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GOP Gains Came in Districts That Were Older, Whiter and Working-Class
By Politics Daily Staff - Politics DailyThe gains that enabled Republicans to take control of the House came largely from less-populated congressional districts with voters who were older, working-class and mostly white, according to an analysis of election results by The Washington Post. This year's victory stood in contrast to the big Republican sweep of 1994 when its support was more evenly distributed inside and outside metropolitan areas. The analysis found that 39 percent of the 63 districts that Republicans won were older than the national average, 40 had a higher percentage of people without college degrees,and 47 had a ...
Key Trends Favor Republicans in the 2010 Midterm Elections
By Bruce Drake - Politics DailyMajor shifts in sentiment among key voting blocs are working in favor of Republicans in the upcoming midterm elections. The party is solidifying support among men and whites who wavered in 2006 and doing significantly better among swing groups like independents, white Catholics and seniors, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted July 21-Aug. 5. As has been the case in other polls, Republicans also have a decided advantage when it comes to the enthusiasm of their supporters. Six out of 10 Republican supporters have given a lot of thought to the elections and 79 percent of them ...
Carville: Obama Will Beat McCain
By David Knowles - Politics DailyIn two different interviews today--one with ABC's Diane Sawyer, and another with TPM's Greg Sargent--Hillary Clinton loyalist James Carville undercut a key rationale for Clinton staying in the race. According to Carville, Barack Obama will beat John McCain in the fall contest. True, he thinks that Hillary would win by a greater margin, but he believes that the Illinois Senator would as well:Asked if he thought Obama would beat McCain, Carville said, "I think he will. I think Democrats will win in November... There's a crushing desire for change in this country. No one has seen a party or brand ...
MSNBC Analyst Has a Meltdown
By Denise Williams - Politics DailyPatrick J. Buchanan, MSNBC's Senior Political Analyst, author and all-around "save the white race from annihilation and extinction" advocate comes closer and closer to losing it completely. Buchanan, whom I had profiled in some detail here, has turned into the white man's foil during this primary season on MSNBC. Always quick to point out the problems with Obama's capture of the lunch bucket crowd and how he can't get out the white vote, Buchanan has warmed to Senator Clinton for becoming the "everyman" that he feels is necessary to capture the race for the Dems. The more Obama wins, the more ...
Racism Stings Obama Campaigners
By Denise Williams - Politics DailyThe Obama campaign doesn't talk about it much, but will admit when pressed that they started this process knowing that there was a small, but not insignificant, segment of the population that just will not vote for an African-American. Running just below the surface in the campaign and in the media, is the undercurrent of racism still to be found in pockets around the country - rural, urban and suburban. While Senator Obama's message is inclusive and pan-racial, the workers on the ground have felt the sting that the campaign itself does not wish to highlight and the media has mostly ...
Yahoo Poll: Obama Losing Ground With Yahoos
By Tommy Christopher - Politics DailyThe Associated Press is reporting that, according to an AP/Yahoo! Poll, Barack Obama's support among white non-college graduates has fallen sharply over the course of this campaign: In an Associated Press-Yahoo News poll in April, 53 percent of whites who have not completed college viewed Obama unfavorably, up a dozen percentage points from November. During that period, the numbers (of yahoos) viewing Clinton and Republican candidate John McCain negatively have stayed about even. Pennsylvania also illustrated the problems racial attitudes among less educated whites are causing Obama. In exit ...
Rove is Right on Obama
By Justin Paulette - Politics DailyThat super-spooky, evil-genius, Lord-of-the-Sith GOP-mastermind Karl Rove, so despised and feared on the left, has again offered his unsolicited insights on the present condition of the Democratic primary. And, once again, Rove makes clear why the left so hates and loathes him - he is dead on in his analysis. Rove begins... well, where Rove begins: Voter demographics. Despite outspending Clinton 3-1 and enjoying a 4%-5% lead in the days just prior to the election, Obama lost by 10% and failed to seal-the-deal with critical white, suburban votes. The looming potential for disaster should have ...
Obama and Rural White Voters
By Dave - Politics DailyJudging from the title, you may think this is another post about Obama's small-town comments, but it's not. As it happens, the excellent political analyst Jay Cost has taken a deep look at the Ohio numbers and has offered a thesis for why it is that the Democrat superdelegates have not already swung over to Obama. In short, they're worried about Obama's performance among the swing voters. Rather, the concern for Democrats is whether Obama's poor performance among white, strongly partisan Democrats is a sign he will be weak among white, persuadable voters. We're talking about weak partisans ...
Possible Wilder Effect for Obama
By Dave - Politics DailyThere is a lot of interesting details in this latest Pew poll, but one of the most fascinating is that there are many Democrats who are likely to go for McCain if Obama is the nominee: Although attention has been focused on McCain's problems with the GOP base, there are indications that some Democrats might defect if Obama is the party's nominee. Overall, 20% of white Democratic voters say they would vote for McCain if Obama is the Democratic nominee. That is twice the percentage of white Democrats who say they would support McCain in a Clinton-McCain matchup. Older Democrats (ages 65 and ...
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