance Commissioner Steve Poizner managed to get the GOP nomination, Brown would be leading him 46 percent to 34 percent with 7 percent preferring another candidate and 13 percent undecided. The San Francisco Chronicle reported in late ...
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