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Report Card on the Pollsters in the Off-Year Races
By Bruce Drake - Politics DailySo, how did the pollsters do in their final surveys before the key off-year races in predicting the results? ...
Christie Beats Corzine in New Jersey
By Bruce Drake - Politics DailyChristie (left), Corzine (center), and Daggett (right) voting in New Jersey. Republican Chris Christie won the New Jersey governor's race, overcoming the huge edge incumbent Jon Corzine had in campaign funds and multiple visits by President Obama to rally Democrats to Corzine's side.Major news organizations called the race for the 47-year-old former federal prosecutor a little more than two hours after the polls closed, based on their reading of the exit polls. With 98 percent of precincts reporting by late Tuesday, Christie was leading in the actual vote, 49 percent to 45 percent. Corzine ...
Voter Numbers, Independent Candidate Are Keys to N.J. Governor's Race
By Bruce Drake - Politics DailyIt seems like ages, and an endless stream of polls ago, that Republican Chris Christie led the increasingly unpopular Gov. Jon Corzine by 10 points in a race that appeared to be the former U.S. Attorney's to lose, as Corzine found himself sinking under the weight of the state's economy and budget problems. But voters are going to the polls today with all signs pointing to a tight race between the two, with a wild card in the shape of the independent candidacy of Chris Daggett, a former regional administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, who had worked in the gubernatorial campaigns ...
The Latest Poll on New Jersey: Too Close to Call
By Bruce Drake - Politics DailyA day before voters go to the polls in New Jersey, the latest Quinnipiac University survey shows Republican Chris Christie in a statistical tie with Gov. Jon Corzine, leading him 42 percent to 40 percent with 12 percent for independent Chris Daggett and 6 percent undecided. The poll was conducted Oct. 27-Nov. 1 and has a margin of error of 2.5 points. ...
Christie Opens Six-Point Lead Over Corzine in New Jersey
By Bruce Drake - Politics DailyAfter weeks of polls in which New Jersey Gov. Jon Corzine had pulled with the margin of error against Republican Chris Christie, he now finds himself trailing Christie 47 percent to 41 percent with 11 percent for independent Chris Daggett and just 2 percent undecided, according to a Public Policy Polling survey conducted Oct. 31 - Nov. 1. The margin of error is 3.1 points. ...
Christie, Corzine a Point Apart in N.J., While Daggett Fades
By Bruce Drake - Politics DailyTwo days before New Jersey voters go to the polls, Republican Chris Christie and Gov. Jon Corzine are in a statistical tie with Christie at 43 percent, Corzine at 42 percent and independent Chris Daggett at 8 percent, according to a Monmouth University/Gannett poll conducted Oct. 28-30. The margin of error is 3 points. ...
Today's N.J. Poll: Corzine 46 Percent, Christie 43 percent
By Bruce Drake - Politics DailyToday's pulse-taking on the New Jersey gubernatorial contest: Rasmussen Reports in a poll conducted Oct. 29 has Republican Chris Christie ahead of Gov. Jon Corzine 46 percent to 43 percent with 8 percent for Chris Daggett and 3 percent undecided. The Christie margin is within the poll's 3 point margin of error. ...
Parsing the Tuesday Election Returns -- at Your Own Peril
By Walter Shapiro - Politics DailyBeware of the dreaded Only-Game-in-Town Syndrome. Next Tuesday night -- as actual statewide election returns flash across TV screens for the first time since Barack Obama's election -- political junkies will face a nearly irresistible temptation to divine cosmic patterns from the gyrating digits. Amid this frenzied rush to election night judgment, it seems almost futile to play the killjoy and shout, "But the wheel is crooked." ...
Puzzling Out the Off-Year Election Polls
By Bruce Drake - Politics DailyAs someone who is (actually) paid to monitor political polls, waking up each morning is like stepping into the ocean and getting slam-dunked by a monster wave when it comes to the number of surveys on the governors' races in New Jersey and Virginia, and the House special election in upstate New York. ...
Latest N.J. Poll Has Corzine Ahead of Christie
By Bruce Drake - Politics DailyThe polls on the New Jersey governor's race have been swinging back-and-forth since it started tightening, although usually within a small range of percentage points. The latest entry, a Quinnipiac University survey conducted Oct. 20-26, has Gov. Jon Corzine ahead of Republican Chris Christie by 43 percent to 38 percent, with independent Chris Daggett at 13 percent. Five percent are undecided. The margin of error is 2.8 points. ...
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