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Published: 05/19/10

Rand Paul's Challenge: Holding on to the Republican Vote

By  Bruce Drake - Politics Daily
Rand Paul's Challenge: Holding on to the Republican Vote

Secretary of State Trey Grayson, who was trounced in Kentucky's GOP senate primary by Tea Party favorite Rand Paul, said during the campaign, "Democrats are salivating to run against a guy who can be portrayed as anti-farmer, anti-teacher and anti-Kentucky." Polling during the primary race gives some support to that view. But what also might work against Paul is that while Grayson, the candidate of his party's establishment, mustered only 35 percent of the vote, that may represent a chunk of Republicans that will bail out on Paul, given the fact that there was no love lost between the two ...

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Published: 05/17/10

Will Rand Paul Hand the Tea Party Movement Its Biggest Victory Ever?

By  Walter Shapiro - Politics Daily
Will Rand Paul Hand the Tea Party Movement Its Biggest Victory Ever?

LOUISVILLE – Riding high in the polls, Rand Paul – the insurgent Senate candidate who has upended the Kentucky GOP primary and the son of libertarian firebrand Ron Paul – offered a preview of his anticipated triumphant message Tuesday night. "This has enormous implications for the power and the impact of the Tea Party movement," he declared. "If we win Tuesday, it will be the biggest victory for a Tea Party candidate in the country...It will show that the Tea Party can elect somebody." These words were delivered not on a campaign stage surrounded by sign-waving supporters, ...

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Published: 05/17/10

Tuesday Primary Election Results: Will the Incumbents Survive?

By  Politics Daily Staff - Politics Daily
Tuesday Primary Election Results: Will the Incumbents Survive?

Editor's note: As the first primary Super Tuesday approaches, we've asked Politics Daily writers around the country for their latest perspective on what to expect in the various races. As results become available, we'll update the various sections with results and further analysis, so be sure to check back as the returns come in. Update, May 18: Jill Lawrence reports here on Rand Paul's victory in Kentucky and the latest in the Arlen Specter and Blanche Lincoln races. Jill Lawrence: Will Arlen Specter Be the Next Victim of Anti-Incumbent Fever? Pennsylvanians will send the nation signals ...

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Published: 05/17/10

Rand Paul Headed for an Easy Victory in Kentucky, Latest Poll Says

By  Bruce Drake - Politics Daily
Rand Paul Headed for an Easy Victory in Kentucky, Latest Poll Says

Fueled by the number of Republicans who are unhappy with the direction of the party, insurgent Rand Paul appears headed to an easy victory over Secretary of State Trey Grayson in Tuesday's Kentucky primary contest for the GOP senate nomination, according to a Public Policy Polling survey conducted May 15-16. Paul leads Grayson by 52 percent to 34 percent with three other candidates splitting 7 percent and 7 percent undecided. Sixty percent of likely Republican primary voters view Paul favorably compared to 42 percent for Grayson. Fifty-eight percent say Paul's ideology is about right ...

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Published: 05/13/10

Rand Paul Appears Headed for Victory in Tuesday's Kentucky Senate Primary

By  Bruce Drake - Politics Daily
Rand Paul Appears Headed for Victory in Tuesday's Kentucky Senate Primary

As next week's Kentucky senate primary nears, Rand Paul continues to hold a double digit lead over Secretary of State Trey Grayson in the GOP race while, on the Democratic side, Lt. Gov. Dan Mongiardo and Attorney General Jack Conway are almost evenly tied, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted May 9-11. Paul, the insurgent favorite of conservative and Tea Party activists, leads Grayson, who has spent his political career working up through the party ranks, by 49 percent to 33 percent with three other candidates splitting 7 percent and 11 percent undecided. Paul leads Grayson by 18 points ...

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Published: 05/6/10

Poll Points to Rand Paul, Dan Mongiardo Face-Off for Senate in Kentucky

By  Bruce Drake - Politics Daily
Poll Points to Rand Paul, Dan Mongiardo Face-Off for Senate in Kentucky

Rand Paul,a favorite of conservative and Tea Party movement activists, has a 12 point lead over Secretary of State Trey Grayson in the contest for Kentucky's GOP senate nomination while, on the Democratic side, Lt. Gov. Daniel Mongiardo leads Attorney General Jack Conway by 9 points, according to a Research 2000 Kentucky Poll conducted May 2-4. As the May 18 primaries near, Rand is polling 44 percent to Grayson's 32 percent with three other candidates splitting 7 percent and 17 percent undecided. Mongiardo leads Conway 39 percent to 32 percent with three others splitting 12 percent and 17 ...

Published: 05/3/10

Republican Hopefuls Lose Ground in Kentucky Senate Race

By  Bruce Drake - Politics Daily
Republican Hopefuls Lose Ground in Kentucky Senate Race

The two Democrats running for the seat of retiring GOP Sen. Jim Bunning in Kentucky have gained on the Republicans seeking the job, although they still trail in general election match-ups, according to a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted April 28. Last month, both Secretary of State Trey Grayson and eye doctor Rand Paul, a favorite of Tea Party activists, were above the 50 percent mark against Attorney General Jack Conway and Lt. Gov. Daniel Mongiardo. But now they have dipped below that mark and their leads have lessened, particularly in the match-ups with Conway. Grayson leads Conway, 43 ...

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Published: 04/13/10

Rand Paul Builds Double-Digit Lead in Race for Kentucky GOP Senate Nod

By  Bruce Drake - Politics Daily
Rand Paul Builds Double-Digit Lead in Race for Kentucky GOP Senate Nod

Rand Paul, son of Texas Rep. Ron Paul and a favorite of the Tea Party movement, has built a big lead over Secretary of State Trey Grayson in the race for the GOP Senate nomination in Kentucky, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted April 9-11. The race has been depicted as a test of the movement's influence, pitting a candidate trying to capitalize on the voter anger it reflects against an establishment Republican who has won re-election to his position three times. Grayson has fought back with TV ads honing in on Paul's "strange ideas," such as saying "Paul even wonders whether 9/11 was our ...

Published: 04/6/10

GOP's Paul and Grayson Outdistance Dems in Ky. Senate Race

By  Bruce Drake - Politics Daily
GOP's Paul and Grayson Outdistance Dems in Ky. Senate Race

The two Republicans running for their party's nomination to succeed retiring GOP Sen. Jim Bunning -- Rand Paul, son of Texas Rep. Ron Paul, and Secretary of State Trey Grayson -- both lead the Democratic hopefuls for the job by margins ranging from 14 to 20 points, according to a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted March 31. However, Grayson runs the stronger race against either of the Democratic candidates. Paul, an opthamologist and Tea Party enthusiast, leads Lt. Gov. Daniel Mongiardo 52 percent to 37 percent with 3 percent preferring another choice and 8 percent undecided. Grayson leads ...

Published: 03/24/10

Dick Cheney Endorses Trey Grayson Over Rand Paul in Kentucky GOP Primary

By  Christopher Weber - Politics Daily
Dick Cheney Endorses Trey Grayson Over Rand Paul in Kentucky GOP Primary

Former Vice President Dick Cheney has made his first endorsement of the 2010 elections, backing Trey Grayson over Tea Party favorite Rand Paul in Kentucky's Republican Senate primary. Grayson, Kentucky's secretary of state, has been supported by Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell and is seen as the establishment candidate. Paul, a physician and son of Texas GOP congressman Ron Paul, is backed by grassroots conservative activists and has been endorsed by Sarah Palin. In a statement on Grayson's campaign Web site, Cheney called the secretary of state "the real conservative in this ...

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