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Click here to visit the new home of Politics Daily!A good percentage of the polls you see in Poll Watch, particularly in our weekly round-up of poll ratings by state for President Obama, come from Rasmussen Reports, a survey firm whose methodology has been a subject of debate among those who follow the field. For those of you interested in knowing more about the prolific operation that bears the name of its founder Scott Rasmussen, there's a long profile of him in today's Washington Post. A number of major news organizations like the New York Times will not cite Rasmussen's surveys because, unlike polls by Gallup, the Pew Research Center and ...
. . . Barack Obama might actually win your state. Two new polls show the same nationwide trends are holding true for Virginia: Obama is picking up big momentum in this swing state. Suffolk University:Obama 51Survey USA:Obama 53This new data comes on the heels of John McCain's brother joking that Northern Virginia is "communist country." But the with us or against us line doesn't seem to be working. And check out who just cut a radio ad for Obama that's now up in all parts of the state. ...
Some polls I'm watching to judge the effect of Obama's small town gaffe on the upcoming Pennsylvania primary. Yesterday's ARG poll had down by 20 points and stunned everyone, but ARG has been volatile. But other polling out today indicates that Clinton has bumped, but not by that much. Rasmussen: Clinton up by 9 with a +4 bump over the last poll. Extremely reliable. Survey USA: Clinton up by 14 but that's down from 18 last week, but SUSA also has a history of volatile polling. LAT: Clinton +5 Strategic Vision: Clinton by 9 with a +4 bump over last week. Quinnipiac: Clinton up 6 unchanged ...
Some new polls show some movement in the Pennsylvania contest. If they are correct, and who the hell trusts polls anymore, then they indicate that Barack Obama is starting to chip away at Hillary Clinton's big lead. Rasmussen has Hillary's lead down to 5 points:The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Pennsylvania shows Clinton leading Barack Obama by just five percentage points, 47. For Clinton, that five-point edge is down from a ten-point edge a week ago, a thirteen-point lead in mid-March and a fifteen-point advantage in early March.Survey USA shows 12-point cushion for Clinton, ...
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