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Ranking the Political Pollsters
By Bruce Drake - Politics DailyFor those of you who follow columns like this one about polls, one of the challenges is comparing the results of one poll versus another. There are many variables, including the methods and track records of each pollsters; whether they are surveying likely voters, registered voters or all adults; or, the percentages they determine for sample size of each demographic group, among other things. Jumping in to help is Nate Silver of the respected FiveThirytEight.com blog, which has just reached a deal to be hosted this year by the New York Times. Silver, a master of mathematical analysis, first ...
Taking Republicans' Presidential Pulse at a Political Reality Show
By Walter Shapiro - Politics DailyDuring the more than three decades of my misbegotten adolescence covering presidential politics, I have grown exasperated with the ersatz measures of candidate popularity and momentum that fill the news void until the primaries. Before you object -- no, this is not a premature lament. Less than two weeks ago, the press waited eagerly for the results of a self-selected 2012 straw poll at the self-selected Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) in Washington before seeing their GOP trend stories deflated when Ron Paul won. The Gallup Poll in early February measured national Republican ...
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