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Walker Recall Effort Struggles To Gain Momentum
Controversial Book On Obama Appears To Have Lifted Key Quote
Rasmussen Poll
Obama Would Lose to Romney or Huckabee in 2012, But Still Bests Palin in Poll
By David Knowles - AOL News(Nov. 4) -- On your marks, get set...prognosticate! Though the dust is still settling on the 2010 midterm elections, pollsters are already at work sizing up the impact of the Republican electoral landslide on the still hypothetical races to come in 2012. According to a new CNN/Opinion research poll, President Obama may be looking at a first term ouster if one of two likely Republican challengers decide to run against him. Were the election were held today, Mike Huckabee would beat Obama by a not-inconsiderable margin of 52-44 percent and Mitt Romney would best the president by a margin of ...
Ranking the Political Pollsters
By Bruce Drake - Politics DailyFor those of you who follow columns like this one about polls, one of the challenges is comparing the results of one poll versus another. There are many variables, including the methods and track records of each pollsters; whether they are surveying likely voters, registered voters or all adults; or, the percentages they determine for sample size of each demographic group, among other things. Jumping in to help is Nate Silver of the respected FiveThirytEight.com blog, which has just reached a deal to be hosted this year by the New York Times. Silver, a master of mathematical analysis, first ...
GOP Convention Bounce Showing Up Early
By Mark Impomeni - Politics DailyOn the day after the Republican Party convention in St. Paul, Minnesota, there are indications that the traditional post-convention bounce usually seen in opinion polling is materializing early for the GOP. The Real Clear Politics polling average has narrowed to show Sen. Barack Obama with a 2.5 point lead over Sen. John McCain. That is down four points in the last three days. The reason for the tightening can be found in two of the components of the average, the Gallup and Rasmussen Reports daily tracking polls.Gallup shows the race as a 48-44% Obama lead, down from a nine-point Obama ...
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