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Redistricting Battles: Five States to Watch as Census Is Released
By Laura Parker - AOL NewsSo the battle begins. Neighborhood population data from the 2010 census were delivered this week to state leaders in the four states with the tightest deadlines for drawing new district boundaries, and were released publicly Thursday night. Virginia, New Jersey, Louisiana and Mississippi all have statewide elections scheduled in November. Next week, the U.S. Census Bureau plans to release neighborhood data for Arkansas, Indiana, Iowa, Maryland and Vermont. Census data must be released for all 50 states by April 1 under federal law. Here's a look at five states where the battle to redraw ...
The Census Ratifies the Sunbelt's Supremacy and Buoys the GOP
By Walter Shapiro - Politics Daily"Everybody talks about the weather, but nobody does anything about it." That aphorism -- attributed to Mark Twain -- has been dramatically repudiated by Tuesday's initial release of statewide population data from the 2010 Census. The quest for mild winters remains the great constant of American demographics. For the first time in history, more than half of the nation's population (308,745,538) resides either in the South or in the warm-weather states of California, Arizona and New Mexico. Even though they had been long anticipated, the Census results (used to allocate House seats and, by ...
New Census Count Out Tuesday Will Determine State Seats in Congress
By Lynn Sweet - Politics DailyIt happens only once a decade. On Tuesday, the U.S. Census Bureau unveils the official population counts based on the 2010 Census and announces how many seats each state gets in the 435-member House of Representatives. Based on population shifts, the big winner on Tuesday is likely to be Texas, with a pickup of up to four seats. The biggest losers will probably be New York and Ohio, projected to shed two seats. The allocation of congressional seats based on the census, conducted every ten years, is called for in the Constitution. The process of figuring out how many seats each state gets ...
GOP Gains in Statehouses Increase Its Clout in 2012 Redistricting
By Bruce Drake - Politics DailyWhile much of the post-election attention has focused on the Republican takeover of the House and their increased leverage in the Senate, the GOP's victories at the statehouse level have put the GOP in "their best position for the looming redistricting process since the modern era of redistricting began" in 1962, according to Tim Storey, a senior fellow at the National Conference of State Legislatures. Storey said that a court ruling in New York last week in favor of a Republican candidate for the New York State Senate gave the party a majority and represented the 20th legislative chamber ...
Opinion: The Death of the Gerrymander?
By Joshua Spivak - AOL News(Dec. 8) -- For the last decade, everyone in politics knew that 2010 would be a critical election year. And it had nothing to do with the economy, control of Congress or President Barack Obama's agenda. It was all about redistricting -- the once-a-decade chance to redraw legislative lines in federal, state and local elections. Lawmakers know that this is a power not to be missed. Done right, it can create safe Democratic or Republican districts, even if those districts have to be twisted into bizarre shapes. The Republicans' sweeping success this election at the state level means that they ...
State Legislators: The Latest Pawns in the Partisan Battleground
By Eleanor Clift - Politics DailyWith majority control of the U.S. House and Senate up for grabs, the matter of which political party controls the 98 partisan legislative chambers in the country doesn't get headlines. They're just too far down the food chain -- too local for the chattering class to mess with. (In case you're wondering, it's 98 and not 100 because Nebraska has a non-partisan, single-house system.) Still they're hugely important, and the political professionals are working these races like crazy, with Republicans pouring money into them and Democrats ringing the alarm bell that their party better wake up or ...
Republicans Headed for Big Pick-Up of Governor's Seats This Year
By Politics Daily Staff - Politics DailyDemocrats currently hold a slight majority of the nation's governor's seats but that balance of power is likely to shift dramatically after this year's midterm elections, according to a new forecast. Polling analyst Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.com projects, based on his projection model, that Republicans are on track to control approximately 30 governors' seats after November, compared with the current lineup of 26 Democrats, 23 Republicans and 1 independent. That's about the same swing predicted by RealClearPolitics which projects that Republicans will end up with 32 seats. Silver's ...
Peering Into the Future
By Justin Paulette - Politics DailyIn the 2004 election, President Bush won 97 of the nation's 100 fastest-growing counties. These "outer suburbs" are described by the New York Times as "places that were little more than farmland or meadows just a generation ago" which have been won over by Republican "campaigns built around family values." While a glacier-paced strategy, demographics nonetheless dominate political shifts over generations. Ever 10 years, for example, the 435 seats of the House of Representatives are reapportioned among the states based on census results. Recent population estimates ahead of the 2010 census seem ...
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