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Deval Patrick Leads in Massachusetts Governor Race, But Questions Loom
By Bruce Drake - Politics DailyMassachusetts' Democratic governor, Deval Patrick leads Republican challenger Charlie Baker by 38 percent to 31 percent with 2 other candidates trailing far behind and 17 percent undecided, according to a Boston Globe poll conducted June 17-23. But the poll also uncovered the same kind of unhappiness with incumbents that has made itself felt across the country in elections this year as well as weaknesses in Patrick's standing with voters. Sixty-one percent of likely voters say they are still trying to decide on their choice, 24 percent are definite about it and 15 percent are leaning ...
Swing District Poll Finds Grim Outlook for House Democrats
By Bruce Drake - Politics DailyA survey of 70 congressional districts which are considered competitive in this year's midterm elections had grim news for Democrats with sentiment to ousting incumbents running high and a far higher level of enthusiasm among Republicans when it comes to voting in November. The survey, conducted June 7-10 for NPR, looked at 30 Democratic seats it regarded as the most competitive, a second-tier of 30 of seats in play but considered less of a toss-up, and 10 Republican-held seats rated as competitive. When likely voters were asked their preferences on a generic ballot in all 60 Democratic ...
Charlie Crist, Arlen Specter, Artur Davis: Can Centrists Survive?
By Carl M. Cannon - Politics DailySo far, 2010 has been an eventful, and sometimes perilous year for independent-minded politicians -- and would-be party kingmakers. This dual lesson keeps being relearned in primary after primary, all over the country, and in both parties. The evidence ranges from the unhorsing of Sen. Robert Bennett of Utah to the rejection -- first within the Republican Party then in the Democratic Party -- of iconoclastic Sen. Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania. The rebuff of Rep. Artur Davis in his bid for governor of Alabama is part of this story. So is the intraparty knife fight that Sen. Blanche Lincoln ...
Democrats Begin Drive to Push Through Priorities Before Elections
By Patricia Murphy - Politics DailyLeaders of the House and Senate will begin a summer sprint this week to push through a huge list of Democratic priorities amid a backdrop of a still-weak economy, an out-of-control disaster in the Gulf of Mexico, a jittery electorate with a distaste for incumbents, and a federal deficit that is already projected to hit a record $1.5 trillion this year. It's a tough environment for Democrats, made doubly precarious by the looming November mid-term elections, but Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid said Monday he's ready to get started. "The work period between now and July 4 is short, but our ...
Anti-Incumbent Fever Runs Highest Among Older Americans
By Bruce Drake - Politics DailyOne of the forces behind this year's anti-incumbent mood turns out to be older Americans -- people over 50 -- who are far more likely than their younger counterparts to hold their noses when it comes to incumbents running for office and more likely to back a candidate who has never held elective office, according to a Pew Research/National Journal poll conducted May 20-23. Twenty-seven percent of the overall population says it is less likely to vote for an incumbent while 15 percent are more likely to do so with 51 percent saying incumbency makes no difference to them. But 32 percent of ...
Public Pans Candidates Who Backed Bailouts, Likes Those Open to Compromise
By Bruce Drake - Politics DailyWhen it comes to stands that will sway voters in this year's congressional elections, most Americans are less likely to vote for candidates who supported government loans to banks during the 2008 financial crisis and are more likely to favor those who are willing to make compromises with people that they disagree with, according to a Pew Research/National Journal poll conducted May 20-23. Forty-nine percent say they are less likely to vote for for those who supported bank bailouts while 32 percent say it will make no difference in their decisions and 14 percent are more likely to vote for ...
Tuesday Primary Election Results: Will the Incumbents Survive?
By Politics Daily Staff - Politics DailyEditor's note: As the first primary Super Tuesday approaches, we've asked Politics Daily writers around the country for their latest perspective on what to expect in the various races. As results become available, we'll update the various sections with results and further analysis, so be sure to check back as the returns come in. Update, May 18: Jill Lawrence reports here on Rand Paul's victory in Kentucky and the latest in the Arlen Specter and Blanche Lincoln races. Jill Lawrence: Will Arlen Specter Be the Next Victim of Anti-Incumbent Fever? Pennsylvanians will send the nation signals ...
Nearly 6 in 10 May 'Look Around' Rather Than Re-elect Incumbent
By Bruce Drake - Politics DailyNearly six in 10 Americans say they are inclined to "look around" for a new candidate to support rather than re-elect their current representative in this year's midterm elections, according to a Washington Post/ABC News poll conducted April 22-25. Reflecting an anti-incumbent mood found in many other national polls, 57 percent put themselves in the "look around" category, while 32 percent said they'd re-elect their sitting congressman. The other 10 percent were undecided, did not plan to vote or didn't voice an opinion for other reasons. The anti-incumbent margin was somewhat more negative ...
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