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Published: 11/4/09

Report Card on the Pollsters in the Off-Year Races

By  Bruce Drake - Politics Daily
Report Card on the Pollsters in the Off-Year Races

So, how did the pollsters do in their final surveys before the key off-year races in predicting the results? ...

Published: 11/4/09

Was the Election About Obama?

By  Steve Pendlebury - AOL News
Was the Election About Obama?

(Nov. 4) -- Forget what voters told exit pollsters. Tuesday's election is being analyzed as a referendum on President Obama. Republicans Bob McDonnell in Virginia and Chris Christie in New Jersey captured governor's seats that were held by Democrats. Obama won both states a year ago. He campaigned hard for Gov. Jon Corzine in New Jersey and made appearances for Creigh Deeds late in the campaign, despite some bad blood between the Virginia Democrat's campaign and the White House. Many headlines Wednesday morning portrayed the vote results as bad news for Obama. "It sends a clear signal that ...

Published: 11/3/09

McDonnell v. Deeds: Virginia Reveals Whether it is a Blue, Red, or Purple State

By  Carl M. Cannon - Politics Daily
McDonnell v. Deeds: Virginia Reveals Whether it is a Blue, Red, or Purple State

Having elected two Democratic senators and two Democratic governors in the last four statewide elections, and having gone for Barack Obama in 2008, the Old Dominion was said to be moving inexorably toward the status of a "Blue State." Except that somebody forgot to tell the slate of statewide Republicans running this year, especially Attorney General Bob McDonnell. The GOP gubernatorial candidate entered Election Day with double-digit leads over Democrat R. Creigh Deeds in every reputable public opinion poll. Also leading in pre-election surveys were Republicans Bill Bolling and Kenneth ...

Published: 11/2/09

SurveyUSA: McDonnell 58, Deeds 40

By  Bruce Drake - Politics Daily
SurveyUSA: McDonnell 58, Deeds 40

Election Day is mercifully bringing to a close the avalanche of polls on the governors' races in New Jersey and Virginia and the upstate New York House race. But here's one more: Republican Bob McDonnell leads Democrat Creigh Deeds in Virginia by 58 percent to 40 percent with 2 percent undecided, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted Oct. 30 - Nov. 1. Republicans also have comfortable leads in the other two statewide races, for lieutenant governor and attorney general. ...

Published: 11/2/09

Pollsters From Both Parties: Republicans Headed for a Good Election Day

By  Jill Lawrence - Politics Daily
Pollsters From Both Parties: Republicans Headed for a Good Election Day

Two leading pollsters from opposite parties agreed Monday that Republicans could sweep big elections Tuesday for governor in both Virginia and New Jersey and a congressional seat in upstate New York. Democrat Mark Mellman said only 12 governors that have run for re-election in the past have had numbers as bad as those of New Jersey Democrat Jon Corzine, whose unfavorable rating tops 50 percent in many polls. Only two of them have won -- Jennifer Granholm of Michigan and now-disgraced Rod Blagojevich of Illinois. "It's a very tough thing to do," Mellman said at a breakfast sponsored by the ...

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Published: 11/2/09

Republicans Poised for Virginia Comeback

By  Bruce Drake - Politics Daily
Republicans Poised for Virginia Comeback

Republican Bob McDonnell leads Democrat Creigh Deeds by 56 percent to 42 percent with 2 percent undecided in Public Policy Polling's final survey of the Virginia governor race. The poll was conducted Oct. 30-Nov. 1. ...

Published: 11/1/09

McDonnell Leads Deeds by 12 Points in Virginia

By  Bruce Drake - Politics Daily
McDonnell Leads Deeds by 12 Points in Virginia

Republican Bob McDonnell leads Democrat Creigh Deeds 53 percent to 41 percent with 6 percent undecided, according to a Richmond Times-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon poll conducted Oct. 28-29. ...

Published: 10/30/09

Obama's Blue Tide in Virginia: Aberration or Trend?

By  Andrew Clark - Politics Daily
Obama's Blue Tide in Virginia: Aberration or Trend?

A year ago Tuesday, President Obama made history as the first African-American elected to the White House. He also made history by re-defining the electoral map, most notably in Virginia, a state that hadn't voted for a Democrat since 1964. Since then, pundits have been debating whether the Democratic sweep of 2008 was a re-aligning of America into a more-permanent Democratic majority -- as argued in a new book, The Emerging Democratic Majority by Ruy Teixeira and John Judis -- or an aberration unique to Barack Obama and the political climate. Indeed, a new poll out by Gallup this week has ...

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Published: 10/30/09

Parsing the Tuesday Election Returns -- at Your Own Peril

By  Walter Shapiro - Politics Daily
Parsing the Tuesday Election Returns -- at Your Own Peril

Beware of the dreaded Only-Game-in-Town Syndrome. Next Tuesday night -- as actual statewide election returns flash across TV screens for the first time since Barack Obama's election -- political junkies will face a nearly irresistible temptation to divine cosmic patterns from the gyrating digits. Amid this frenzied rush to election night judgment, it seems almost futile to play the killjoy and shout, "But the wheel is crooked." ...

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Published: 10/29/09

McDonnell Has Double-Digit Leads in Two More Polls

By  Bruce Drake - Politics Daily
McDonnell Has Double-Digit Leads in Two More Polls

It's starting to get an "Is there an echo in here?" quality, but two more polls show the Virginia governor's race being firmly in the hands of Republican Bob McDonnell. ...

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